Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Game Breakdown

Get ready to saddle up and blaze through the night as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Moda Center to face off against the Portland Trail Blazers in a first-round playoff game that’s set to reignite the excitement we’ve been craving! With the Mavericks looking sharp after their recent victory and the Trail Blazers hot on their heels from a solid win themselves, tonight’s clash at 10:00 PM EST promises to bring the heat back to the hardwood. Both teams are gunning to improve their standings in the Western conference, and with the stakes ramped up, the betting lines buzzing, and the scoreboard expected to light up past 228 points, this game is anything but predictable. So, as the Mavericks try to corral the Blazers in their own backyard, let’s see if Portland can keep the fire burning or if Dallas will ride off into the sunset with a win. Let the showdown at the Moda corral begin!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 01, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Moda Center, Portland

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	POR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-275	+225	228.5	-7.0/7.0
Recent	-280	+230	228.0	-7.0/7.0
Difference	-5	+5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

29W-20L

73.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

15W-34L

26.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	37	34	26	28	125	Over
12/08/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	22	38	30	22	112	Over
01/05/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	26	27	16	34	103	Over
01/05/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	38	24	40	37	139	Over
01/03/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	22	27	23	97	Under
01/03/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	35	43	24	24	126	Under
12/16/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	38	36	21	131	Over
12/16/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	39	24	36	21	120	Over
01/15/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	23	41	28	123	Over
01/15/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	33	28	37	42	140	Over
01/14/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	26	34	29	119	Over
01/14/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	40	35	30	136	Over
12/16/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	32	31	22	25	110	Over
12/16/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	41	38	20	130	Over
11/12/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	32	31	24	112	Over
11/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	35	24	26	32	117	Over
04/08/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	13	31	25	9	78	Under
04/08/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	32	39	21	128	Under
01/26/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	40	28	30	34	132	Over
01/26/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	34	22	31	112	Over
12/27/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	38	34	26	132	Over
12/27/21	Portland Trail Blazers POR	29	24	31	33	117	Over

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/30	vs UTA	106-94W	48	30	15	90
11/25	vs ATL	129-119W	51	24	17	94
11/24	vs MIA	118-123L	59	29	13	105
11/22	vs DEN	123-120W	44	24	13	91
11/19	@ NOP	132-91W	48	26	11	93
11/17	vs OKL	121-119W	53	18	16	84
11/16	@ SAS	110-93W	53	26	14	94
11/14	vs UTA	113-115L	30	25	17	85
11/12	vs GSW	117-120L	40	26	17	84
11/10	vs DEN	120-122L	42	29	10	90

Trail Blazers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/29	@ SAC	115-106W	40	27	11	90
11/25	vs MEM	98-123L	44	22	11	102
11/23	vs HOU	104-98W	53	16	16	90
11/22	vs HOU	88-116L	45	17	20	91
11/20	vs OKL	99-109L	49	18	22	79
11/17	@ ATL	114-110W	40	31	20	95
11/13	@ MIN	106-98W	47	17	19	83
11/12	@ MIN	122-108W	39	30	19	84
11/10	@ MEM	89-134L	43	18	23	100
11/08	vs MIN	102-127L	37	13	16	91

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Quentin Grimes SG	24.0	24.9	15.3	17%	25.1
Kyrie Irving PG	47.0	44.8	39.8	100%	40.1
Dereck Lively II C	26.0	25.2	22.9	27%	23.2
PJ Washington PF	39.0	35.4	28.7	100%	28.7

Portland Trail Blazers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deni Avdija SF	30.0	34.4	32.3	73%	34.5
Deandre Ayton C	42.0	27.9	37.8	100%	38.2
Toumani Camara PF	23.0	24.1	21.8	100%	21.7
Shaedon Sharpe SG	30.0	27.4	26.2	73%	29.0
Anfernee Simons PG	29.0	22.6	30.7	100%	31.1

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Luka Doncic (PG): Avg: 32.1pts, 9.1reb, 9.3ast, 38.1 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 8.5
Klay Thompson (SG/SF): Avg: 16.8pts, 3.4reb, 2.2ast, 29.6 minutes. Last game: 11/24/24. Impact: 3.7
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 11/30/24. Impact: 0.7
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.4reb, 0.6ast, 7.5 minutes. Last game: 11/16/24. Impact: 0.6
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 11/19/24. Impact: 0.4
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 11/30/24. Impact: 0.4
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.6 minutes. Last game: 11/30/24. Impact: 0.4

Trail Blazers Notable Injuries

Robert Williams (PF/C): Avg: 8.3pts, 6.2reb, 1.2ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 11/25/24. Impact: 3.9
Donovan Clingan (C): Avg: 6.1pts, 7.1reb, 0.3ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 11/23/24. Impact: 4.0
Taze Moore (SG): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 6.0 minutes. Last game: 11/25/24. Impact: 1.2
Justin Minaya (PF): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.6ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 11/25/24. Impact: 1.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Deandre Ayton	POR	Pts	16.5	19.2	+2.7	40%	40%	53%	53%	DAL	-2.0	#6
Jerami Grant	POR	Pts	14.5	17.1	+2.6	20%	40%	47%	47%	DAL	-0.9	#9
Toumani Camara	POR	Reb	4.5	5.8	+1.3	60%	50%	40%	40%	DAL	-0.4	#7
Shaedon Sharpe	POR	Reb	4.5	4.6	+0.1	0%	10%	20%	20%	DAL	+0.8	#29

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#7	#16	#4	-8.8%
PF	#9	#7	#10	#7	-3.9%
PG	#3	#8	#10	#5	-8.8%
SF	#17	#7	#11	#6	-5.5%
SG	#9	#29	#10	#17	-1.1%

Trail Blazers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#16	#28	#25	5.8%
PF	#24	#15	#12	#26	5.6%
PG	#4	#22	#18	#9	-3.9%
SF	#21	#30	#20	#27	8.5%
SG	#23	#16	#18	#26	6.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.8

104.6

Rebounds per Game

45.6

44.4

Assists per Game

26.3

23.0

Steals per Game

7.8

Blocks per Game

5.9

5.1

Shots per Game

89.5

89.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.1

11.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.1

49.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.6

33.2

Turnovers per Game

12.8

15.9

Fouls per Game

19.4

19.7

Recent Trends

Deni Avdija (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.9% to 34.0, 24.1 min average previous 3 games.
Spencer Dinwiddie (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 121.7% to 31.4, 14.1 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.0% to 19.4, 13.8 min average previous 3 games.
Kris Murray (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 69.2% to 17.9, 10.6 min average previous 3 games.
Anfernee Simons (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 135.1% to 35.9, 15.3 min average previous 3 games.
Matisse Thybulle (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.1% to 10.9, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.