Mavericks vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready for a showdown that’s sure to electrify as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Paycom Center to challenge the storm-surging Oklahoma City Thunder in a first-round NBA playoff game that promises more sparks than a Fourth of July fireworks show! With the Mavericks trying to lasso their way closer to the top of the Western Conference and the Thunder booming their way through the season with an impressive 11-2 record, tonight’s 08:00 PM EST tipoff is the place to be. The stakes are high, the lines are drawn, and with both teams coming off convincing wins, we’re set for a clash that’s anything but a blowout. Will the Mavericks corral the Thunder, or will Oklahoma City’s storm roll on? It’s time to find out if Dallas can truly ‘Maverick’ their way out of this tempest or if they’ll just be caught in another Thunder roll!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 17, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+175	-210	228.5	5.0/-5.0
Recent	+145	-170	230.0	5.0/-5.0
Difference	-30	+40	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

25W-19L

40.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

37W-8L

59.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
04/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	19	16	29	00	86	Under
04/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	39	43	26	27	00	135	Under
03/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	36	24	32	00	119	Over
03/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	32	30	31	00	126	Over
02/10/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	32	27	22	00	111	Over
02/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	47	24	39	36	00	146	Over
12/02/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	39	35	19	00	126	Over
12/02/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	29	28	36	00	120	Over
01/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	21	28	26	00	109	Under
01/08/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	36	27	24	00	120	Under
12/12/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	24	38	24	00	114	Over
12/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	43	31	24	00	121	Over
10/29/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	26	27	180	117	Under
10/29/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	26	20	28	120	111	Under
02/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	21	34	18	170	120	Over
02/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	23	25	27	110	114	Over
01/17/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	18	30	30	00	102	Under
01/17/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	20	24	27	00	104	Under
01/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	22	22	00	95	Under
01/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	17	25	22	00	86	Under
12/12/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	28	24	23	00	103	Under
12/12/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	25	13	00	84	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/16	@ SAS	110-93W	53	26	14	94
11/14	vs UTA	113-115L	30	25	17	85
11/12	vs GSW	117-120L	40	26	17	84
11/10	vs DEN	120-122L	42	29	10	90
11/08	@ PHX	113-114L	39	18	11	80
11/06	@ CHI	119-99W	47	33	15	93
11/03	@ ORL	108-85W	53	25	18	85
10/31	@ HOU	102-108L	37	21	10	85
10/29	vs MIN	120-114W	40	25	9	93
10/28	@ UTA	110-102W	50	27	13	95

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/15	@ PHX	99-83W	53	21	10	91
11/13	@ NOP	106-88W	31	20	5	88
11/11	@ LAC	134-128W	29	31	11	91
11/10	@ GSW	116-127L	41	25	11	94
11/08	@ HOU	126-107W	41	24	10	90
11/06	vs DEN	122-124L	47	29	14	100
11/01	vs POR	137-114W	45	31	13	95
10/30	@ SAS	105-93W	39	28	10	89
10/27	@ ATL	128-104W	45	26	10	89
10/26	vs CHI	114-95W	54	21	10	107

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic PG	58.0	51.1	55.6	100%	55.8
Quentin Grimes SG	11.0	16.8	13.8	3%	30.5
Maxi Kleber PF	10.0	6.6	10.8	7%	5.0
Dereck Lively II C	25.0	21.0	21.8	7%	19.5
Klay Thompson SF	25.0	22.3	28.3	77%	27.4

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort PF	26.0	24.2	23.4	100%	23.8
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	55.0	50.6	48.7	100%	49.1
Isaiah Joe SF	21.0	20.9	16.0	30%	19.9
Cason Wallace SG	20.0	18.1	15.0	27%	21.8
Jalen Williams C	46.0	42.4	39.6	100%	40.0

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.7reb, 0.4ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 11/16/24. Impact: 0.8
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 7.5 minutes. Last game: 11/16/24. Impact: 0.6
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 5.1 minutes. Last game: 11/16/24. Impact: 0.5
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.7reb, 0.3ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 0.5
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.3 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 0.4

Thunder Notable Injuries

Chet Holmgren (C): Avg: 16.5pts, 7.7reb, 2.4ast, 29.8 minutes. Last game: 11/10/24. Impact: 5.7
Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.3pts, 3.7reb, 3.3ast, 27.5 minutes. Last game: 11/11/24. Impact: 3.2
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.5ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 11/15/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jalen Williams	OKL	Pts	21.5	24.0	+2.5	40%	50%	40%	40%	DAL	-0.4	#13
Cason Wallace	OKL	Pts	6.5	8.7	+2.2	20%	40%	27%	27%	DAL	-1.1	#5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	OKL	Reb	5.5	6.0	+0.5	20%	40%	53%	53%	DAL	-0.0	#16
Aaron Wiggins	OKL	Ast	1.5	2.0	+0.5	100%	70%	47%	47%	DAL	-0.1	#13
Klay Thompson	DAL	Ast	1.5	2.0	+0.5	80%	60%	53%	53%	OKL	+0.1	#17

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#6	#14	#4	-9.1%
PF	#12	#6	#11	#8	-3.2%
PG	#5	#16	#19	#10	-2.3%
SF	#18	#20	#9	#17	1.8%
SG	#13	#28	#13	#18	-0.1%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#24	#27	#15	0.4%
PF	#11	#24	#10	#13	-0.2%
PG	#1	#26	#2	#2	-16.8%
SF	#21	#12	#23	#19	2.0%
SG	#9	#26	#17	#13	-1.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.5

117.5

Rebounds per Game

44.2

43.2

Assists per Game

25.8

26.1

Steals per Game

7.6

10.1

Blocks per Game

5.7

6.8

Shots per Game

89.4

89.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.7

55.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.6

36.8

Turnovers per Game

12.3

11.7

Fouls per Game

18.9

18.8

Recent Trends

Spencer Dinwiddie (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 49.4% to 12.0, 23.7 min average previous 3 games.
Luguentz Dort (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.2% to 33.0, 24.8 min average previous 3 games.
Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 105.4% to 29.1, 14.2 min average previous 3 games.
Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 67.5% to 19.8, 11.8 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.5% to 15.0, 11.3 min average previous 3 games.
Dwight Powell (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.7% to 12.1, 17.4 min average previous 3 games.