Nuggets vs Lakers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 27th 2024
Nuggets
3W-0L
April 27, 2024
08:30PM EST
Odds: 219.0 o/u
Lakers
1W-3L
Get ready to light up the scoreboard tonight as the Denver Nuggets, cruising in with a flawless 3-0, storm the Crypto.com Arena to face off against the Los Angeles Lakers, who are trying to find their groove at 1-3 this season. It’s a high-stakes showdown in the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs, where the Nuggets aim to solidify their top spot in the Western Conference, and the Lakers look to bounce back and close the gap. With the over/under teetering at 219 and the Nuggets favored by just a slim margin, tonight’s clash promises to deliver some high-octane basketball. While the Lakers recently snatched a nail-biter against Memphis, the Nuggets felt the sting of a one-point heartbreaker against San Antonio. As the clock ticks down to the 08:30 PM EST tipoff, fans are buzzing—will the Nuggets continue to strike gold, or will the Lakers start a Hollywood comeback story?
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 27, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vegas Odds
| DEN ML | LAL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -150 | +130 | 217.5 | -3.0/3.0 |
| Recent | -170 | +145 | 219.0 | -4.0/4.0 |
| Difference | -20 | +15 | +1.5 | – |
Team Performance
63.0% Win Probability
37.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/25/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 26 | 34 | 29 | 00 | 112 | Under | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 33 | 20 | 22 | 30 | 00 | 105 | |||
| 04/22/24 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 28 | 31 | 20 | 20 | 00 | 99 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 24 | 20 | 25 | 32 | 00 | 101 | |||
| 04/20/24 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 33 | 27 | 18 | 25 | 00 | 103 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 32 | 32 | 25 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 03/02/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 27 | 31 | 31 | 35 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 33 | 33 | 23 | 25 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 02/08/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 30 | 24 | 31 | 00 | 114 | Over | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 23 | 26 | 30 | 27 | 00 | 106 | |||
| 10/24/23 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 20 | 34 | 26 | 27 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 34 | 29 | 24 | 32 | 00 | 119 | |||
| 01/09/23 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 23 | 25 | 31 | 30 | 00 | 109 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 33 | 32 | 28 | 00 | 122 | |||
| 12/16/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 33 | 23 | 20 | 00 | 108 | Over | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 33 | 31 | 29 | 33 | 00 | 126 | |||
| 10/30/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 31 | 20 | 34 | 25 | 00 | 110 | Over | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 26 | 29 | 38 | 28 | 00 | 121 | |||
| 10/26/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 22 | 32 | 17 | 28 | 00 | 99 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 28 | 32 | 24 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 04/10/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 36 | 33 | 26 | 40 | 110 | 146 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 33 | 36 | 39 | 27 | 60 | 141 | |||
| 04/03/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 24 | 38 | 33 | 34 | 00 | 129 | Over | |
| Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 28 | 33 | 33 | 24 | 00 | 118 | |||
| 01/15/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 29 | 31 | 19 | 17 | 00 | 96 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 34 | 39 | 29 | 31 | 00 | 133 |
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Lakers Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs SAS | 120-121L | 33 | 31 | 7 | 97 |
| 04/10 | @ MIN | 116-107W | 44 | 31 | 13 | 83 |
| 04/09 | vs UTA | 111-95W | 43 | 30 | 9 | 94 |
| 04/06 | @ ATL | 142-110W | 47 | 38 | 15 | 88 |
| 04/04 | vs LAC | 100-102L | 51 | 27 | 13 | 83 |
| 04/02 | @ SAS | 110-105W | 52 | 28 | 8 | 98 |
| 03/31 | @ CLE | 130-101W | 51 | 36 | 16 | 87 |
| 03/29 | @ MIN | 98-111L | 46 | 29 | 12 | 88 |
| 03/27 | @ PHX | 97-104L | 38 | 24 | 8 | 88 |
| 03/25 | @ MEM | 128-103W | 50 | 38 | 15 | 90 |
Lakers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs MEM | 123-120W | 39 | 24 | 19 | 81 |
| 04/09 | @ GSW | 120-134L | 40 | 31 | 7 | 96 |
| 04/07 | @ MIN | 117-127L | 41 | 27 | 15 | 84 |
| 04/06 | @ CLE | 116-97W | 40 | 30 | 17 | 80 |
| 04/03 | vs WAS | 125-120W | 49 | 21 | 16 | 91 |
| 04/02 | vs TOR | 128-111W | 47 | 38 | 14 | 101 |
| 03/31 | vs BRO | 116-104W | 50 | 24 | 19 | 77 |
| 03/29 | vs IND | 90-109L | 48 | 24 | 16 | 87 |
| 03/27 | vs MEM | 136-124W | 43 | 31 | 15 | 81 |
| 03/26 | vs MIL | 128-124W | 69 | 30 | 17 | 108 |
Starting Lineups
| Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.8 | 15.2 | 20.1 | 100% | 20.4 | |
|
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
34.3 | 33.6 | 30.9 | 100% | 31.3 |
| 68.6 | 62.9 | 60.2 | 100% | 60.5 | |
|
Jamal Murray
PG
|
47.6 | 42.0 | 39.9 | 100% | 40.3 |
| 35.4 | 32.9 | 33.0 | 100% | 33.4 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.5 | 50.9 | 52.2 | 100% | 52.5 | |
| 22.5 | 19.7 | 25.8 | 100% | 26.1 | |
|
LeBron James
PF
|
55.2 | 56.2 | 50.9 | 100% | 51.3 |
| 32.7 | 29.4 | 32.7 | 100% | 33.1 | |
| 31.0 | 25.0 | 35.9 | 100% | 36.3 |
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.2
Lakers Notable Injuries
- Gabe Vincent OUT (PG/SG): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.2reb, 1.7ast, 19.0 minutes. Last game: 04/25/24. Impact: 1.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | Pts | 26.5 | 30.2 | +3.7 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | LAL | -0.6 | #14 |
| Rui Hachimura | LAL | Pts | 9.5 | 13.1 | +3.6 | 40% | 60% | 67% | 67% | DEN | +19.3 | #30 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | Reb | 1.5 | 2.9 | +1.4 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | LAL | +2.8 | #26 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | Reb | 2.5 | 2.7 | +0.2 | 20% | 30% | 47% | 47% | LAL | -0.0 | #15 |
Nuggets Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #27 | #25 | #20 | #29 | 9.9% |
| PF | #11 | #2 | #8 | #3 | -11.5% |
| PG | #11 | #20 | #7 | #11 | -27.1% |
| SF | #30 | #30 | #30 | #30 | 46.6% |
| SG | #1 | #7 | #17 | #1 | -15.4% |
Lakers Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #14 | #19 | #28 | #17 | 2.6% |
| PF | #22 | #16 | #14 | #19 | 0.7% |
| PG | #15 | #12 | #20 | #21 | 11.3% |
| SF | #12 | #26 | #11 | #18 | 0.4% |
| SG | #25 | #15 | #18 | #24 | 4.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Anthony Davis (C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 4 consecutive games.
- Christian Braun (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.0% to 15.9, 26.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Anthony Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.4% to 42.0, 30.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Spencer Dinwiddie (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.9% to 15.0, 25.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Jamal Murray (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.5% to 39.7, 27.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Peyton Watson (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.5% to 13.9, 24.2 min average previous 3 games. The Lakers have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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