Nuggets vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Denver Nuggets gallop into the American Airlines Center to face off against the Dallas Mavericks in what promises to be a nail-biter of a playoff game! With the Nuggets looking to cement their lead and the Mavericks eager to bounce back from their recent stumble, tonight’s 10:30 PM EST clash is more than just a game—it’s a battle for Western conference supremacy. The stakes are sky-high, the crowd is pumped, and with the over/under teasing a high-scoring frenzy, fans are in for a treat. As both teams gear up, remember, in a game where Mavericks are set to duel Nuggets, expect nothing less than a gold rush of hoops action!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 14, 2025 10:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	DEN ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-195	+165	231.0	-4.5/4.5
Recent	-165	+140	233.0	-4.0/4.0
Difference	+30	-25	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

31W-24L

62.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

34W-23L

37.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/12/25	Denver Nuggets DEN	17	41	21	33	112	Under
01/12/25	Dallas Mavericks DAL	32	29	28	12	101	Under
11/22/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	40	22	28	123	Over
11/22/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	22	36	31	120	Over
11/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	34	31	26	120	Over
11/10/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	25	37	25	122	Over
03/17/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	27	18	26	105	Under
03/17/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	28	26	23	107	Under
12/18/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	39	21	24	104	Over
12/18/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	40	30	32	130	Over
11/03/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	31	32	27	114	Over
11/03/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	40	30	32	23	125	Over
02/15/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	19	30	35	109	Under
02/15/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	35	31	26	118	Under
12/06/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	28	27	25	116	Under
12/06/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	29	28	29	115	Under
11/20/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	30	24	19	98	Under
11/20/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	31	18	23	97	Under
11/18/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	28	28	16	99	Under
11/18/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	44	32	22	127	Under
01/03/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	20	17	26	26	89	Under
01/03/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	22	23	34	103	Under
11/15/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	26	25	18	101	Under
11/15/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	35	14	30	32	111	Under
10/29/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	23	12	19	75	Under
10/29/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	25	33	19	106	Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/12	vs DAL	112-101W	55	23	13	94
01/10	@ BRO	124-105W	49	34	14	87
01/08	@ LAC	126-103W	45	29	11	89
01/07	@ BOS	106-118L	39	22	16	87
01/04	vs SAS	122-111W	58	32	7	108
01/03	@ SAS	110-113L	46	33	8	97
01/01	@ ATL	139-120W	43	44	12	94
12/30	vs UTA	132-121W	51	38	7	105
12/28	@ DET	134-121W	40	29	13	82
12/27	@ CLE	135-149L	38	39	13	94

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/12	@ DEN	101-112L	37	27	12	85
01/09	@ POR	117-111W	53	26	14	88
01/07	@ LAL	118-97W	44	29	10	86
01/06	vs MEM	104-119L	50	25	15	98
01/03	@ CLE	122-134L	53	29	12	100
01/01	vs HOU	99-110L	38	19	20	75
12/30	vs SAC	100-110L	36	17	17	76
12/28	vs POR	122-126L	40	20	13	89
12/27	vs PHX	98-89W	41	24	15	80
12/25	@ MIN	99-105L	43	15	12	87

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SF	18.0	19.4	25.1	100%	25.5
Nikola Jokic C	66.0	73.6	66.6	100%	67.0
Jamal Murray SG	34.0	30.9	36.4	100%	36.7
Michael Porter Jr. PF	27.0	33.7	33.7	100%	34.1
Russell Westbrook PG	36.0	46.0	34.1	43%	40.9

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Kyrie Irving PG	43.0	41.6	40.3	100%	40.7
Dereck Lively II C	28.0	33.0	26.9	73%	28.2
Naji Marshall SF	26.0	22.4	19.3	37%	20.6
Klay Thompson SG	25.0	26.3	24.2	100%	24.5
PJ Washington PF	36.0	35.2	29.4	100%	29.5

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Dario Saric (C): Avg: 7.1pts, 4.2reb, 2.1ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 2.0
Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.7reb, 0.4ast, 8.3 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 0.2
Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 0.9
Hunter Tyson (SF/PF): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 0.4
Trey Alexander (PG/SG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.2reb, 0.4ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 0.4
Spencer Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 0.2

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.7reb, 1.1ast, 10.7 minutes. Last game: 01/07/25. Impact: 1.0
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 01/12/25. Impact: 1.1
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.3reb, 0.5ast, 7.3 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 0.7
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 5.7 minutes. Last game: 01/07/25. Impact: 0.9
Kessler Edwards (SF/PF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.1
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.3reb, 0.4ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dereck Lively II	DAL	Pts	8.5	10.2	+1.7	60%	50%	40%	40%	DEN	+0.3	#15
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Pts	23.5	24.6	+1.1	40%	40%	47%	47%	DEN	-1.4	#5
Naji Marshall	DAL	Reb	3.5	5.2	+1.7	60%	50%	53%	53%	DEN	-0.5	#8
PJ Washington	DAL	Reb	7.5	7.9	+0.4	60%	30%	33%	33%	DEN	-0.5	#8

View All Player Prop Projections

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#23	#27	#22	5.1%
PF	#9	#4	#5	#6	-4.6%
PG	#5	#16	#29	#23	3.0%
SF	#17	#8	#27	#18	1.7%
SG	#30	#15	#22	#28	8.0%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#22	#21	#19	4.1%
PF	#20	#8	#24	#19	-0.0%
PG	#11	#2	#15	#17	0.8%
SF	#8	#10	#28	#12	-2.3%
SG	#17	#24	#8	#16	-0.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

119.8

115.8

Rebounds per Game

44.8

46.3

Assists per Game

31.1

24.8

Steals per Game

8.8

8.2

Blocks per Game

4.5

6.6

Shots per Game

90.3

87.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.3

13.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.5

53.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.0

38.7

Turnovers per Game

13.6

14.7

Fouls per Game

18.1

Recent Trends

Spencer Dinwiddie (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.4% to 36.4, 25.8 min average previous 3 games.
Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.5% to 10.9, 18.7 min average previous 3 games.
Naji Marshall (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.9% to 28.6, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
Michael Porter Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.1% to 28.9, 41.3 min average previous 3 games.
PJ Washington (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.7% to 37.2, 26.3 min average previous 3 games.