Mavericks vs Thunder Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 14th 2024
Mavericks
50W-31L
April 14, 2024
03:30PM EST
Odds: 225.0 o/u
Thunder
56W-25L
Get ready for a high-octane showdown at the Paycom Center as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into Oklahoma City to face off against the Thunder in a Western Conference clash that’s as electrifying as a midsummer storm! With both teams neck-and-neck in the standings and firing on all cylinders, today’s 3:30 PM EST tipoff promises to deliver all the thrills of a playoff game. The Mavericks, despite a recent stumble, are looking to rebound and steal some thunder, while OKC aims to keep their lightning strike of victories going after a sizzling win over Milwaukee. With the over/under hovering at a lofty 225, expect a barrage of buckets in this high-stakes hoops hustle. So, as the Mavericks try to lasso the Thunder, we’re in for a showdown that’s sure to be more gripping than a rodeo!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 14, 2024 03:30PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Vegas Odds
DAL ML | OKL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +800 | -1600 | 225.5 | 16.5/-16.5 |
Recent | +1000 | -2200 | 225.0 | 19.5/-19.5 |
Difference | +200 | -600 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
9.1% Win Probability
90.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/14/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 36 | 24 | 32 | 119 | Over | ||
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 126 | ||||
02/10/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 32 | 27 | 22 | 111 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 47 | 24 | 39 | 36 | 146 | ||||
12/02/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 39 | 35 | 19 | 126 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 29 | 28 | 36 | 120 | ||||
01/08/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 21 | 28 | 26 | 109 | Over | ||
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 36 | 27 | 24 | 120 | ||||
12/12/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 114 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 43 | 31 | 24 | 121 | ||||
10/29/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 19 | 26 | 27 | 18 | 117 | Over | |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 25 | 26 | 20 | 28 | 12 | 111 | |||
02/02/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 21 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 120 | Over | |
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 11 | 114 | |||
01/17/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 24 | 18 | 30 | 30 | 102 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 33 | 20 | 24 | 27 | 104 | ||||
01/02/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 95 | Under | ||
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 17 | 25 | 22 | 86 | ||||
12/12/21 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 103 | Under | ||
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 19 | 25 | 13 | 84 |
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | @ DET | 89-107L | 49 | 20 | 20 | 83 |
04/10 | vs MIA | 111-92W | 39 | 27 | 7 | 87 |
04/09 | vs CHA | 130-104W | 55 | 35 | 14 | 93 |
04/07 | @ HOU | 147-136W | 47 | 21 | 17 | 85 |
04/05 | @ GSW | 108-106W | 41 | 30 | 17 | 84 |
04/04 | @ ATL | 109-95W | 53 | 20 | 14 | 94 |
04/02 | vs GSW | 100-104L | 42 | 27 | 15 | 89 |
03/31 | vs HOU | 125-107W | 47 | 24 | 13 | 93 |
03/29 | vs SAC | 107-103W | 42 | 24 | 10 | 76 |
03/26 | vs SAC | 132-96W | 49 | 34 | 9 | 92 |
Thunder Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | @ MIL | 125-107W | 38 | 29 | 10 | 89 |
04/10 | @ SAS | 127-89W | 62 | 33 | 12 | 101 |
04/09 | @ SAC | 112-105W | 42 | 21 | 13 | 82 |
04/07 | vs CHA | 121-118W | 36 | 33 | 16 | 87 |
04/05 | vs IND | 112-126L | 39 | 24 | 15 | 88 |
04/03 | vs BOS | 100-135L | 31 | 21 | 13 | 81 |
04/02 | vs PHI | 105-109L | 43 | 30 | 14 | 87 |
03/31 | vs NYK | 113-112W | 43 | 29 | 12 | 82 |
03/29 | @ PHX | 128-103W | 38 | 33 | 10 | 87 |
03/27 | @ HOU | 126-132L | 49 | 26 | 19 | 96 |
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Green
SF
|
30.7 | 10.9 | 19.2 | 77% | 21.9 |
25.9 | 14.9 | 16.6 | 3% | 13.5 | |
Jaden Hardy
PG
|
40.0 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 3% | 20.5 |
23.1 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 17% | 23.8 | |
O. Prosper
PF
|
32.4 | 8.8 | 6.8 | 0% | 0 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22.4 | 24.9 | 20.8 | 100% | 21.3 | |
Josh Giddey
PG
|
32.8 | 37.9 | 31.0 | 100% | 31.4 |
54.4 | 43.0 | 49.2 | 100% | 49.5 | |
40.8 | 36.3 | 34.1 | 100% | 34.4 | |
37.1 | 35.0 | 35.2 | 100% | 35.5 |
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Luka Doncic (PG): Avg: 33.8pts, 9.2reb, 9.8ast, 37.6 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 10.5
- Kyrie Irving (PG/SG): Avg: 25.6pts, 5.0reb, 5.2ast, 35.0 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 7.6
- Daniel Gafford (C): Avg: 10.9pts, 7.5reb, 1.6ast, 24.4 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 4.4
- PJ Washington (PF/C): Avg: 12.8pts, 5.6reb, 1.9ast, 30.4 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 5.0
- Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.8reb, 1.1ast, 23.6 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.2
- Derrick Jones Jr. (SF/PF): Avg: 8.6pts, 3.3reb, 0.9ast, 23.5 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.7
- Dante Exum (PG/SG): Avg: 7.6pts, 2.7reb, 2.9ast, 19.7 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.4
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.4pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 20.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.4
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 5.1reb, 1.3ast, 19.8 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.0
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.8
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.6reb, 1.1ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.1
- Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.3reb, 0.7ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.5
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.1reb, 0.6ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.6
- Olivier Sarr (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.4reb, 0.1ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.0
- Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.0reb, 2.0ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.0
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKL | Pts | 26.5 | 31.0 | +4.5 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 33% | DAL | -1.6 | #5 |
Chet Holmgren | OKL | Pts | 14.5 | 18.4 | +3.9 | 80% | 60% | 67% | 67% | DAL | -3.2 | #4 |
Jalen Williams | OKL | Reb | 3.5 | 4.2 | +0.7 | 80% | 50% | 60% | 60% | DAL | -1.6 | #10 |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #4 | #13 | #22 | #5 | -12.1% |
PF | #11 | #22 | #5 | #14 | -0.9% |
PG | #23 | #2 | #20 | #26 | 16.8% |
SF | #13 | #10 | #26 | #16 | 1.1% |
SG | #5 | #19 | #11 | #7 | -5.7% |
Thunder Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #27 | #1 | #28 | #17 | 1.4% |
PF | #23 | #25 | #15 | #22 | 4.0% |
PG | #15 | #27 | #10 | #15 | -1.4% |
SF | #27 | #28 | #8 | #29 | 20.9% |
SG | #4 | #13 | #23 | #14 | -2.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Dante Exum (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.6% to 16.5, 30.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Green (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.0% to 13.7, 24.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Isaiah Joe (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.7% to 15.5, 24.4 min average previous 3 games.
- PJ Washington (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.1% to 25.9, 40.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Kenrich Williams (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 53.4% to 12.0, 25.8 min average previous 3 games. The Mavericks have a 2-game winning streak on the road. The Thunder have a 3-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
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