Mavericks vs Kings Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Golden 1 Center to face off against the Sacramento Kings in a thrilling first-round NBA Playoff game tonight! Both teams are eager to bounce back after recent stumbles, with the Mavericks just a whisper behind in the Western conference rankings and the Kings looking to claw their way up from further down the pack. With the stakes sky-high and the scoreboard expected to light up past 228 points, this clash promises to be more than your average royal rumble. So, as the clock ticks down to an 11:00PM EST tip-off, it’s time to see if the Mavericks can lasso a win or if the Kings will defend their court and declare, “This isn’t your average Dallas rodeo!”

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 30, 2024 11:00PM EST

Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	SAC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+155	-180	231.5	4.0/-4.0
Recent	+105	-135	228.0	3.5/-3.5
Difference	-50	+45	-3.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

34W-22L

48.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

29W-27L

51.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
03/29/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	22	34	00	107	Under
03/29/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	34	26	22	21	00	103	Under
03/26/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	27	38	36	00	132	Push
03/26/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	28	25	23	20	00	96	Push
01/27/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	34	31	26	00	120	Over
01/27/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	24	26	40	00	115	Over
11/19/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	35	35	37	22	00	129	Over
11/19/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	29	31	17	00	113	Over
04/05/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	27	44	21	27	00	119	Over
04/05/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	32	32	31	00	123	Over
02/11/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	32	32	24	26	140	128	Over
02/11/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	34	28	24	28	190	133	Over
02/10/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	45	29	27	21	00	122	Over
02/10/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	31	31	27	00	114	Over
03/05/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	29	27	21	00	113	Under
03/05/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	34	29	00	114	Under
12/31/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	28	32	18	00	112	Under
12/31/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	39	17	20	20	00	96	Under
12/29/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	13	26	25	00	94	Under
12/29/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	20	35	17	23	00	95	Under
10/31/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	22	25	25	27	00	99	Under
10/31/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	22	29	23	00	105	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/28	vs POR	122-126L	40	20	13	89
12/27	vs PHX	98-89W	41	24	15	80
12/25	@ MIN	99-105L	43	15	12	87
12/21	@ LAC	113-97W	43	25	11	88
12/19	@ LAC	95-118L	40	21	13	86
12/15	vs GSW	143-133W	47	36	15	87
12/10	vs OKL	104-118L	44	25	18	80
12/07	vs TOR	125-118W	52	21	18	81
12/05	vs WAS	137-101W	58	27	15	89
12/03	@ MEM	121-116W	49	24	25	81

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/28	vs LAL	122-132L	39	38	9	98
12/26	@ DET	113-114L	44	20	14	82
12/22	@ IND	95-122L	47	21	10	96
12/21	@ LAL	99-103L	46	25	13	90
12/19	@ LAL	100-113L	43	27	15	82
12/12	vs NOP	111-109W	50	24	11	92
12/08	@ UTA	141-97W	43	39	8	100
12/06	vs SAS	140-113W	44	33	11	90
12/05	vs MEM	110-115L	46	19	13	98
12/03	@ HOU	120-111W	34	33	10	91

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Spencer Dinwiddie SG	29.0	29.1	17.0	10%	36.0
Kyrie Irving PG	47.0	41.8	40.6	100%	40.9
Dereck Lively II C	29.0	30.3	26.0	53%	26.3
Klay Thompson SF	31.0	27.2	26.2	100%	26.6
PJ Washington PF	30.0	22.9	28.6	100%	28.6

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	33.0	25.9	36.3	100%	36.7
De’Aaron Fox PG	44.0	47.7	45.2	100%	45.6
Malik Monk SG	34.0	27.0	26.6	37%	31.5
Keegan Murray PF	27.0	21.0	26.9	100%	27.2
Domantas Sabonis C	50.0	51.8	47.1	100%	47.5

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Luka Doncic (PG): Avg: 31.8pts, 9.1reb, 9.3ast, 37.8 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 9.4
Naji Marshall (SF/PF): Avg: 7.9pts, 3.5reb, 1.9ast, 20.1 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 3.2
Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.5pts, 2.7reb, 1.1ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 0.7
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.3reb, 0.5ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.6
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 0.1
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.2reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 0.3

Kings Notable Injuries

Jordan McLaughlin (PG): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.2reb, 1.6ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 12/22/24. Impact: 0.9
Doug McDermott (SF/PF): Avg: 4.6pts, 0.8reb, 0.9ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 12/22/24. Impact: 1.0
Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.3pts, 2.0reb, 1.0ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 12/22/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dereck Lively II	DAL	Pts	8.5	10.6	+2.1	40%	30%	40%	40%	SAC	-1.3	#10
Keegan Murray	SAC	Pts	11.5	13.4	+1.9	0%	30%	33%	33%	DAL	-0.3	#16
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Reb	4.5	5.1	+0.6	20%	40%	40%	40%	SAC	-0.3	#10
Klay Thompson	DAL	Reb	3.5	3.7	+0.2	40%	50%	53%	53%	SAC	-0.4	#10
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Ast	5.5	7.4	+1.9	40%	50%	47%	47%	DAL	+0.6	#26
Malik Monk	SAC	Ast	4.5	5.7	+1.2	40%	60%	53%	53%	DAL	-0.1	#15
PJ Washington	DAL	3Pt	1.5	2.0	+0.5	80%	80%	60%	60%	SAC	-0.1	#13

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#18	#29	#20	2.7%
PF	#16	#25	#26	#21	2.8%
PG	#5	#6	#8	#8	-6.4%
SF	#12	#7	#20	#15	-0.1%
SG	#20	#20	#15	#15	0.3%

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#23	#17	#13	-0.2%
PF	#25	#10	#22	#18	1.9%
PG	#1	#10	#21	#5	-7.7%
SF	#1	#12	#1	#1	-13.9%
SG	#30	#10	#16	#25	5.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.0

113.8

Rebounds per Game

45.4

43.9

Assists per Game

25.0

26.0

Steals per Game

8.4

7.5

Blocks per Game

5.9

4.6

Shots per Game

87.5

89.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.1

12.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.1

55.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.4

34.3

Turnovers per Game

14.6

12.9

Fouls per Game

18.7

19.8

Recent Trends

Keon Ellis (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.9% to 10.6, 18.3 min average previous 3 games.
Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.0% to 23.4, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 74.5% to 27.2, 15.6 min average previous 3 games.
Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.6% to 22.7, 13.8 min average previous 3 games.