Nuggets vs Mavericks Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 17th 2024

Well, buckle up, basketball junkies, because we’ve got a sizzler on our hands today! The Denver Nuggets, flaunting their shiny 47W-20L record, are saddling up and heading to the Lone Star State to square off against the 38W-29L Dallas Mavericks in their own backyard – the American Airlines Center. The clock’s set for a 03:30PM EST showdown, and trust me, you don’t want to miss a second of it. In the wild wild west of the NBA, the Nuggets are sitting pretty at the top while the Mavericks are trailing by just a hat’s throw at 3 games back. Vegas has the over/under pegged at 229.5, and the Nuggets are favored by a slim 3-point margin. But don’t start placing your bets just yet! The Mavericks, fresh off a narrow defeat against OKL, are chomping at the bit for redemption, while the Nuggets are looking to keep the party going after their recent triumph over SAS. So, will the Nuggets strike gold in Dallas, or will the Mavericks corral them in their tracks? Only time will tell, folks, but one thing’s for sure: this ain’t gonna be no nugget-sized showdown!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 17, 2024 03:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

19W-13L

63.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

19W-15L

36.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U	ATS
12/18/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	39	21	24		104	Over
	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	40	30	32		130
11/03/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	31	32	27		114	Over
	Denver Nuggets DEN	40	30	32	23		125
02/15/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	19	30	35		109	Under
	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	35	31	26		118
12/06/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	28	27	25		116	Over
	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	29	28	29		115
11/20/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	30	24	19		98	Under
	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	31	18	23		97
11/18/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	28	28	16		99	Under
	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	44	32	22		127
01/03/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	20	17	26	26		89	Under
	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	22	23	34		103
11/15/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	26	25	18		101	Under
	Dallas Mavericks DAL	35	14	30	32		111
10/29/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	23	12	19		75	Under
	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	25	33	19		106

Starting Lineups

Nuggets Notable Injuries

• Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.3reb, 1.0ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.7
• Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.3
• Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.6
• Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.4

Mavericks Notable Injuries

• Josh Green (SF/PF): Avg: 8.4pts, 3.2reb, 2.3ast, 26.7 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 2.3
• Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.6ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 0.8
• AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.1pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Recent Trends

• Justin Holiday (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.3% to 14.2, 23.0 min average previous 3 games.
• Reggie Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.8% to 15.8, 12.1 min average previous 3 games.
• Derrick Jones Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.5% to 22.3, 13.9 min average previous 3 games.
The Nuggets have a 2-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 5-game winning streak.