Mavericks vs Thunder Game Breakdown
Mavericks
4W-3L
May 09, 2024
09:30PM EST
Odds: 218.0 o/u
Thunder
5W-0L
Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the Paycom Center tonight as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into Oklahoma City, looking to tame the undefeated Thunder in a clash that’s anything but predictable. With the Mavericks hungry to bounce back from their recent stumble and the Thunder riding high on a flawless victory streak, this 09:30 PM tipoff is poised to be the spark that sets the NBA Playoffs ablaze. Both teams are neck-and-neck in the Western conference, making every dribble and dunk crucial in their quest for dominance. With the betting lines drawn and an over/under that promises plenty of action, tonight’s game is all set to thunder up the court while the Mavericks aim to lasso in a win against the odds.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 09, 2024 09:30PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Vegas Odds
| DAL ML | OKL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +170 | -200 | 219.0 | 5.0/-5.0 |
| Recent | +115 | -150 | 218.0 | 5.0/-5.0 |
| Difference | -55 | +50 | -1.0 | – |
Team Performance
46.5% Win Probability
53.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 30 | 26 | 16 | 00 | 95 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 39 | 27 | 28 | 00 | 117 | |||
| 04/14/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 22 | 19 | 16 | 29 | 00 | 86 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 39 | 43 | 26 | 27 | 00 | 135 | |||
| 03/14/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 36 | 24 | 32 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 00 | 126 | |||
| 02/10/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 32 | 27 | 22 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 47 | 24 | 39 | 36 | 00 | 146 | |||
| 12/02/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 39 | 35 | 19 | 00 | 126 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 29 | 28 | 36 | 00 | 120 | |||
| 01/08/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 21 | 28 | 26 | 00 | 109 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 36 | 27 | 24 | 00 | 120 | |||
| 12/12/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 00 | 114 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 43 | 31 | 24 | 00 | 121 | |||
| 10/29/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 19 | 26 | 27 | 180 | 117 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 25 | 26 | 20 | 28 | 120 | 111 | |||
| 02/02/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 21 | 34 | 18 | 170 | 120 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 110 | 114 | |||
| 01/17/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 24 | 18 | 30 | 30 | 00 | 102 | Under | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 33 | 20 | 24 | 27 | 00 | 104 | |||
| 01/02/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 00 | 95 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 17 | 25 | 22 | 00 | 86 | |||
| 12/12/21 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 00 | 103 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 19 | 25 | 13 | 00 | 84 |
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ DET | 89-107L | 49 | 20 | 20 | 83 |
| 04/10 | vs MIA | 111-92W | 39 | 27 | 7 | 87 |
| 04/09 | vs CHA | 130-104W | 55 | 35 | 14 | 93 |
| 04/07 | @ HOU | 147-136W | 47 | 21 | 17 | 85 |
| 04/05 | @ GSW | 108-106W | 41 | 30 | 17 | 84 |
| 04/04 | @ ATL | 109-95W | 53 | 20 | 14 | 94 |
| 04/02 | vs GSW | 100-104L | 42 | 27 | 15 | 89 |
| 03/31 | vs HOU | 125-107W | 47 | 24 | 13 | 93 |
| 03/29 | vs SAC | 107-103W | 42 | 24 | 10 | 76 |
| 03/26 | vs SAC | 132-96W | 49 | 34 | 9 | 92 |
Thunder Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ MIL | 125-107W | 38 | 29 | 10 | 89 |
| 04/10 | @ SAS | 127-89W | 62 | 33 | 12 | 101 |
| 04/09 | @ SAC | 112-105W | 42 | 21 | 13 | 82 |
| 04/07 | vs CHA | 121-118W | 36 | 33 | 16 | 87 |
| 04/05 | vs IND | 112-126L | 39 | 24 | 15 | 88 |
| 04/03 | vs BOS | 100-135L | 31 | 21 | 13 | 81 |
| 04/02 | vs PHI | 105-109L | 43 | 30 | 14 | 87 |
| 03/31 | vs NYK | 113-112W | 43 | 29 | 12 | 82 |
| 03/29 | @ PHX | 128-103W | 38 | 33 | 10 | 87 |
| 03/27 | @ HOU | 126-132L | 49 | 26 | 19 | 96 |
Starting Lineups
| Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
67.6 | 53.9 | 62.3 | 100% | 62.7 |
| 27.5 | 23.1 | 25.0 | 87% | 26.2 | |
|
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
45.4 | 42.5 | 42.6 | 100% | 43.1 |
| 19.9 | 20.6 | 15.2 | 87% | 15.8 | |
| 26.8 | 21.8 | 26.5 | 100% | 27.0 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.5 | 21.2 | 20.5 | 100% | 20.9 | |
|
Josh Giddey
PG
|
24.8 | 22.9 | 31.3 | 100% | 31.7 |
| 57.2 | 48.9 | 47.6 | 100% | 48.0 | |
| 39.6 | 36.2 | 34.0 | 100% | 34.4 | |
| 42.7 | 39.8 | 36.5 | 100% | 36.8 |
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.6pts, 3.2reb, 1.6ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 05/03/24. Impact: 2.4
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 6.0 minutes. Last game: 05/07/24. Impact: 0.5
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 05/07/24. Impact: 2.5
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.5reb, 1.0ast, 10.4 minutes. Last game: 05/07/24. Impact: 0.8
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 05/07/24. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Luka Doncic | DAL | Pts | 30.5 | 34.6 | +4.1 | 20% | 50% | 40% | 40% | OKL | -2.7 | #10 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKL | Pts | 29.5 | 32.5 | +3.0 | 20% | 20% | 27% | 27% | DAL | -3.7 | #7 |
| Kyrie Irving | DAL | Reb | 4.5 | 5.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 60% | 53% | 53% | OKL | -0.5 | #12 |
| Aaron Wiggins | OKL | Reb | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | 80% | 60% | 67% | 67% | DAL | +3.2 | #23 |
| Chet Holmgren | OKL | Ast | 1.5 | 2.7 | +1.2 | 40% | 60% | 53% | 53% | DAL | -2.1 | #4 |
| Daniel Gafford | DAL | Ast | 0.5 | 1.5 | +1.0 | 40% | 60% | 67% | 67% | OKL | -0.6 | #10 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | DAL | 3Pt | 0.5 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 60% | OKL | -1.3 | #12 |
Mavericks Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #10 | #9 | #4 | #3 | -22.1% |
| PF | #15 | #15 | #20 | #16 | -0.0% |
| PG | #19 | #4 | #23 | #24 | 38.5% |
| SF | #18 | #23 | #19 | #19 | 10.8% |
| SG | #7 | #23 | #6 | #5 | -15.2% |
Thunder Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #21 | #30 | #10 | #22 | 8.2% |
| PF | #2 | #21 | #8 | #5 | -14.5% |
| PG | #7 | #19 | #15 | #9 | -32.8% |
| SF | #27 | #26 | #17 | #26 | 30.5% |
| SG | #10 | #12 | #7 | #7 | -12.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.0% to 13.0, 18.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 15.3, 23.4 min average previous 3 games. The Mavericks have a 2-game winning streak on the road. The Thunder have a 3-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
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