Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown
Nuggets
28W-16L
January 25, 2025
04:00PM EST
Odds: 228.5 o/u
Timberwolves
23W-21L
Get ready to rumble at the Target Center this afternoon as the Denver Nuggets, boasting a solid 28 wins, are all set to clash with the Minnesota Timberwolves, who’ve snagged 23 victories this season. It’s game time in the 2024 NBA Playoffs, and after a slew of first-round blowouts, we’re all itching for a nail-biter! With the Nuggets looking to solidify their standing and the Timberwolves hungry for an upset, the stakes are sky-high. The bookies have spoken, setting the over/under at a whopping 228.5, hinting at a high-flying showdown. Both teams are coming off thrilling wins, so expect sparks to fly when these two Western conference contenders hit the hardwood. So, as the Nuggets aim to mine a victory and the Timberwolves howl for a home win, brace yourself for a showdown that promises to be anything but petrified!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 25, 2025 04:00PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
| DEN ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -185 | +160 | 229.5 | -4.5/4.5 |
| Recent | -185 | +160 | 228.5 | -4.5/4.5 |
| Difference | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | – |
Team Performance
64.9% Win Probability
35.1% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 32 | 24 | 31 | 00 | 116 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 00 | 119 | |||
| 04/10/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 107 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 23 | 34 | 33 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 03/29/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 111 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 17 | 21 | 34 | 00 | 98 | |||
| 03/19/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 35 | 17 | 28 | 00 | 115 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 00 | 112 | |||
| 11/01/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 23 | 28 | 17 | 00 | 89 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 35 | 26 | 21 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 02/07/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 19 | 29 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 112 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 49 | 30 | 31 | 36 | 00 | 146 | |||
| 02/05/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 98 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 128 | |||
| 01/18/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 33 | 35 | 23 | 00 | 118 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 30 | 25 | 33 | 34 | 00 | 122 | |||
| 01/02/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 30 | 32 | 26 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 36 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 124 | |||
| 04/01/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 30 | 28 | 38 | 00 | 136 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 30 | 29 | 36 | 00 | 130 | |||
| 02/01/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 23 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 39 | 31 | 30 | 00 | 130 | |||
| 12/15/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 35 | 33 | 16 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 29 | 27 | 19 | 00 | 107 | |||
| 10/30/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 00 | 93 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 15 | 26 | 18 | 00 | 91 |
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/23 | @ SAC | 132-123W | 56 | 30 | 10 | 101 |
| 01/21 | @ PHI | 144-109W | 51 | 39 | 13 | 85 |
| 01/19 | vs ORL | 113-100W | 57 | 24 | 20 | 77 |
| 01/17 | vs MIA | 133-113W | 41 | 35 | 5 | 92 |
| 01/15 | @ HOU | 108-128L | 36 | 22 | 18 | 75 |
| 01/14 | vs DAL | 118-99W | 51 | 28 | 18 | 83 |
| 01/12 | vs DAL | 112-101W | 55 | 23 | 13 | 94 |
| 01/10 | @ BRO | 124-105W | 49 | 34 | 14 | 87 |
| 01/08 | @ LAC | 126-103W | 45 | 29 | 11 | 89 |
| 01/07 | @ BOS | 106-118L | 39 | 22 | 16 | 87 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/22 | vs DAL | 115-114W | 39 | 26 | 11 | 81 |
| 01/20 | vs MEM | 106-108L | 52 | 25 | 16 | 93 |
| 01/18 | @ CLE | 117-124L | 42 | 27 | 7 | 90 |
| 01/17 | vs NYK | 116-99W | 46 | 23 | 15 | 79 |
| 01/15 | @ GSW | 115-116L | 41 | 21 | 9 | 86 |
| 01/13 | vs WAS | 120-106W | 53 | 20 | 18 | 83 |
| 01/11 | @ MEM | 125-127L | 41 | 37 | 18 | 83 |
| 01/09 | vs ORL | 104-89W | 50 | 21 | 8 | 85 |
| 01/07 | vs NOP | 104-97W | 53 | 26 | 16 | 89 |
| 01/06 | @ LAC | 108-106W | 55 | 24 | 14 | 92 |
Starting Lineups
| Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.0 | 27.9 | 24.2 | 100% | 24.6 | |
| 64.0 | 65.7 | 67.9 | 100% | 68.3 | |
|
Jamal Murray
SG
|
38.0 | 37.5 | 38.1 | 100% | 38.5 |
| 26.0 | 26.8 | 31.3 | 100% | 31.7 | |
| 33.0 | 27.6 | 33.8 | 60% | 36.0 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mike Conley
PG
|
23.0 | 22.2 | 19.8 | 80% | 20.9 |
| 49.0 | 46.5 | 43.2 | 100% | 43.6 | |
| 32.0 | 25.6 | 28.9 | 100% | 29.3 | |
| 28.0 | 34.0 | 25.8 | 100% | 26.1 | |
| 41.0 | 33.9 | 35.0 | 100% | 35.4 |
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Dario Saric (C): Avg: 7.1pts, 4.2reb, 2.2ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 2.2
- Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 8.0 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.3
- Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.9
- Hunter Tyson (SF/PF): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.5
- PJ Hall (C): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 2.6 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 0.6
- Trey Alexander (PG/SG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 0.5
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Donte DiVincenzo (PG): Avg: 14.5pts, 3.7reb, 3.0ast, 29.0 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 5.4
- Joe Ingles (SG/SF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.9reb, 2.6ast, 15.1 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 0.4
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.4
- Tristen Newton (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.1
- Jaylen Clark (SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 1.9 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.1
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Julius Randle | MIN | Pts | 19.5 | 21.3 | +1.8 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 33% | DEN | -1.1 | #7 |
| Jamal Murray | DEN | Pts | 18.5 | 19.7 | +1.2 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | MIN | +0.8 | #21 |
| Russell Westbrook | DEN | Reb | 4.5 | 5.7 | +1.2 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 80% | MIN | +0.1 | #20 |
| Peyton Watson | DEN | Reb | 2.5 | 3.5 | +1.0 | 40% | 70% | 60% | 60% | MIN | +0.4 | #25 |
| Aaron Gordon | DEN | Ast | 1.5 | 1.9 | +0.4 | 40% | 70% | 80% | 80% | MIN | +0.2 | #23 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | Ast | 1.5 | 1.9 | +0.4 | 40% | 30% | 53% | 53% | MIN | -0.7 | #1 |
Nuggets Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #19 | #23 | #29 | #27 | 7.4% |
| PF | #7 | #4 | #16 | #8 | -5.0% |
| PG | #4 | #5 | #27 | #17 | -0.1% |
| SF | #7 | #3 | #24 | #8 | -3.6% |
| SG | #30 | #1 | #19 | #28 | 7.9% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #10 | #11 | #14 | #13 | -1.4% |
| PF | #9 | #16 | #23 | #11 | -2.1% |
| PG | #21 | #20 | #5 | #18 | 0.4% |
| SF | #3 | #7 | #3 | #2 | -14.8% |
| SG | #4 | #25 | #1 | #5 | -6.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 35.0 pts, 22.0 reb, 17.0 ast against SAC The Nuggets have a 2-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
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