Mavericks vs Jazz Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Mar 25th 2024
Mavericks
41W-29L
March 25, 2024
09:00PM EST
Odds: 237.0 o/u
Jazz
29W-42L
Alright hoop-heads, buckle up for a clash of Western Conference bruisers as the Dallas Mavericks, hotter than a Texas summer at 41-29, gallop into the frosty confines of Vivint Smart Home Arena. They’re squaring off against the Utah Jazz, who, at 29-42, are about as harmonious as a middle school band practice right now. The action kicks off at 9:00 PM EST, so grab your late-night snacks and get comfy. While the Mavs are nipping at the heels of the conference leaders, just 2.5 games back, the Jazz are lagging behind like a drummer with a broken stick, a full 21 games in the rearview. Bookies are singing a high-scoring tune with an over/under set at a whopping 237.0, and they’re betting on the Mavs to hit all the right notes, favoring them by 8.0. The Jazz, fresh off a sour note against Houston, are hoping to strike a chord against the Mavs, who are still celebrating their recent victory over Utah. So, as we prepare for tipoff, let’s see if the Mavericks can keep their rhythm, or if the Jazz can orchestrate an upset that will have the whole league dancing to their beat.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 25, 2024 09:00PM EST
Location: Vivint Smart Home Arena, Utah
Vegas Odds
DAL ML | UTA ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -350 | +275 | 233.5 | -8.0/8.0 |
Recent | -360 | +280 | 237.0 | -8.5/8.5 |
Difference | -10 | +5 | +3.5 | – |
Team Performance
78.3% Win Probability
21.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/06/23 | Utah Jazz UTA | 29 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 97 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 40 | 34 | 35 | 38 | 147 | ||||
03/21/24 | Utah Jazz UTA | 27 | 15 | 31 | 24 | 97 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 113 | ||||
01/01/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 26 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 90 | Under | ||
Utah Jazz UTA | 37 | 25 | 31 | 34 | 127 | ||||
03/07/23 | Utah Jazz UTA | 31 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 116 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 25 | 28 | 33 | 120 | ||||
02/06/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 25 | 35 | 29 | 35 | 124 | Under | ||
Utah Jazz UTA | 37 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 111 | ||||
01/28/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 25 | 28 | 24 | 100 | Under | ||
Utah Jazz UTA | 34 | 32 | 18 | 24 | 108 | ||||
11/02/22 | Utah Jazz UTA | 35 | 15 | 28 | 22 | 100 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 103 | ||||
03/27/22 | Utah Jazz UTA | 29 | 30 | 20 | 21 | 100 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 21 | 37 | 32 | 24 | 114 | ||||
03/07/22 | Utah Jazz UTA | 24 | 25 | 19 | 35 | 103 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 30 | 30 | 25 | 26 | 111 | ||||
02/25/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 33 | 19 | 23 | 109 | Under | ||
Utah Jazz UTA | 31 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 114 | ||||
12/25/21 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 116 | Under | ||
Utah Jazz UTA | 25 | 40 | 25 | 30 | 120 |
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Jazz Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/21 | @ UTA | 113-98W | 43 | 33 | 13 | 87 |
03/19 | vs SAS | 113-107W | 40 | 31 | 9 | 91 |
03/17 | @ DEN | 107-105W | 60 | 22 | 11 | 100 |
03/14 | vs OKL | 119-126L | 40 | 25 | 19 | 84 |
03/13 | @ GSW | 109-99W | 42 | 30 | 16 | 82 |
03/11 | vs CHI | 127-92W | 49 | 33 | 6 | 93 |
03/09 | vs DET | 142-128W | 36 | 29 | 14 | 92 |
03/07 | @ MIA | 114-108W | 45 | 27 | 9 | 87 |
03/05 | @ IND | 120-137L | 41 | 23 | 9 | 93 |
03/03 | @ PHI | 116-120L | 45 | 20 | 17 | 86 |
Jazz Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/23 | vs HOU | 119-147L | 39 | 24 | 10 | 89 |
03/21 | vs DAL | 97-113L | 38 | 29 | 18 | 84 |
03/20 | vs OKL | 107-119L | 47 | 20 | 15 | 90 |
03/18 | @ MIN | 104-114L | 47 | 25 | 17 | 84 |
03/16 | @ MIN | 100-119L | 51 | 23 | 15 | 83 |
03/15 | @ ATL | 124-125L | 49 | 24 | 11 | 92 |
03/12 | @ BOS | 107-123L | 38 | 23 | 10 | 86 |
03/09 | vs DEN | 121-142L | 36 | 22 | 15 | 96 |
03/06 | @ CHI | 117-119L | 45 | 28 | 10 | 96 |
03/04 | @ WAS | 127-115W | 51 | 29 | 11 | 101 |
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
69.9 | 56.5 | 66.0 | 100% | 66.3 |
32.2 | 33.6 | 29.0 | 70% | 33.1 | |
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
46.8 | 50.4 | 46.0 | 100% | 46.4 |
16.6 | 14.2 | 13.8 | 70% | 16.1 | |
23.5 | 21.6 | 25.3 | 70% | 23.4 |
Utah Jazz | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26.2 | 27.4 | 32.0 | 100% | 31.2 | |
31.9 | 25.8 | 26.1 | 57% | 30.1 | |
22.1 | 21.8 | 15.2 | 41% | 21.7 | |
42.0 | 32.2 | 38.7 | 100% | 37.4 | |
38.0 | 36.0 | 35.4 | 83% | 35.8 |
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Josh Green (SF/PF): Avg: 8.4pts, 3.2reb, 2.3ast, 26.7 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 2.3
- Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 3.5pts, 3.5reb, 1.4ast, 13.7 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.6
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 7.6 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.6
- Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.6ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 0.8
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 6.7 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.5
Jazz Notable Injuries
- Talen Horton-Tucker (PG/SF): Avg: 9.8pts, 2.5reb, 3.7ast, 19.6 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 2.5
- Kris Dunn (PG/SG): Avg: 5.3pts, 2.7reb, 3.8ast, 18.6 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 2.4
- Omer Yurtseven (C): Avg: 3.6pts, 3.6reb, 0.5ast, 9.2 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 1.9
- Luka Samanic (SF/PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 1.9reb, 0.3ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.4
- Jason Preston (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.8reb, 1.8ast, 7.6 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Luka Doncic | DAL | Pts | 33.5 | 36.1 | +2.6 | 40% | 70% | 60% | 60% | UTA | +4.8 | #30 |
Kyrie Irving | DAL | Pts | 24.5 | 26.5 | +2.0 | 40% | 30% | 47% | 47% | UTA | +4.8 | #30 |
Daniel Gafford | DAL | Reb | 7.5 | 8.6 | +1.1 | 40% | 30% | 20% | 20% | UTA | -1.1 | #6 |
Lauri Markkanen | UTA | Reb | 7.5 | 8.6 | +1.1 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | DAL | +1.4 | #23 |
Derrick Jones Jr. | DAL | Ast | 0.5 | 0.9 | +0.4 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 60% | UTA | -0.7 | #12 |
PJ Washington | DAL | Ast | 1.5 | 1.7 | +0.2 | 20% | 30% | 27% | 27% | UTA | -0.7 | #12 |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #16 | #7 | #24 | #10 | -2.4% |
PF | #19 | #3 | #11 | #14 | -1.0% |
PG | #21 | #9 | #30 | #24 | 9.4% |
SF | #14 | #23 | #27 | #24 | 11.3% |
SG | #24 | #30 | #13 | #25 | 6.4% |
Jazz Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #30 | #6 | #19 | #28 | 10.1% |
PF | #18 | #5 | #30 | #20 | 3.5% |
PG | #8 | #6 | #25 | #9 | -5.8% |
SF | #13 | #19 | #12 | #14 | -3.1% |
SG | #30 | #25 | #28 | #30 | 17.2% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- John Collins (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.0% to 21.1, 30.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Kris Dunn (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.3% to 16.5, 25.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.5% to 20.2, 13.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Luka Samanic (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.0% to 11.0, 15.9 min average previous 3 games. The Jazz have a 2-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 5-game losing streak.
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