Nuggets vs Heat Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 13th 2024

thefield
Denver Nuggets

Nuggets

45W-20L

Denver Nuggets

March 13, 2024

07:30PM EST

Odds: 215.5 o/u

Heat

35W-29L

Miami Heat
Miami Heat

Well, hoop heads, it’s time to turn up the heat and strike gold! Tonight, we’re heading down to the Kaseya Center where the sizzling Denver Nuggets, boasting a sterling 45-20 record, are ready to rumble with the Miami Heat, who are holding their own with a respectable 35-29. The Nuggets, sitting pretty at the top of the Western conference, are looking to maintain their golden streak, while the Heat, just 1.5 games behind in the East, are eager to turn up the temperature. The betting gods have set the over/under at 215.5, with the Nuggets favored by a slim -3.0 margin. Now, the Heat may be nursing a recent bruise after a 108-110 tumble against the Wizards, but the Nuggets are still riding high on their 125-119 victory over the Raptors. So, buckle up for a night where we’ll find out if the Nuggets can weather the Heat or if Miami will melt Denver’s golden run. It’s going to be a slam dunk of a night, so don’t ‘nugget’ to tune in!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 13, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami

Vegas Odds

DEN ML MIA ML Over/Under Line
Open -150 +130 215.0 -3.0/3.0
Recent -165 +140 215.5 -3.5/3.5
Difference -15 +10 +0.5

Team Performance

den Team Logo
LAST 10
9W-1L
AWAY
17W-13L

62.3% Win Probability

mia Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
HOME
17W-14L

37.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
02/29/24 Miami Heat MIA 20 31 19 27 97 Under
Denver Nuggets DEN 36 20 27 20 103
02/13/23 Denver Nuggets DEN 27 38 24 23 112 Over
Miami Heat MIA 36 26 21 25 108
12/30/22 Miami Heat MIA 19 38 33 29 119 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 23 37 25 39 124
11/29/21 Denver Nuggets DEN 32 31 32 25 120 Over
Miami Heat MIA 23 20 35 33 111
11/08/21 Miami Heat MIA 25 24 21 26 96 Under
Denver Nuggets DEN 30 34 27 22 113

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/11 @ TOR 125-119W 42 36 9 95
03/09 @ UTA 142-123W 32 40 13 83
03/07 @ BOS 115-109W 45 27 7 92
03/05 @ PHX 107-117L 51 25 14 98
03/02 vs LAL 124-114W 47 34 10 94
02/29 @ MIA 103-100W 41 22 15 86
02/28 @ SAC 117-96W 43 35 15 87
02/25 vs GSW 119-103W 45 29 10 90
02/23 vs POR 127-112W 45 38 12 85
02/22 @ WAS 130-110W 60 41 16 101

Heat Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/10 @ WAS 108-110L 51 20 13 96
03/08 vs OKL 100-107L 43 24 10 83
03/07 vs DAL 108-114L 37 30 10 82
03/05 @ DET 118-110W 42 27 9 85
03/02 @ UTA 126-120W 34 33 6 90
02/29 vs DEN 97-103L 45 21 14 84
02/27 vs POR 106-96W 34 29 18 70
02/26 vs SAC 121-110W 39 27 11 87
02/23 vs NOP 106-95W 46 20 14 82
02/14 vs PHI 109-104W 44 27 13 90

Starting Lineups

Nuggets Notable Injuries

  • Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 5.0pts, 1.3reb, 1.0ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.8
  • Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.3
  • Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.8
  • Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.4

Heat Notable Injuries

  • Kevin Love (C): Avg: 9.0pts, 6.2reb, 2.2ast, 17.4 minutes. Last game: 02/27/24. Impact: 3.3
  • Thomas Bryant (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 2.7reb, 0.6ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 03/07/24. Impact: 1.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Nuggets Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #16 #8 #16 #14 -4.1%
PF #16 #20 #24 #17 1.0%
PG #12 #9 #22 #9 -7.0%
SF #23 #20 #22 #23 7.0%
SG #3 #4 #10 #4 -9.4%

Heat Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #1 #6 #8 #1 -33.0%
PF #9 #16 #16 #11 -3.4%
PG #10 #12 #5 #3 -14.1%
SF #26 #14 #20 #21 6.9%
SG #12 #18 #17 #14 -0.9%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
116.8
111.1
Rebounds per Game
45.3
42.0
Assists per Game
31.5
26.5
Steals per Game
8.2
8.3
Blocks per Game
6.5
4.6
Shots per Game
91.2
85.1
3-Pointers Made per Game
11.4
12.7
2-Pt Percentage per Game
58.0
53.5
3-Pt Percentage per Game
36.1
39.9
Turnovers per Game
12.2
12.0
Fouls per Game
16.9
16.3

Recent Trends

  • Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 35.0 pts, 17.0 reb, 12.0 ast against TOR
  • Bam Adebayo (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.0% to 24.5, 35.0 min average previous 3 games.
  • Reggie Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.0% to 11.6, 18.8 min average previous 3 games.
  • Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.3% to 21.2, 35.5 min average previous 3 games.

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