Mavericks vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into Paycom Center tonight, aiming to lasso the Oklahoma City Thunder in what promises to be a playoff clash for the ages! Both teams are neck and neck in the Western conference, each with impressive records that have fans on the edge of their seats. With the tipoff set for 9:30 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high, and the betting lines are buzzing—will the Mavericks ride out as victors, or will the Thunder roll to another booming victory? The Thunder recently thundered past Milwaukee, while the Mavericks are looking to rebound from a stumble in Detroit. Tonight, it’s all about which team can harness the storm and ride the lightning to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 15, 2024 09:30PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+135	-160	212.5	5.0/-5.0
Recent	+115	-150	212.5	4.0/-4.0
Difference	-20	+10	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

24W-15L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

31W-7L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
05/13/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	20	23	22	35	00	100	Under
05/13/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	24	15	27	00	96	Under
05/11/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	29	26	23	00	101	Under
05/11/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	31	23	00	105	Under
05/09/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	32	31	20	00	119	Over
05/09/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	30	27	21	00	110	Over
05/07/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	30	26	16	00	95	Under
05/07/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	39	27	28	00	117	Under
04/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	19	16	29	00	86	Over
04/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	39	43	26	27	00	135	Over
03/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	36	24	32	00	119	Over
03/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	32	30	31	00	126	Over
02/10/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	32	27	22	00	111	Over
02/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	47	24	39	36	00	146	Over
12/02/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	39	35	19	00	126	Over
12/02/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	29	28	36	00	120	Over
01/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	21	28	26	00	109	Over
01/08/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	36	27	24	00	120	Over
12/12/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	24	38	24	00	114	Over
12/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	43	31	24	00	121	Over
10/29/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	26	27	180	117	Over
10/29/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	26	20	28	120	111	Over
02/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	21	34	18	170	120	Over
02/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	23	25	27	110	114	Over
01/17/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	18	30	30	00	102	Under
01/17/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	20	24	27	00	104	Under
01/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	22	22	00	95	Under
01/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	17	25	22	00	86	Under
12/12/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	28	24	23	00	103	Under
12/12/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	25	13	00	84	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ DET	89-107L	49	20	20	83
04/10	vs MIA	111-92W	39	27	7	87
04/09	vs CHA	130-104W	55	35	14	93
04/07	@ HOU	147-136W	47	21	17	85
04/05	@ GSW	108-106W	41	30	17	84
04/04	@ ATL	109-95W	53	20	14	94
04/02	vs GSW	100-104L	42	27	15	89
03/31	vs HOU	125-107W	47	24	13	93
03/29	vs SAC	107-103W	42	24	10	76
03/26	vs SAC	132-96W	49	34	9	92

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ MIL	125-107W	38	29	10	89
04/10	@ SAS	127-89W	62	33	12	101
04/09	@ SAC	112-105W	42	21	13	82
04/07	vs CHA	121-118W	36	33	16	87
04/05	vs IND	112-126L	39	24	15	88
04/03	vs BOS	100-135L	31	21	13	81
04/02	vs PHI	105-109L	43	30	14	87
03/31	vs NYK	113-112W	43	29	12	82
03/29	@ PHX	128-103W	38	33	10	87
03/27	@ HOU	126-132L	49	26	19	96

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	59.5	52.9	60.5	100%	60.9
Daniel Gafford C	24.6	26.9	26.1	100%	25.1
Kyrie Irving PG	42.0	37.2	42.1	100%	42.6
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	17.4	18.9	15.4	100%	15.7
PJ Washington PF	29.7	37.0	28.1	100%	28.5

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	24.1	24.0	21.1	100%	21.5
Josh Giddey PG	14.3	14.2	29.6	100%	30.0
S. Gilgeous-Alexander SG	58.4	58.5	49.0	100%	49.4
Chet Holmgren C	41.2	35.6	32.8	100%	33.1
Jalen Williams PF	41.7	38.6	36.3	100%	36.6

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.6pts, 3.2reb, 1.6ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 05/03/24. Impact: 2.4
Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): Avg: 6.9pts, 1.6reb, 1.4ast, 12.3 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 1.0
Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 3.1reb, 1.2ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.7
AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.5

Thunder Notable Injuries

Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 3.4reb, 1.6ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 05/13/24. Impact: 2.3
Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.5reb, 1.0ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.7
Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 05/07/24. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Chet Holmgren	OKL	Pts	14.5	18.4	+3.9	40%	50%	60%	60%	DAL	-1.5	#8
Jalen Williams	OKL	Pts	19.5	22.3	+2.8	40%	40%	47%	47%	DAL	+0.2	#15
Josh Giddey	OKL	Reb	2.5	3.0	+0.5	40%	70%	80%	80%	DAL	+1.0	#29
Josh Green	DAL	Reb	1.5	1.9	+0.4	60%	60%	67%	67%	OKL	-1.2	#6
Cason Wallace	OKL	Ast	0.5	1.1	+0.6	40%	70%	80%	80%	DAL	+0.3	#19

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#6	#12	#6	-9.1%
PF	#12	#7	#12	#8	-3.8%
PG	#21	#6	#30	#26	9.7%
SF	#15	#24	#19	#21	6.0%
SG	#17	#29	#8	#16	0.0%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#11	#22	#15	0.9%
PF	#18	#25	#9	#19	1.7%
PG	#3	#26	#3	#2	-21.7%
SF	#16	#6	#20	#17	-1.1%
SG	#9	#20	#19	#13	-2.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.4

117.6

Rebounds per Game

44.5

43.3

Assists per Game

26.2

26.3

Steals per Game

7.4

9.2

Blocks per Game

6.0

6.4

Shots per Game

89.4

87.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.0

13.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

58.2

56.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.8

37.9

Turnovers per Game

12.2

Fouls per Game

17.2

17.5

Recent Trends

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 18.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 10.0 ast against OKL
Josh Giddey (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 52.9% to 12.2, 25.8 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Green (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.0% to 14.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.5% to 19.1, 13.0 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Joe (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.0% to 17.9, 12.3 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 15.3, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.
PJ Washington (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.5% to 40.4, 30.0 min average previous 3 games.