Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the high-flying Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Moda Center tonight to face the underdog Portland Trail Blazers in what promises to be a pivotal first-round playoff clash. With the clock striking 11:00 PM EST, all eyes will be on whether this game can break the trend of first-round blowouts and deliver some nail-biting basketball. The Mavericks, just a jump shot away from the top in the Western conference, are looking to lasso a win, while the Blazers, fresh off a fiery victory, are set to stoke their competitive flames. With the stakes sky-high and the scoreline poised for excitement, tonight’s matchup is all set to go from a tip-off to a blaze-off!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 28, 2024 11:00PM EST

Location: Moda Center, Portland

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	POR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-185	+160	223.0	-4.5/4.5
Recent	-185	+160	222.0	-4.5/4.5
Difference	0	0	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

34W-21L

64.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

17W-37L

35.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/23/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	22	23	32	108	Over
12/23/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	34	40	30	132	Over
12/01/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	36	39	37	137	Over
12/01/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	29	29	39	34	131	Over
12/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	37	34	26	28	125	Over
12/08/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	22	38	30	22	112	Over
01/05/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	26	27	16	34	103	Over
01/05/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	38	24	40	37	139	Over
01/03/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	22	27	23	97	Over
01/03/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	35	43	24	24	126	Over
12/16/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	38	36	21	131	Over
12/16/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	39	24	36	21	120	Over
01/15/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	23	41	28	123	Over
01/15/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	33	28	37	42	140	Over
01/14/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	26	34	29	119	Over
01/14/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	40	35	30	136	Over
12/16/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	32	31	22	25	110	Over
12/16/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	41	38	20	130	Over
11/12/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	32	31	24	112	Over
11/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	35	24	26	32	117	Over
04/08/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	13	31	25	9	78	Under
04/08/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	32	39	21	128	Under
01/26/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	40	28	30	34	132	Over
01/26/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	34	22	31	112	Over
12/27/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	38	34	26	132	Over
12/27/21	Portland Trail Blazers POR	29	24	31	33	117	Over

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/27	vs PHX	98-89W	41	24	15	80
12/25	@ MIN	99-105L	43	15	12	87
12/21	@ LAC	113-97W	43	25	11	88
12/19	@ LAC	95-118L	40	21	13	86
12/15	vs GSW	143-133W	47	36	15	87
12/10	vs OKL	104-118L	44	25	18	80
12/07	vs TOR	125-118W	52	21	18	81
12/05	vs WAS	137-101W	58	27	15	89
12/03	@ MEM	121-116W	49	24	25	81
12/01	vs POR	137-131W	33	33	13	87

Trail Blazers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/26	@ UTA	122-120W	43	26	11	89
12/21	vs SAS	94-114L	44	21	13	96
12/19	@ DEN	126-124W	45	29	10	97
12/15	vs PHX	109-116L	48	30	13	94
12/13	@ SAS	116-118L	36	25	13	82
12/08	vs LAL	98-107L	49	17	17	84
12/06	@ UTA	99-141L	34	23	10	95
12/03	vs LAC	105-127L	29	25	15	80
12/01	@ DAL	131-137L	39	29	21	84
11/29	@ SAC	115-106W	40	27	11	90

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Quentin Grimes SG	21.0	23.2	16.5	27%	26.3
Kyrie Irving PG	45.0	36.5	39.6	100%	40.0
Dereck Lively II C	30.0	30.3	26.0	53%	26.3
Klay Thompson SF	25.0	33.9	27.0	100%	27.3
PJ Washington PF	37.0	22.9	28.6	100%	28.6

Portland Trail Blazers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deandre Ayton C	36.0	34.8	35.8	100%	36.1
Toumani Camara SF	23.0	24.5	22.3	100%	22.7
Jerami Grant PF	29.0	28.0	26.7	100%	27.1
Shaedon Sharpe SG	29.0	33.2	24.8	73%	27.1
Anfernee Simons PG	36.0	38.8	30.0	100%	30.4

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Luka Doncic (PG): Avg: 31.8pts, 9.1reb, 9.3ast, 37.8 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 9.4
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.3reb, 0.5ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.6
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.1
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.3

Trail Blazers Notable Injuries

Duop Reath (C): Avg: 7.9pts, 3.2reb, 0.9ast, 15.8 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 0.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
PJ Washington	DAL	Pts	13.5	16.9	+3.4	20%	40%	47%	47%	POR	-0.2	#13
Jerami Grant	POR	Pts	14.5	17.4	+2.9	40%	30%	27%	27%	DAL	0.0	#17
Anfernee Simons	POR	Reb	2.5	3.3	+0.8	80%	70%	60%	60%	DAL	+0.2	#21

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#12	#29	#12	-0.5%
PF	#17	#25	#26	#21	3.6%
PG	#4	#8	#9	#5	-7.8%
SF	#10	#5	#19	#14	-0.8%
SG	#18	#21	#16	#16	0.7%

Trail Blazers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#20	#21	#29	7.9%
PF	#27	#7	#10	#19	2.6%
PG	#10	#20	#28	#22	3.2%
SF	#13	#21	#20	#20	2.3%
SG	#29	#19	#25	#29	12.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.9

107.4

Rebounds per Game

45.4

42.2

Assists per Game

25.2

22.9

Steals per Game

8.6

8.4

Blocks per Game

5.6

5.9

Shots per Game

87.7

89.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

12.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.1

52.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.5

33.4

Turnovers per Game

14.4

15.7

Fouls per Game

18.7

19.7

Recent Trends

Dalano Banton (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.9% to 12.3, 24.1 min average previous 3 games.
Donovan Clingan (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.5% to 12.7, 20.0 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.2% to 21.9, 13.3 min average previous 3 games.
Matisse Thybulle (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.1% to 10.9, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.