Nuggets vs Clippers Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 4th 2024
Nuggets
53W-23L
April 04, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 221.0 o/u
Clippers
47W-28L
Alright, hoop heads, get ready for a late-night tussle in the City of Angels. Our beloved Denver Nuggets, boasting a record that’s as shiny as a prospector’s dream at 53-23, are rolling into the glitz and glamour of the Crypto.com Arena to go toe-to-toe with the 47-28 Los Angeles Clippers. You heard it right, folks, it’s a prime-time showdown at 10:00 PM EST, and the Western Conference is quaking in anticipation, with both teams locked in a neck-and-neck race. The bookies are having a field day, setting the over/under at a tantalizing 221.0, with the Nuggets favored by -3.5 and the Clippers biting at their heels with a line of 3.5. The Clippers, fresh off a bruising 95-109 loss against the Kings, are hungry to bounce back, while the Nuggets, still buzzing from their nail-biting 110-105 victory over the Spurs, are ready to keep the momentum going. So, buckle up and brace yourselves, because when the Nuggets and Clippers clash, it’s not just a game, it’s a gold rush in a shipyard!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 04, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vegas Odds
DEN ML | LAC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -160 | +135 | 218.0 | -3.5/3.5 |
Recent | -170 | +145 | 221.0 | -3.5/3.5 |
Difference | -10 | +10 | +3.0 | – |
Team Performance
63.0% Win Probability
37.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/06/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 36 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 102 | Under | ||
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 21 | 40 | 18 | 32 | 111 | ||||
11/27/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 33 | 19 | 36 | 113 | Under | ||
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 28 | 28 | 32 | 16 | 104 | ||||
11/14/23 | Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 26 | 26 | 32 | 24 | 108 | Under | ||
Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 32 | 24 | 27 | 111 | ||||
02/26/23 | Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 22 | 36 | 30 | 32 | 4 | 124 | Over | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 31 | 31 | 23 | 14 | 134 | |||
01/13/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 25 | 29 | 29 | 115 | Under | ||
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 34 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 103 | ||||
01/05/23 | Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 15 | 17 | 27 | 32 | 91 | Under | ||
Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 34 | 36 | 20 | 122 | ||||
11/25/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 31 | 33 | 23 | 27 | 114 | Under | ||
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 104 | ||||
03/22/22 | Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 27 | 34 | 27 | 27 | 115 | Over | ||
Denver Nuggets DEN | 37 | 35 | 27 | 28 | 127 | ||||
01/19/22 | Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 25 | 34 | 22 | 33 | 14 | 128 | Over | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 18 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 130 | |||
01/11/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 18 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 85 | Under | ||
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 16 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 87 | ||||
12/26/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 32 | 15 | 24 | 103 | Under | ||
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 30 | 25 | 28 | 17 | 100 |
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Clippers Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/02 | @ SAS | 110-105W | 52 | 28 | 8 | 98 |
03/31 | @ CLE | 130-101W | 51 | 36 | 16 | 87 |
03/29 | @ MIN | 98-111L | 46 | 29 | 12 | 88 |
03/27 | @ PHX | 97-104L | 38 | 24 | 8 | 88 |
03/25 | @ MEM | 128-103W | 50 | 38 | 15 | 90 |
03/23 | vs POR | 114-111W | 49 | 25 | 13 | 92 |
03/21 | @ NYK | 113-100W | 42 | 31 | 9 | 85 |
03/19 | vs MIN | 115-112W | 49 | 26 | 17 | 81 |
03/17 | vs DAL | 105-107L | 37 | 26 | 7 | 84 |
03/15 | vs SAS | 117-106W | 40 | 37 | 12 | 90 |
Clippers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/02 | vs SAC | 95-109L | 38 | 18 | 15 | 76 |
03/31 | vs CHA | 130-118W | 41 | 28 | 8 | 75 |
03/29 | vs ORL | 100-97W | 41 | 19 | 16 | 86 |
03/27 | vs PHI | 108-107W | 43 | 28 | 6 | 90 |
03/25 | @ IND | 116-133L | 36 | 26 | 8 | 85 |
03/24 | @ PHI | 107-121L | 37 | 27 | 13 | 83 |
03/22 | vs POR | 125-117W | 40 | 26 | 17 | 80 |
03/20 | vs POR | 116-103W | 42 | 29 | 11 | 86 |
03/17 | @ ATL | 93-110L | 40 | 17 | 15 | 74 |
03/15 | vs NOP | 104-112L | 37 | 18 | 12 | 77 |
Starting Lineups
Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20.5 | 21.3 | 19.6 | 100% | 20.0 | |
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
32.4 | 35.1 | 29.8 | 100% | 30.2 |
61.3 | 64.1 | 59.4 | 100% | 59.7 | |
Jamal Murray
PG
|
40.9 | 39.8 | 39.5 | 100% | 40.0 |
33.2 | 31.2 | 32.1 | 100% | 32.4 |
Los Angeles Clippers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paul George
PF
|
44.2 | 39.0 | 36.9 | 100% | 35.8 |
James Harden
PG
|
45.9 | 33.1 | 38.7 | 100% | 38.4 |
Terance Mann
SG
|
17.2 | 12.6 | 16.5 | 100% | 16.5 |
27.1 | 20.6 | 22.2 | 7% | 27.0 | |
29.6 | 30.6 | 26.3 | 100% | 26.8 |
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.5 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6
- Collin Gillespie (PG): Avg: 3.6pts, 0.9reb, 1.1ast, 9.4 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.9
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.4
- Braxton Key (PF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.8reb, 0.5ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
- Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.6reb, 0.1ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.4
- Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.6reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.5
Clippers Notable Injuries
- Kawhi Leonard (SF/PF): Avg: 23.7pts, 6.1reb, 3.6ast, 34.2 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 6.6
- Xavier Moon (PG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
James Harden | LAC | Pts | 15.5 | 18.6 | +3.1 | 20% | 20% | 27% | 27% | DEN | -0.6 | #12 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | Pts | 8.5 | 9.7 | +1.2 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | LAC | +0.3 | #18 |
Michael Porter Jr. | DEN | Reb | 6.5 | 7.5 | +1.0 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 60% | LAC | -4.6 | #2 |
Aaron Gordon | DEN | Reb | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | 80% | 70% | 60% | 60% | LAC | -4.6 | #2 |
Nikola Jokic | DEN | Ast | 8.5 | 9.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 30% | 33% | 33% | LAC | +0.1 | #18 |
Terance Mann | LAC | Ast | 1.5 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 20% | 30% | 20% | 20% | DEN | +1.4 | #26 |
Nuggets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #26 | #5 | #17 | #22 | 3.3% |
PF | #5 | #15 | #8 | #6 | -7.0% |
PG | #1 | #26 | #20 | #5 | -26.6% |
SF | #28 | #23 | #26 | #28 | 19.1% |
SG | #12 | #14 | #14 | #13 | -3.2% |
Clippers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #10 | #26 | #18 | #18 | 2.5% |
PF | #27 | #1 | #27 | #22 | 3.8% |
PG | #14 | #22 | #3 | #19 | 5.8% |
SF | #7 | #2 | #20 | #1 | -42.9% |
SG | #18 | #10 | #18 | #20 | 0.6% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Brandon Boston Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.8% to 17.4, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Joshua Primo (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 49.3% to 11.6, 22.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Daniel Theis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.3% to 14.8, 11.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Russell Westbrook (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.1% to 20.6, 15.2 min average previous 3 games. The Clippers have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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