Nuggets vs Lakers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 27th 2024

Get ready to light up the scoreboard tonight as the Denver Nuggets, cruising in with a flawless 3-0, storm the Crypto.com Arena to face off against the Los Angeles Lakers, who are trying to find their groove at 1-3 this season. It’s a high-stakes showdown in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs, where the Nuggets aim to solidify their top spot in the Western Conference, and the Lakers look to bounce back and close the gap. With the over/under teetering at 219 and the Nuggets favored by just a slim margin, tonight’s clash promises to deliver some high-octane basketball. While the Lakers recently snatched a nail-biter against Memphis, the Nuggets felt the sting of a one-point heartbreaker against San Antonio. As the clock ticks down to the 08:30 PM EST tipoff, fans are buzzing—will the Nuggets continue to strike gold, or will the Lakers start a Hollywood comeback story?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 27, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles

Vegas Odds

	DEN ML	LAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-150	+130	217.5	-3.0/3.0
Recent	-170	+145	219.0	-4.0/4.0
Difference	-20	+15	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

22W-16L

63.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

28W-13L

37.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
04/25/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	23	26	34	29	00	112	Under
04/25/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	20	22	30	00	105	Under
04/22/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	28	31	20	20	00	99	Under
04/22/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	24	20	25	32	00	101	Under
04/20/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	27	18	25	00	103	Under
04/20/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	32	32	25	00	114	Under
03/02/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	31	31	35	00	124	Over
03/02/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	33	23	25	00	114	Over
02/08/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	30	24	31	00	114	Over
02/08/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	23	26	30	27	00	106	Over
10/24/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	20	34	26	27	00	107	Over
10/24/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	29	24	32	00	119	Over
01/09/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	23	25	31	30	00	109	Over
01/09/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	33	32	28	00	122	Over
12/16/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	33	23	20	00	108	Over
12/16/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	31	29	33	00	126	Over
10/30/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	20	34	25	00	110	Over
10/30/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	26	29	38	28	00	121	Over
10/26/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	22	32	17	28	00	99	Under
10/26/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	28	32	24	00	110	Under
04/10/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	36	33	26	40	110	146	Over
04/10/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	33	36	39	27	60	141	Over
04/03/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	24	38	33	34	00	129	Over
04/03/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	28	33	33	24	00	118	Over
01/15/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	29	31	19	17	00	96	Over
01/15/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	39	29	31	00	133	Over

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Lakers Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs SAS	120-121L	33	31	7	97
04/10	@ MIN	116-107W	44	31	13	83
04/09	vs UTA	111-95W	43	30	9	94
04/06	@ ATL	142-110W	47	38	15	88
04/04	vs LAC	100-102L	51	27	13	83
04/02	@ SAS	110-105W	52	28	8	98
03/31	@ CLE	130-101W	51	36	16	87
03/29	@ MIN	98-111L	46	29	12	88
03/27	@ PHX	97-104L	38	24	8	88
03/25	@ MEM	128-103W	50	38	15	90

Lakers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs MEM	123-120W	39	24	19	81
04/09	@ GSW	120-134L	40	31	7	96
04/07	@ MIN	117-127L	41	27	15	84
04/06	@ CLE	116-97W	40	30	17	80
04/03	vs WAS	125-120W	49	21	16	91
04/02	vs TOR	128-111W	47	38	14	101
03/31	vs BRO	116-104W	50	24	19	77
03/29	vs IND	90-109L	48	24	16	87
03/27	vs MEM	136-124W	43	31	15	81
03/26	vs MIL	128-124W	69	30	17	108

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
K. Caldwell-Pope SG	23.8	15.2	20.1	100%	20.4
Aaron Gordon PF	34.3	33.6	30.9	100%	31.3
Nikola Jokic C	68.6	62.9	60.2	100%	60.5
Jamal Murray PG	47.6	42.0	39.9	100%	40.3
Michael Porter Jr. SF	35.4	32.9	33.0	100%	33.4

Los Angeles Lakers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Anthony Davis C	57.5	50.9	52.2	100%	52.5
Rui Hachimura SF	22.5	19.7	25.8	100%	26.1
LeBron James PF	55.2	56.2	50.9	100%	51.3
Austin Reaves SG	32.7	29.4	32.7	100%	33.1
D’Angelo Russell PG	31.0	25.0	35.9	100%	36.3

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.2

Lakers Notable Injuries

Gabe Vincent OUT (PG/SG): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.2reb, 1.7ast, 19.0 minutes. Last game: 04/25/24. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Nikola Jokic	DEN	Pts	26.5	30.2	+3.7	60%	60%	67%	67%	LAL	-0.6	#14
Rui Hachimura	LAL	Pts	9.5	13.1	+3.6	40%	60%	67%	67%	DEN	+19.3	#30
Christian Braun	DEN	Reb	1.5	2.9	+1.4	100%	100%	100%	100%	LAL	+2.8	#26
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	DEN	Reb	2.5	2.7	+0.2	20%	30%	47%	47%	LAL	-0.0	#15

View All Player Prop Projections

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#25	#20	#29	9.9%
PF	#11	#2	#8	#3	-11.5%
PG	#11	#20	#7	#11	-27.1%
SF	#30	#30	#30	#30	46.6%
SG	#1	#7	#17	#1	-15.4%

Lakers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#19	#28	#17	2.6%
PF	#22	#16	#14	#19	0.7%
PG	#15	#12	#20	#21	11.3%
SF	#12	#26	#11	#18	0.4%
SG	#25	#15	#18	#24	4.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.9

116.9

Rebounds per Game

45.9

44.2

Assists per Game

31.2

27.4

Steals per Game

7.2

7.6

Blocks per Game

6.2

5.4

Shots per Game

89.8

87.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.0

12.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.8

59.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

41.6

35.1

Turnovers per Game

11.6

15.4

Fouls per Game

19.0

14.1

Recent Trends

Anthony Davis (C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 4 consecutive games.
Christian Braun (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.0% to 15.9, 26.1 min average previous 3 games.
Anthony Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.4% to 42.0, 30.4 min average previous 3 games.
Spencer Dinwiddie (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.9% to 15.0, 25.8 min average previous 3 games.
Jamal Murray (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.5% to 39.7, 27.8 min average previous 3 games.
Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.
Peyton Watson (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.5% to 13.9, 24.2 min average previous 3 games.