Mavericks vs Kings Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 26th 2024
Mavericks
42W-29L
March 26, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 233.0 o/u
Kings
42W-29L
Well, strap on your lassos and polish your crowns, sports fans, because tonight we’re in for a royal rodeo of hoops! The Dallas Mavericks, boasting a 42W-29L record, are saddling up to charge into the Golden 1 Center, the citadel of the equally formidable 42W-29L Sacramento Kings. And boy, is the clock ticking down to the 10:00PM EST showdown! Both these western powerhouses are just two measly games shy of leading the conference, and they’re coming in hot, fresh off their recent victories. If you’re a betting man, the over/under is teasing at 233.0, with the Mavs at 1.0 and the Kings at -1.0. The Kings are still riding high from their 108-96 triumph over Philly, while the Mavericks are feeling invincible after their 115-105 victory over Utah. So, whether you’re a fan of the cowboy hustle or the royal flush, tonight’s game is set to be a crowning moment in the wild, wild West!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 26, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Vegas Odds
DAL ML | SAC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -105 | -115 | 236.5 | 1.0/-1.0 |
Recent | -105 | -115 | 233.0 | 1.0/-1.0 |
Difference | 0 | 0 | -3.5 | – |
Team Performance
51.2% Win Probability
48.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/27/24 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 29 | 34 | 31 | 26 | 120 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 25 | 24 | 26 | 40 | 115 | ||||
11/19/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 35 | 35 | 37 | 22 | 129 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 36 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 113 | ||||
04/05/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 27 | 44 | 21 | 27 | 119 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 123 | ||||
02/11/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 32 | 32 | 24 | 26 | 14 | 128 | Over | |
Sacramento Kings SAC | 34 | 28 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 133 | |||
02/10/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 45 | 29 | 27 | 21 | 122 | Over | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 25 | 31 | 31 | 27 | 114 | ||||
03/05/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 36 | 29 | 27 | 21 | 113 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 25 | 34 | 29 | 114 | ||||
12/31/21 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 112 | Under | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 39 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 96 | ||||
12/29/21 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 30 | 13 | 26 | 25 | 94 | Under | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 20 | 35 | 17 | 23 | 95 | ||||
10/31/21 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 22 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 99 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 31 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 105 |
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Kings Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/25 | vs UTA | 115-105W | 47 | 31 | 6 | 92 |
03/21 | @ UTA | 113-98W | 43 | 33 | 13 | 87 |
03/19 | vs SAS | 113-107W | 40 | 31 | 9 | 91 |
03/17 | @ DEN | 107-105W | 60 | 22 | 11 | 100 |
03/14 | vs OKL | 119-126L | 40 | 25 | 19 | 84 |
03/13 | @ GSW | 109-99W | 42 | 30 | 16 | 82 |
03/11 | vs CHI | 127-92W | 49 | 33 | 6 | 93 |
03/09 | vs DET | 142-128W | 36 | 29 | 14 | 92 |
03/07 | @ MIA | 114-108W | 45 | 27 | 9 | 87 |
03/05 | @ IND | 120-137L | 41 | 23 | 9 | 93 |
Kings Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/25 | @ PHI | 108-96W | 40 | 25 | 7 | 86 |
03/23 | vs ORL | 109-110L | 42 | 26 | 7 | 88 |
03/21 | vs WAS | 102-109L | 37 | 21 | 15 | 87 |
03/20 | vs TOR | 123-89W | 53 | 32 | 15 | 93 |
03/18 | @ MEM | 121-111W | 59 | 30 | 17 | 94 |
03/16 | @ NYK | 91-98L | 42 | 22 | 12 | 86 |
03/13 | @ LAL | 120-107W | 44 | 30 | 12 | 88 |
03/12 | @ MIL | 129-94W | 51 | 34 | 8 | 93 |
03/10 | @ HOU | 104-112L | 44 | 24 | 12 | 89 |
03/07 | @ SAS | 131-129W | 46 | 31 | 13 | 103 |
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
67.7 | 56.4 | 66.2 | 100% | 66.5 |
30.4 | 36.0 | 29.3 | 70% | 33.5 | |
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
45.0 | 47.8 | 45.5 | 100% | 45.9 |
13.1 | 14.1 | 12.9 | 70% | 15.0 | |
25.1 | 20.4 | 25.2 | 70% | 23.2 |
Sacramento Kings | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22.4 | 16.5 | 21.9 | 100% | 21.4 | |
Keon Ellis
SG
|
19.6 | 22.0 | 12.8 | 27% | 20.8 |
De’Aaron Fox
PG
|
51.6 | 48.4 | 44.8 | 100% | 44.0 |
31.2 | 33.3 | 27.0 | 100% | 26.8 | |
60.0 | 48.2 | 53.0 | 100% | 51.4 |
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Josh Green (SF/PF): Avg: 8.4pts, 3.2reb, 2.3ast, 26.7 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 2.3
- Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 3.4pts, 3.4reb, 1.4ast, 13.5 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.5
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 7.6 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.6
- Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.6ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 0.8
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.9pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 6.5 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.4
Kings Notable Injuries
- Kevin Huerter (SG): Avg: 10.4pts, 3.5reb, 2.6ast, 24.5 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 2.6
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): Avg: 7.0pts, 4.3reb, 1.1ast, 19.4 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 2.1
- JaVale McGee (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 2.7reb, 0.3ast, 8.7 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 1.1
- Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 1.3reb, 0.6ast, 6.7 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.6
- Jalen Slawson (PF): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Domantas Sabonis | SAC | Pts | 19.5 | 22.5 | +3.0 | 40% | 60% | 47% | 47% | DAL | +1.3 | #22 |
De’Aaron Fox | SAC | Pts | 26.5 | 29.2 | +2.7 | 20% | 30% | 47% | 47% | DAL | +1.0 | #21 |
Kyrie Irving | DAL | Reb | 4.5 | 5.1 | +0.6 | 60% | 50% | 53% | 53% | SAC | -0.9 | #2 |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #7 | #22 | #12 | -1.0% |
PF | #19 | #4 | #10 | #14 | -0.6% |
PG | #23 | #8 | #30 | #26 | 10.3% |
SF | #14 | #23 | #28 | #24 | 11.2% |
SG | #21 | #29 | #16 | #23 | 4.7% |
Kings Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #3 | #8 | #17 | #4 | -10.9% |
PF | #21 | #21 | #20 | #21 | 3.3% |
PG | #30 | #9 | #14 | #20 | 4.8% |
SF | #18 | #9 | #3 | #8 | -10.7% |
SG | #3 | #2 | #7 | #2 | -12.0% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 29.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 13.0 ast against UTA
- Domantas Sabonis (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 11.0 pts, 13.0 reb, 10.0 ast against PHI
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 15.3, 23.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Davion Mitchell (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.9% to 18.8, 14.4 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
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