Nuggets vs Lakers Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 25th 2024
Nuggets
2W-0L
April 25, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 217.5 o/u
Lakers
1W-2L
Get ready for a showdown that promises more twists and turns than a Hollywood screenplay as the Denver Nuggets, riding high with a pristine 2-0 record, gallop into the Crypto.com Arena to challenge the Los Angeles Lakers, who are looking to bounce back from a shaky 1-2 start. It’s game time at 10:00 PM EST, folks, and the stage is set for a clash that could redefine the pecking order in the Western Conference. With the betting lines drawing a razor-thin margin and the scoreboard anticipated to light up past 217 points, tonight’s matchup is anything but predictable. Fresh off their respective nail-biters, both teams are gunning for dominance, making this playoff game a must-watch. So, as the Nuggets look to mine another victory and the Lakers aim to shoot for the stars, brace yourself for an evening where the only guarantee is edge-of-your-seat excitement!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 25, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vegas Odds
| DEN ML | LAL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +110 | -145 | 215.5 | -1.0/1.0 |
| Recent | +125 | -145 | 217.5 | 1.0/-1.0 |
| Difference | +15 | 0 | +2.0 | – |
Team Performance
44.4% Win Probability
55.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/22/24 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 28 | 31 | 20 | 20 | 00 | 99 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 24 | 20 | 25 | 32 | 00 | 101 | |||
| 04/20/24 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 33 | 27 | 18 | 25 | 00 | 103 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 32 | 32 | 25 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 03/02/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 27 | 31 | 31 | 35 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 33 | 33 | 23 | 25 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 02/08/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 30 | 24 | 31 | 00 | 114 | Over | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 23 | 26 | 30 | 27 | 00 | 106 | |||
| 10/24/23 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 20 | 34 | 26 | 27 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 34 | 29 | 24 | 32 | 00 | 119 | |||
| 01/09/23 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 23 | 25 | 31 | 30 | 00 | 109 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 33 | 32 | 28 | 00 | 122 | |||
| 12/16/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 33 | 23 | 20 | 00 | 108 | Over | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 33 | 31 | 29 | 33 | 00 | 126 | |||
| 10/30/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 31 | 20 | 34 | 25 | 00 | 110 | Over | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 26 | 29 | 38 | 28 | 00 | 121 | |||
| 10/26/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 22 | 32 | 17 | 28 | 00 | 99 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 28 | 32 | 24 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 04/10/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 36 | 33 | 26 | 40 | 110 | 146 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 33 | 36 | 39 | 27 | 60 | 141 | |||
| 04/03/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 24 | 38 | 33 | 34 | 00 | 129 | Over | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 28 | 33 | 33 | 24 | 00 | 118 | |||
| 01/15/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 29 | 31 | 19 | 17 | 00 | 96 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 34 | 39 | 29 | 31 | 00 | 133 |
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Lakers Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs SAS | 120-121L | 33 | 31 | 7 | 97 |
| 04/10 | @ MIN | 116-107W | 44 | 31 | 13 | 83 |
| 04/09 | vs UTA | 111-95W | 43 | 30 | 9 | 94 |
| 04/06 | @ ATL | 142-110W | 47 | 38 | 15 | 88 |
| 04/04 | vs LAC | 100-102L | 51 | 27 | 13 | 83 |
| 04/02 | @ SAS | 110-105W | 52 | 28 | 8 | 98 |
| 03/31 | @ CLE | 130-101W | 51 | 36 | 16 | 87 |
| 03/29 | @ MIN | 98-111L | 46 | 29 | 12 | 88 |
| 03/27 | @ PHX | 97-104L | 38 | 24 | 8 | 88 |
| 03/25 | @ MEM | 128-103W | 50 | 38 | 15 | 90 |
Lakers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs MEM | 123-120W | 39 | 24 | 19 | 81 |
| 04/09 | @ GSW | 120-134L | 40 | 31 | 7 | 96 |
| 04/07 | @ MIN | 117-127L | 41 | 27 | 15 | 84 |
| 04/06 | @ CLE | 116-97W | 40 | 30 | 17 | 80 |
| 04/03 | vs WAS | 125-120W | 49 | 21 | 16 | 91 |
| 04/02 | vs TOR | 128-111W | 47 | 38 | 14 | 101 |
| 03/31 | vs BRO | 116-104W | 50 | 24 | 19 | 77 |
| 03/29 | vs IND | 90-109L | 48 | 24 | 16 | 87 |
| 03/27 | vs MEM | 136-124W | 43 | 31 | 15 | 81 |
| 03/26 | vs MIL | 128-124W | 69 | 30 | 17 | 108 |
Starting Lineups
| Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.7 | 15.9 | 20.4 | 100% | 20.8 | |
|
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
32.3 | 31.2 | 29.9 | 100% | 30.3 |
| 68.0 | 63.8 | 59.9 | 100% | 60.2 | |
|
Jamal Murray
PG
|
45.4 | 44.4 | 40.2 | 100% | 40.6 |
| 35.4 | 30.1 | 32.6 | 100% | 33.0 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.7 | 52.0 | 52.5 | 100% | 52.8 | |
| 25.9 | 26.1 | 26.5 | 100% | 26.8 | |
|
LeBron James
PF
|
54.6 | 55.9 | 50.8 | 100% | 51.2 |
| 29.2 | 25.4 | 32.6 | 100% | 32.9 | |
| 35.5 | 31.4 | 37.1 | 100% | 37.5 |
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.2reb, 0.9ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.6
- Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.2
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.5
- Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.6reb, 0.1ast, 2.6 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.5
- Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.5reb, 0.1ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.4
Lakers Notable Injuries
- Gabe Vincent OUT (PG/SG): Avg: 2.8pts, 0.9reb, 1.8ast, 18.9 minutes. Last game: 04/22/24. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Rui Hachimura | LAL | Pts | 11.5 | 15.1 | +3.6 | 60% | 70% | 73% | 73% | DEN | +19.2 | #30 |
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | Pts | 27.5 | 30.0 | +2.5 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | LAL | -1.4 | #12 |
| Peyton Watson | DEN | Reb | 1.5 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 80% | LAL | +3.2 | #27 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | DEN | Reb | 7.5 | 8.0 | +0.5 | 60% | 50% | 53% | 53% | LAL | +3.2 | #27 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | Ast | 1.5 | 2.7 | +1.2 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 60% | LAL | +0.4 | #22 |
Nuggets Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #23 | #24 | #18 | #23 | 6.8% |
| PF | #11 | #10 | #8 | #5 | -6.2% |
| PG | #10 | #21 | #10 | #9 | -23.3% |
| SF | #30 | #30 | #30 | #30 | 46.4% |
| SG | #1 | #4 | #20 | #1 | -13.8% |
Lakers Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #12 | #7 | #17 | #11 | -3.1% |
| PF | #22 | #21 | #15 | #22 | 2.5% |
| PG | #21 | #12 | #21 | #24 | 18.2% |
| SF | #13 | #27 | #10 | #19 | 4.9% |
| SG | #24 | #15 | #22 | #25 | 6.2% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Anthony Davis (C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
- Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 27.0 pts, 20.0 reb, 10.0 ast against LAL
- Christian Braun (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.5% to 17.8, 26.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Anthony Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.1% to 42.1, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Spencer Dinwiddie (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.5% to 14.3, 27.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Justin Holiday (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.9% to 11.4, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Reggie Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 46.5% to 12.2, 22.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Jamal Murray (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.7% to 35.8, 25.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Peyton Watson (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.6% to 14.9, 26.9 min average previous 3 games. The Lakers have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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