Mavericks vs Thunder Game Breakdown
Mavericks
6W-4L
May 15, 2024
09:30PM EST
Odds: 212.5 o/u
Thunder
6W-2L
Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into Paycom Center tonight, aiming to lasso the Oklahoma City Thunder in what promises to be a playoff clash for the ages! Both teams are neck and neck in the Western conference, each with impressive records that have fans on the edge of their seats. With the tipoff set for 9:30 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high, and the betting lines are buzzing—will the Mavericks ride out as victors, or will the Thunder roll to another booming victory? The Thunder recently thundered past Milwaukee, while the Mavericks are looking to rebound from a stumble in Detroit. Tonight, it’s all about which team can harness the storm and ride the lightning to victory!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 15, 2024 09:30PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Vegas Odds
| DAL ML | OKL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +135 | -160 | 212.5 | 5.0/-5.0 |
| Recent | +115 | -150 | 212.5 | 4.0/-4.0 |
| Difference | -20 | +10 | 0 | – |
Team Performance
46.5% Win Probability
53.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/13/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 20 | 23 | 22 | 35 | 00 | 100 | Under | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 30 | 24 | 15 | 27 | 00 | 96 | |||
| 05/11/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 29 | 26 | 23 | 00 | 101 | Under | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 25 | 31 | 23 | 00 | 105 | |||
| 05/09/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 36 | 32 | 31 | 20 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 32 | 30 | 27 | 21 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 05/07/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 30 | 26 | 16 | 00 | 95 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 39 | 27 | 28 | 00 | 117 | |||
| 04/14/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 22 | 19 | 16 | 29 | 00 | 86 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 39 | 43 | 26 | 27 | 00 | 135 | |||
| 03/14/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 36 | 24 | 32 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 00 | 126 | |||
| 02/10/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 32 | 27 | 22 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 47 | 24 | 39 | 36 | 00 | 146 | |||
| 12/02/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 39 | 35 | 19 | 00 | 126 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 29 | 28 | 36 | 00 | 120 | |||
| 01/08/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 21 | 28 | 26 | 00 | 109 | Over | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 33 | 36 | 27 | 24 | 00 | 120 | |||
| 12/12/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 00 | 114 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 43 | 31 | 24 | 00 | 121 | |||
| 10/29/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 19 | 26 | 27 | 180 | 117 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 25 | 26 | 20 | 28 | 120 | 111 | |||
| 02/02/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 21 | 34 | 18 | 170 | 120 | Over | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 110 | 114 | |||
| 01/17/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 24 | 18 | 30 | 30 | 00 | 102 | Under | |
| Dallas Mavericks DAL | 33 | 20 | 24 | 27 | 00 | 104 | |||
| 01/02/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 00 | 95 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 17 | 25 | 22 | 00 | 86 | |||
| 12/12/21 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 00 | 103 | Under | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 27 | 19 | 25 | 13 | 00 | 84 |
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ DET | 89-107L | 49 | 20 | 20 | 83 |
| 04/10 | vs MIA | 111-92W | 39 | 27 | 7 | 87 |
| 04/09 | vs CHA | 130-104W | 55 | 35 | 14 | 93 |
| 04/07 | @ HOU | 147-136W | 47 | 21 | 17 | 85 |
| 04/05 | @ GSW | 108-106W | 41 | 30 | 17 | 84 |
| 04/04 | @ ATL | 109-95W | 53 | 20 | 14 | 94 |
| 04/02 | vs GSW | 100-104L | 42 | 27 | 15 | 89 |
| 03/31 | vs HOU | 125-107W | 47 | 24 | 13 | 93 |
| 03/29 | vs SAC | 107-103W | 42 | 24 | 10 | 76 |
| 03/26 | vs SAC | 132-96W | 49 | 34 | 9 | 92 |
Thunder Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ MIL | 125-107W | 38 | 29 | 10 | 89 |
| 04/10 | @ SAS | 127-89W | 62 | 33 | 12 | 101 |
| 04/09 | @ SAC | 112-105W | 42 | 21 | 13 | 82 |
| 04/07 | vs CHA | 121-118W | 36 | 33 | 16 | 87 |
| 04/05 | vs IND | 112-126L | 39 | 24 | 15 | 88 |
| 04/03 | vs BOS | 100-135L | 31 | 21 | 13 | 81 |
| 04/02 | vs PHI | 105-109L | 43 | 30 | 14 | 87 |
| 03/31 | vs NYK | 113-112W | 43 | 29 | 12 | 82 |
| 03/29 | @ PHX | 128-103W | 38 | 33 | 10 | 87 |
| 03/27 | @ HOU | 126-132L | 49 | 26 | 19 | 96 |
Starting Lineups
| Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
59.5 | 52.9 | 60.5 | 100% | 60.9 |
| 24.6 | 26.9 | 26.1 | 100% | 25.1 | |
|
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
42.0 | 37.2 | 42.1 | 100% | 42.6 |
| 17.4 | 18.9 | 15.4 | 100% | 15.7 | |
| 29.7 | 37.0 | 28.1 | 100% | 28.5 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.1 | 24.0 | 21.1 | 100% | 21.5 | |
|
Josh Giddey
PG
|
14.3 | 14.2 | 29.6 | 100% | 30.0 |
| 58.4 | 58.5 | 49.0 | 100% | 49.4 | |
| 41.2 | 35.6 | 32.8 | 100% | 33.1 | |
| 41.7 | 38.6 | 36.3 | 100% | 36.6 |
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.6pts, 3.2reb, 1.6ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 05/03/24. Impact: 2.4
- Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): Avg: 6.9pts, 1.6reb, 1.4ast, 12.3 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 1.0
- Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 3.1reb, 1.2ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.7
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.5
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 3.4reb, 1.6ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 05/13/24. Impact: 2.3
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.5reb, 1.0ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 05/09/24. Impact: 0.7
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 05/07/24. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Chet Holmgren | OKL | Pts | 14.5 | 18.4 | +3.9 | 40% | 50% | 60% | 60% | DAL | -1.5 | #8 |
| Jalen Williams | OKL | Pts | 19.5 | 22.3 | +2.8 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | DAL | +0.2 | #15 |
| Josh Giddey | OKL | Reb | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 70% | 80% | 80% | DAL | +1.0 | #29 |
| Josh Green | DAL | Reb | 1.5 | 1.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | OKL | -1.2 | #6 |
| Cason Wallace | OKL | Ast | 0.5 | 1.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 70% | 80% | 80% | DAL | +0.3 | #19 |
Mavericks Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #8 | #6 | #12 | #6 | -9.1% |
| PF | #12 | #7 | #12 | #8 | -3.8% |
| PG | #21 | #6 | #30 | #26 | 9.7% |
| SF | #15 | #24 | #19 | #21 | 6.0% |
| SG | #17 | #29 | #8 | #16 | 0.0% |
Thunder Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #20 | #11 | #22 | #15 | 0.9% |
| PF | #18 | #25 | #9 | #19 | 1.7% |
| PG | #3 | #26 | #3 | #2 | -21.7% |
| SF | #16 | #6 | #20 | #17 | -1.1% |
| SG | #9 | #20 | #19 | #13 | -2.0% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
- Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 18.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 10.0 ast against OKL
- Josh Giddey (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 52.9% to 12.2, 25.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Green (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.0% to 14.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.5% to 19.1, 13.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Isaiah Joe (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.0% to 17.9, 12.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 15.3, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.
- PJ Washington (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.5% to 40.4, 30.0 min average previous 3 games. The Mavericks have a 2-game winning streak on the road. The Thunder have a 3-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
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