Mavericks vs Spurs Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 19th 2024

Alright, hoop heads, strap in for a Texas-sized showdown tonight as the Mavericks, boasting a respectable 39-29 record, mosey on down to the AT&T Center to rustle up some action against the Spurs, who, let’s be honest, have seen better days with their 15-53 record. Trust me, this ain’t your grandpa’s rodeo! Our boys in blue, the Mavs, are just a couple of three-pointers shy of the Western conference lead, while the Spurs are…well, let’s just say they’re playing for pride at this point, a whopping 26.5 games back. The bookies have been busy, setting the over/under at a spicy 233.5, and favoring the Mavs at -7.5. Both teams are coming in hot, with the Spurs fresh off a 122-115 victory against BRO and the Mavs just edging out DEN 107-105. So, whether you’re a Maverick looking to lasso some winnings or a Spur hoping for a sharp turnaround, it’s time to saddle up for a night of thrilling NBA action!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 19, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	SAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-310	+255	234.0	-7.5/7.5
Recent	-245	+205	233.5	-9.0/9.0
Difference	+65	-50	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

17W-14L

71.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

8W-23L

29.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
02/14/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	19	14	28		93	Under
02/14/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	31	32	28		116	Under
12/23/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	29	37	20	33		119	Over
12/23/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	40	32	45	27		144	Over
10/25/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	28	32	30		126	Over
10/25/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	43	25	23	28		119	Over
04/09/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	42	29	37	30		138	Over
04/09/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	14	45	32	26		117	Over
03/15/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	32	28	33	16	137	Over
03/15/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	29	33	32	27	7	128	Over
02/23/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	26	37	27	26		116	Over
02/23/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	40	25	43		142	Over
12/31/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	32	36	35	23		126	Over
12/31/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	30	34	29	32		125	Over
04/10/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	29	30	23	38		120	Over
04/10/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	31	38	33		130	Over
11/12/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	37	34	21		123	Under
11/12/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	22	35	20	32		109	Under
11/03/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	31	22	28		109	Under
11/03/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	28	30	25	25		108	Under
10/28/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	25	24	27	23		99	Under
10/28/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	15	32	29	28		104	Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/17	@ DEN	107-105W	60	22	11	100
03/14	vs OKL	119-126L	40	25	19	84
03/13	@ GSW	109-99W	42	30	16	82
03/11	vs CHI	127-92W	49	33	6	93
03/09	vs DET	142-128W	36	29	14	92
03/07	@ MIA	114-108W	45	27	9	87
03/05	@ IND	120-137L	41	23	9	93
03/03	@ PHI	116-120L	45	20	17	86
03/01	vs BOS	110-138L	42	20	7	94
02/28	vs TOR	136-125W	50	32	14	99

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/17	@ BRO	122-115W	50	30	17	99
03/15	@ DEN	106-117L	44	23	16	82
03/12	@ HOU	101-103L	42	30	13	84
03/11	@ GSW	102-112L	50	27	15	93
03/09	vs GSW	126-115W	49	34	12	86
03/07	vs SAC	129-131L	37	39	12	91
03/05	vs HOU	101-114L	50	24	18	87
03/03	@ IND	117-105W	45	33	14	85
02/29	@ OKL	132-118W	45	39	11	93
02/27	vs MIN	105-114L	41	28	22	82

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	69.6	61.2	65.9	100%	66.2
Daniel Gafford C	28.7	33.2	28.3	70%	32.2
Kyrie Irving PG	46.8	45.5	45.0	100%	45.4
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	15.9	16.1	14.1	70%	16.5
PJ Washington PF	24.5	20.7	25.3	63%	23.8

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Julian Champagnie SG	13.6	17.2	14.9	100%	15.1
Tre Jones PG	29.1	31.4	28.7	100%	27.9
Jeremy Sochan PF	32.0	29.9	27.8	100%	27.4
Devin Vassell SF	39.0	32.8	35.2	100%	34.2
Victor Wembanyama C	55.3	45.5	50.1	100%	48.7

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Josh Green (SF/PF): Avg: 8.4pts, 3.2reb, 2.3ast, 26.7 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 2.3
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.6ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 0.8
AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.1pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6

Spurs Notable Injuries

Dominick Barlow (PF/C): Avg: 4.9pts, 3.6reb, 1.1ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 2.3
Devonte’ Graham (PG/SG): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.0reb, 1.5ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Luka Doncic	DAL	Pts	33.5	36.2	+2.7	60%	70%	53%	53%	SAS	+0.7	#21
Devin Vassell	SAS	Pts	20.5	22.1	+1.6	40%	60%	53%	53%	DAL	+2.3	#26
Tre Jones	SAS	Reb	3.5	3.9	+0.4	80%	80%	67%	67%	DAL	+1.2	#29
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Reb	7.5	7.8	+0.3	20%	20%	27%	27%	SAS	+0.4	#19
Jeremy Sochan	SAS	Ast	2.5	4.0	+1.5	60%	50%	47%	47%	DAL	-0.1	#16
Derrick Jones Jr.	DAL	Ast	0.5	0.8	+0.3	60%	70%	53%	53%	SAS	+0.9	#26

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#4	#25	#14	-2.8%
PF	#21	#2	#12	#15	-1.5%
PG	#17	#12	#30	#25	8.6%
SF	#18	#28	#16	#23	7.4%
SG	#26	#29	#14	#26	6.9%

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#19	#27	#29	13.1%
PF	#16	#10	#2	#7	-7.0%
PG	#25	#11	#15	#29	12.5%
SF	#6	#19	#26	#19	1.5%
SG	#21	#16	#19	#23	3.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

119.5

114.6

Rebounds per Game

43.3

45.2

Assists per Game

24.8

31.6

Steals per Game

7.5

6.8

Blocks per Game

5.9

7.3

Shots per Game

90.7

89.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.1

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

59.0

52.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.7

39.5

Turnovers per Game

11.7

14.8

Fouls per Game

17.5

16.5

Recent Trends

Malaki Branham (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 49.0% to 12.2, 24.0 min average previous 3 games.
Zach Collins (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.2% to 14.7, 23.0 min average previous 3 games.
David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 16.2, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.1% to 25.0, 15.4 min average previous 3 games.
Cedi Osman (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.6% to 11.9, 17.1 min average previous 3 games.
Blake Wesley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.0% to 10.9, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.