Nuggets vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the FedEx Forum tonight as the Denver Nuggets, looking to shake off their recent stumble, gallop into Memphis to face the Grizzlies, who are also hungry to claw back into the win column after their own recent setback. It’s a showdown in the Western Conference where both teams are just a few games back and eager to climb the ladder. With the playoffs heating up and most first-round games turning into blowouts, tonight’s matchup promises a tighter contest with a spicy 228-point over/under to keep things interesting. Will the Nuggets mine victory, or will the Grizzlies growl their way to triumph? It’s all going down at 07:00 PM EST, so make sure you’re tuned in as these two teams look to turn the tide in their favor. Tonight, it’s all about whether the Nuggets can dig deep or if the Grizzlies will leave their mark!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 17, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis

Vegas Odds

	DEN ML	MEM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+100	-120	223.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	+105	-125	228.0	2.5/-2.5
Difference	+5	-5	+5.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

24W-18L

48.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

13W-33L

51.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/14/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	37	28	32	126	Over
04/14/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	28	21	36	111	Over
03/25/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	24	20	32	27	103	Over
03/25/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	39	30	30	29	128	Over
12/28/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	27	21	35	22	105	Over
12/28/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	33	32	41	36	142	Over
10/27/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	36	28	19	108	Under
10/27/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	18	38	23	25	104	Under
03/03/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	27	31	22	17	97	Under
03/03/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	22	30	33	113	Under
02/25/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	20	22	20	32	94	Under
02/25/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	38	28	18	112	Under
12/20/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	14	26	31	20	91	Under
12/20/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	20	29	21	105	Under
04/07/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	30	23	25	31	109	Over
04/07/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	36	35	17	122	Over
01/21/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	37	31	30	24	122	Over
01/21/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	35	29	26	118	Over
11/03/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	19	36	28	23	106	Under
11/03/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	37	19	22	30	108	Under
11/01/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	32	15	24	97	Under
11/01/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	29	22	24	106	Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/15	vs NOP	94-101L	38	26	7	87
11/10	@ DAL	122-120W	45	35	10	89
11/08	@ MIA	135-122W	39	37	17	81
11/06	@ OKL	124-122W	55	34	18	89
11/01	vs MIN	116-119L	46	30	13	92
10/29	vs BRO	144-139W	43	31	5	89
10/28	vs TOR	127-125W	52	29	16	96
10/26	@ LAC	104-109L	37	20	10	87
10/24	@ OKL	87-102L	57	29	15	99
04/12	vs SAS	120-121L	33	31	7	97

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/15	vs GSW	118-123L	54	22	15	103
11/13	vs LAL	123-128L	41	28	13	89
11/10	vs POR	134-89W	51	32	20	85
11/08	@ WAS	128-104W	50	30	17	97
11/06	@ LAL	131-114W	50	28	18	93
10/31	@ MIL	122-99W	56	26	16	82
10/30	@ BRO	106-119L	38	27	22	81
10/28	@ CHI	123-126L	60	37	10	111
10/26	@ ORL	124-111W	42	38	18	86
10/25	vs HOU	108-128L	43	24	17	91

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SG	30.0	31.9	18.7	37%	28.2
Nikola Jokic C	62.0	74.7	64.0	100%	64.4
Jamal Murray PG	40.0	31.9	37.4	100%	37.7
Michael Porter Jr. SF	31.0	40.5	31.1	100%	31.6
Peyton Watson PF	28.0	22.9	13.8	13%	27.2

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Santi Aldama SF	25.0	29.1	27.8	93%	28.4
Desmond Bane SG	32.0	31.6	38.2	93%	38.6
Brandon Clarke PF	14.0	13.5	18.1	27%	21.4
Jaren Jackson Jr. C	41.0	43.4	39.7	100%	40.1
Scotty Pippen Jr. PG	29.0	28.1	28.0	60%	28.8

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Ja Morant (PG): Avg: 22.7pts, 5.3reb, 8.1ast, 31.4 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 6.9
Marcus Smart (PG/SG): Avg: 12.6pts, 2.6reb, 4.1ast, 27.6 minutes. Last game: 11/15/24. Impact: 3.9
Colin Castleton OUT (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 11/10/24. Impact: 0.4
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.3reb, 0.9ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 11/10/24. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jaren Jackson Jr.	MEM	Pts	21.5	23.6	+2.1	60%	50%	47%	47%	DEN	-0.7	#9
Scotty Pippen Jr.	MEM	Pts	10.5	12.3	+1.8	80%	80%	80%	80%	DEN	-3.9	#3
Nikola Jokic	DEN	Reb	12.5	12.6	+0.1	60%	40%	40%	40%	MEM	+0.1	#17
Desmond Bane	MEM	Ast	3.5	4.1	+0.6	40%	60%	67%	67%	DEN	+0.4	#24

View All Player Prop Projections

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#22	#12	#16	0.7%
PF	#9	#5	#13	#9	-3.1%
PG	#3	#2	#10	#1	-20.5%
SF	#20	#30	#26	#28	9.2%
SG	#6	#3	#24	#10	-3.9%

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#25	#17	#15	#19	3.3%
PF	#22	#27	#16	#28	7.6%
PG	#2	#28	#27	#15	0.7%
SF	#26	#9	#28	#30	9.9%
SG	#15	#6	#12	#16	-1.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.5

108.7

Rebounds per Game

45.0

45.6

Assists per Game

30.8

25.1

Steals per Game

7.9

9.0

Blocks per Game

5.7

6.5

Shots per Game

89.4

89.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.2

12.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.7

50.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.7

33.9

Turnovers per Game

11.9

15.3

Fouls per Game

17.9

19.6

Recent Trends

Nikola Jokic (C) is on an impressive streak, exceeding 12 assists in 5 consecutive games.
Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 37.0 pts, 18.0 reb, 15.0 ast against DAL
Jake LaRavia (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.4% to 20.2, 29.5 min average previous 3 games.
Peyton Watson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.3% to 33.9, 22.6 min average previous 3 games.