Mavericks vs Wizards Game Breakdown

Get ready to saddle up for an electrifying showdown as the high-flying Dallas Mavericks gallop into the Capital One Arena to face off against the struggling Washington Wizards in what promises to be a pivotal first-round playoff game. With the Mavericks looking to solidify their position and the Wizards desperate to conjure up some magic and turn their fortunes around, tonight’s clash is set to be a spectacle. Tipoff is at the prime time slot of 08:00 PM EST, and with the stakes as high as the over/under, every dribble, pass, and shot could tip the scales. While Dallas rides in on the momentum of a recent victory, the Wizards will need more than a few tricks up their sleeves to avoid another disappearing act. So, will the Mavericks continue to lasso their opponents, or can the Wizards pull a victory out of their hats? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 05, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Odds

	DAL ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-900	+575	236.5	-13.5/13.5
Recent	-1200	+700	232.0	-14.0/14.0
Difference	-300	+125	-4.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

30W-20L

92.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

0W-10L

HOME

8W-39L

7.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/12/24	Washington Wizards WAS	22	36	30	16	104	Under
02/12/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	25	27	34	112	Under
11/15/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	41	30	33	26	130	Over
11/15/23	Washington Wizards WAS	26	25	32	34	117	Over
01/24/23	Washington Wizards WAS	32	33	34	28	127	Over
01/24/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	32	37	29	126	Over
11/10/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	27	22	22	105	Under
11/10/22	Washington Wizards WAS	28	30	29	26	113	Under
04/01/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	23	25	25	103	Over
04/01/22	Washington Wizards WAS	41	26	27	41	135	Over
11/27/21	Washington Wizards WAS	41	20	30	29	120	Over
11/27/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	33	24	21	114	Over

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/03	@ MEM	121-116W	49	24	25	81
12/01	vs POR	137-131W	33	33	13	87
11/30	vs UTA	106-94W	48	30	15	90
11/25	vs ATL	129-119W	51	24	17	94
11/24	vs MIA	118-123L	59	29	13	105
11/22	vs DEN	123-120W	44	24	13	91
11/19	@ NOP	132-91W	48	26	11	93
11/17	vs OKL	121-119W	53	18	16	84
11/16	@ SAS	110-93W	53	26	14	94
11/14	vs UTA	113-115L	30	25	17	85

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/03	vs CLE	87-118L	52	18	20	83
11/30	vs MIL	114-124L	41	24	12	87
11/26	@ CHI	108-127L	43	27	12	91
11/24	vs IND	103-115L	41	24	16	79
11/22	@ BOS	96-108L	48	19	19	90
11/18	vs NYK	106-134L	41	23	10	91
11/17	@ DET	104-124L	39	21	17	83
11/15	vs ATL	117-129L	52	28	15	106
11/13	vs SAS	130-139L	41	27	18	95
11/11	vs HOU	92-107L	34	21	18	88

Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	52.0	57.0	55.5	100%	55.8
Kyrie Irving PG	40.0	42.6	38.6	100%	39.0
Dereck Lively II C	27.0	28.2	23.7	30%	24.9
Klay Thompson SF	19.0	20.6	26.5	87%	26.3
PJ Washington PF	31.0	37.7	29.8	100%	29.7

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Malcolm Brogdon SF	32.0	29.2	26.3	67%	32.8
Bilal Coulibaly SG	26.0	24.6	23.0	90%	24.3
Jordan Poole PG	34.0	32.3	36.1	93%	37.1
Alexandre Sarr PF	29.0	29.2	25.2	100%	25.7
Jonas Valanciunas C	34.0	23.1	25.1	60%	26.0

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Naji Marshall (SF/PF): Avg: 7.8pts, 3.5reb, 2.0ast, 20.1 minutes. Last game: 11/30/24. Impact: 3.7
Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 2.9reb, 1.1ast, 11.4 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 1.2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 0.7
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 11/30/24. Impact: 0.4
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.6 minutes. Last game: 11/30/24. Impact: 0.4

Wizards Notable Injuries

Kyle Kuzma (PF): Avg: 21.1pts, 6.4reb, 3.8ast, 31.7 minutes. Last game: 11/26/24. Impact: 4.8
Corey Kispert (SG/SF): Avg: 13.1pts, 2.8reb, 1.8ast, 25.8 minutes. Last game: 12/03/24. Impact: 3.3
Kyshawn George (SF/PF): Avg: 7.2pts, 3.8reb, 2.8ast, 25.4 minutes. Last game: 12/03/24. Impact: 2.9
Richaun Holmes (C): Avg: 5.0pts, 4.3reb, 0.6ast, 13.4 minutes. Last game: 12/03/24. Impact: 3.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jonas Valanciunas	WAS	Pts	12.5	14.6	+2.1	40%	50%	47%	47%	DAL	-1.8	#6
Malcolm Brogdon	WAS	Pts	14.5	16.4	+1.9	80%	50%	67%	67%	DAL	-1.0	#9
Carlton Carrington	WAS	Reb	3.5	4.3	+0.8	40%	50%	47%	47%	DAL	-0.6	#7

View All Player Prop Projections

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#3	#13	#3	-9.6%
PF	#10	#9	#12	#8	-3.6%
PG	#6	#7	#11	#6	-7.2%
SF	#23	#7	#8	#9	-2.9%
SG	#9	#28	#10	#15	-1.8%

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#20	#3	#25	5.9%
PF	#19	#30	#29	#28	9.1%
PG	#26	#21	#28	#29	11.3%
SF	#16	#13	#16	#17	1.3%
SG	#26	#29	#15	#26	7.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.8

109.4

Rebounds per Game

45.7

42.0

Assists per Game

26.4

25.6

Steals per Game

7.9

7.5

Blocks per Game

5.8

4.8

Shots per Game

89.2

89.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.1

12.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.8

53.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.0

33.8

Turnovers per Game

13.2

14.9

Fouls per Game

19.5

21.9

Recent Trends

Luka Doncic (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 65.8% to 22.1, 13.3 min average previous 3 games.