Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 19th 2024

Nuggets
47W-21L

March 19, 2024
09:00PM EST
Odds: 213.5 o/u
Timberwolves
47W-21L


Hey, hoop-heads! Get ready for a clash of titans tonight as the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves, both boasting a solid 47W-21L record, go head-to-head at the Target Center. It’s a high-stakes showdown, folks, with both teams just a half-game shy of the top spot in the Western Conference. The clock strikes 09:00PM EST and it’s game time! The betting lines are buzzing, with the over/under at 213.5, and the Nuggets favored by -5.5. The Timberwolves, fresh off a 114-104 victory over Utah, are looking to keep the momentum going. Meanwhile, the Nuggets, still smarting from a 105-107 nail-biter against Dallas, are out for redemption. So, buckle up for a game that promises to be more explosive than a gold rush in a timber yard!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 19, 2024 09:00PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
DEN ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -220 | +180 | 212.5 | -5.5/5.5 |
Recent | -225 | +185 | 213.5 | -7.5/7.5 |
Difference | -5 | +5 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance

69.2% Win Probability

30.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/01/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 23 | 28 | 17 | 89 | Under | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 35 | 26 | 21 | 110 | ||||
02/07/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 19 | 29 | 27 | 37 | 112 | Over | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 49 | 30 | 31 | 36 | 146 | ||||
02/05/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 98 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 128 | ||||
01/18/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 33 | 35 | 23 | 118 | Over | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 30 | 25 | 33 | 34 | 122 | ||||
01/02/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 30 | 32 | 26 | 111 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 36 | 31 | 34 | 124 | ||||
04/01/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 30 | 28 | 38 | 136 | Over | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 30 | 29 | 36 | 130 | ||||
02/01/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 23 | 27 | 37 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 39 | 31 | 30 | 130 | ||||
12/15/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 35 | 33 | 16 | 124 | Over | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 29 | 27 | 19 | 107 | ||||
10/30/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 93 | Under | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 15 | 26 | 18 | 91 |
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/17 | vs DAL | 105-107L | 37 | 26 | 7 | 84 |
03/15 | vs SAS | 117-106W | 40 | 37 | 12 | 90 |
03/13 | vs MIA | 100-88W | 41 | 24 | 9 | 82 |
03/11 | @ TOR | 125-119W | 42 | 36 | 9 | 95 |
03/09 | @ UTA | 142-123W | 32 | 40 | 13 | 83 |
03/07 | @ BOS | 115-109W | 45 | 27 | 7 | 92 |
03/05 | @ PHX | 107-117L | 51 | 25 | 14 | 98 |
03/02 | vs LAL | 124-114W | 47 | 34 | 10 | 94 |
02/29 | @ MIA | 103-100W | 41 | 22 | 15 | 86 |
02/28 | @ SAC | 117-96W | 43 | 35 | 15 | 87 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/18 | vs UTA | 114-104W | 35 | 27 | 9 | 91 |
03/16 | vs UTA | 119-100W | 44 | 31 | 8 | 93 |
03/12 | vs LAC | 118-100W | 48 | 26 | 9 | 94 |
03/10 | vs LAL | 109-120L | 38 | 27 | 11 | 97 |
03/08 | vs CLE | 104-114L | 45 | 25 | 12 | 94 |
03/07 | vs IND | 113-111W | 48 | 23 | 9 | 98 |
03/04 | @ POR | 119-114W | 40 | 28 | 11 | 80 |
03/03 | @ LAC | 88-89L | 54 | 24 | 15 | 80 |
03/01 | @ SAC | 120-124L | 44 | 29 | 12 | 85 |
02/28 | @ MEM | 110-101W | 39 | 29 | 13 | 80 |
Starting Lineups
Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19.6 | 18.6 | 19.6 | 100% | 19.9 | |
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
31.6 | 25.4 | 28.2 | 100% | 28.6 |
60.8 | 54.2 | 58.2 | 100% | 58.5 | |
Jamal Murray
PG
|
45.9 | 45.8 | 40.0 | 100% | 40.4 |
34.3 | 35.0 | 30.9 | 100% | 31.3 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26.2 | 23.5 | 18.9 | 27% | 24.9 | |
Mike Conley
PG
|
24.7 | 25.2 | 25.3 | 100% | 25.7 |
46.4 | 52.0 | 45.5 | 93% | 46.0 | |
39.8 | 41.4 | 38.6 | 100% | 37.9 | |
20.4 | 18.2 | 19.4 | 100% | 19.0 |
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.3reb, 1.0ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.7
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.3
- Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.6
- Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.4
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Karl-Anthony Towns (PF/C): Avg: 22.1pts, 8.4reb, 3.0ast, 32.8 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 6.1
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 1.1
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.9pts, 1.1reb, 0.6ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.7
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.6reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.6
- Daishen Nix (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.5
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.1ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.3
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jamal Murray | DEN | Pts | 20.5 | 24.0 | +3.5 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | MIN | -1.6 | #6 |
Michael Porter Jr. | DEN | Pts | 15.5 | 18.0 | +2.5 | 80% | 70% | 67% | 67% | MIN | +1.3 | #22 |
Nikola Jokic | DEN | Reb | 11.5 | 12.5 | +1.0 | 40% | 50% | 60% | 60% | MIN | +0.5 | #21 |
Rudy Gobert | MIN | Reb | 13.5 | 13.8 | +0.3 | 80% | 70% | 60% | 60% | DEN | -0.8 | #8 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | Ast | 1.5 | 2.3 | +0.8 | 100% | 90% | 80% | 80% | MIN | +0.2 | #16 |
Nuggets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #16 | #8 | #10 | #11 | -3.7% |
PF | #17 | #23 | #19 | #17 | -0.6% |
PG | #4 | #9 | #25 | #2 | -18.8% |
SF | #15 | #11 | #24 | #13 | -1.1% |
SG | #9 | #8 | #10 | #6 | -6.9% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #23 | #21 | #3 | #22 | 4.0% |
PF | #7 | #19 | #6 | #5 | -9.4% |
PG | #1 | #30 | #21 | #14 | -0.7% |
SF | #22 | #12 | #5 | #12 | -2.5% |
SG | #6 | #15 | #16 | #11 | -5.9% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Anthony Edwards (SG/SF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
- Reggie Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.1% to 15.1, 11.6 min average previous 3 games.
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