Mavericks vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready for some high-octane NBA action as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Paycom Center to face the electrifying Oklahoma City Thunder in a first-round playoff clash that promises to break the mold of recent blowouts. With the Mavericks just a half-game shy of conference lead and the Thunder thundering at the top, tonight’s 10:30 PM showdown is set to light up the scoreboard. Both teams are coming in hot, with the Mavericks recently taming the Raptors and the Thunder striking down the Pelicans. The stakes are sky-high, the crowd’s buzzing, and with a tantalizing over/under of 230, bettors and fans alike are in for a treat. As Dallas tries to outshoot the electrifying Thunder, we’re all set to see if the Mavericks can corral the storm or if the Thunder will continue to roar through the competition!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 10, 2024 10:30PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+150	-175	228.5	4.0/-4.0
Recent	+130	-150	230.0	4.0/-4.0
Difference	-20	+25	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

32W-20L

43.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

39W-9L

56.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/17/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	39	27	31	24	00	121	Over
11/17/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	24	34	27	00	119	Over
04/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	19	16	29	00	86	Under
04/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	39	43	26	27	00	135	Under
03/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	36	24	32	00	119	Over
03/14/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	32	30	31	00	126	Over
02/10/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	32	27	22	00	111	Over
02/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	47	24	39	36	00	146	Over
12/02/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	39	35	19	00	126	Over
12/02/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	29	28	36	00	120	Over
01/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	21	28	26	00	109	Under
01/08/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	33	36	27	24	00	120	Under
12/12/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	24	38	24	00	114	Over
12/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	43	31	24	00	121	Over
10/29/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	26	27	180	117	Under
10/29/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	26	20	28	120	111	Under
02/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	21	34	18	170	120	Over
02/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	23	25	27	110	114	Over
01/17/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	18	30	30	00	102	Under
01/17/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	20	24	27	00	104	Under
01/02/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	22	22	00	95	Under
01/02/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	17	25	22	00	86	Under
12/12/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	28	24	23	00	103	Under
12/12/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	19	25	13	00	84	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/07	vs TOR	125-118W	52	21	18	81
12/05	vs WAS	137-101W	58	27	15	89
12/03	@ MEM	121-116W	49	24	25	81
12/01	vs POR	137-131W	33	33	13	87
11/30	vs UTA	106-94W	48	30	15	90
11/25	vs ATL	129-119W	51	24	17	94
11/24	vs MIA	118-123L	59	29	13	105
11/22	vs DEN	123-120W	44	24	13	91
11/19	@ NOP	132-91W	48	26	11	93
11/17	vs OKL	121-119W	53	18	16	84

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/07	vs NOP	119-109W	45	27	18	85
12/05	vs TOR	129-92W	56	28	6	102
12/03	@ UTA	133-106W	34	32	8	102
12/01	vs HOU	116-119L	46	30	7	94
11/29	vs LAL	101-93W	47	20	9	93
11/25	vs SAC	130-109W	44	28	15	86
11/20	@ POR	109-99W	46	24	13	91
11/19	vs SAS	104-110L	47	24	13	100
11/17	@ DAL	119-121L	29	29	6	87
11/15	@ PHX	99-83W	53	21	10	91

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic PG	57.0	62.6	56.1	100%	56.4
Kyrie Irving SG	41.0	44.5	38.8	100%	39.1
Dereck Lively II C	26.0	24.6	23.9	37%	24.5
Klay Thompson SF	20.0	20.2	25.7	93%	26.1
PJ Washington PF	29.0	32.0	29.5	100%	29.5

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	22.0	22.2	23.2	100%	23.6
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	51.0	50.8	51.9	100%	52.3
Isaiah Hartenstein C	38.0	36.6	29.5	100%	28.4
Cason Wallace SG	19.0	23.9	15.8	37%	21.9
Jalen Williams PF	44.0	40.2	42.2	100%	42.6

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Maxi Kleber (PF/C): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.2reb, 1.4ast, 19.3 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 1.3
Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): Avg: 6.8pts, 1.5reb, 1.4ast, 12.7 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 2.4
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 12/07/24. Impact: 1.1
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.5ast, 7.5 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 0.7
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 11/30/24. Impact: 0.4
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.6 minutes. Last game: 11/30/24. Impact: 0.4

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.3pts, 3.7reb, 3.3ast, 27.2 minutes. Last game: 12/07/24. Impact: 3.3
Dillon Jones (PF): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.2reb, 0.8ast, 8.8 minutes. Last game: 12/03/24. Impact: 1.4
Branden Carlson (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.5ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 0.9
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dereck Lively II	DAL	Pts	7.5	9.7	+2.2	20%	40%	40%	40%	OKL	-0.6	#11
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Pts	21.5	23.3	+1.8	80%	70%	60%	60%	OKL	-2.0	#4
Isaiah Hartenstein	OKL	Reb	11.5	11.9	+0.4	80%	60%	47%	47%	DAL	-0.2	#13
Luguentz Dort	OKL	Reb	3.5	3.8	+0.3	40%	70%	60%	60%	DAL	+0.5	#29
Jalen Williams	OKL	Ast	4.5	5.6	+1.1	60%	70%	67%	67%	DAL	-0.1	#14
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Ast	0.5	1.2	+0.7	60%	60%	60%	60%	OKL	-0.3	#5
Cason Wallace	OKL	3Pt	0.5	1.4	+0.9	80%	60%	53%	53%	DAL	-0.7	#2
PJ Washington	DAL	3Pt	1.5	1.9	+0.4	80%	50%	40%	40%	OKL	+0.5	#26

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#3	#17	#5	-8.0%
PF	#9	#13	#9	#8	-3.3%
PG	#6	#3	#10	#6	-8.3%
SF	#14	#10	#21	#13	-1.5%
SG	#8	#29	#14	#13	-2.2%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#21	#27	#15	-0.9%
PF	#11	#23	#5	#12	-1.7%
PG	#4	#23	#5	#2	-13.3%
SF	#24	#30	#20	#22	5.3%
SG	#3	#24	#13	#7	-4.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.5

116.9

Rebounds per Game

46.3

43.1

Assists per Game

26.0

26.5

Steals per Game

8.0

11.1

Blocks per Game

5.9

6.3

Shots per Game

89.2

91.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.6

13.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.0

56.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.8

35.1

Turnovers per Game

13.4

11.6

Fouls per Game

19.5

19.7

Recent Trends

Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 30.0 pts, 13.0 reb, 11.0 ast against TOR
Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.5% to 20.8, 30.3 min average previous 3 games.
Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.3% to 10.9, 19.2 min average previous 3 games.