Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown
Nuggets
4W-3L
May 10, 2024
09:30PM EST
Odds: 205.5 o/u
Timberwolves
6W-0L
Get ready for an electrifying face-off as the Denver Nuggets gallop into the heart of Minneapolis, ready to clash with the undefeated Minnesota Timberwolves at the Target Center tonight at 09:30 PM EST. With the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs already dishing out some lopsided games, this matchup promises to dial up the intensity. The Timberwolves are howling at the top of the Western conference, boasting a pristine record, while the Nuggets are digging in their heels, looking to claw back from a narrow recent defeat. With the stakes sky-high and the betting lines buzzing, fans are keyed up for a showdown that’s set to redefine the playoff landscape. So, as the Nuggets try to mine a victory, it’s time to see if the Timberwolves can keep their territory marked in victory—let the battle for the West begin!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 10, 2024 09:30PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
| DEN ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +170 | -200 | 204.5 | 4.5/-4.5 |
| Recent | +160 | -185 | 205.5 | 4.5/-4.5 |
| Difference | -10 | +15 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance
38.5% Win Probability
61.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 33 | 21 | 24 | 00 | 106 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 20 | 15 | 25 | 20 | 00 | 80 | |||
| 05/04/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 17 | 33 | 33 | 00 | 106 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 19 | 27 | 28 | 00 | 99 | |||
| 04/10/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 23 | 34 | 33 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 03/29/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 17 | 21 | 34 | 00 | 98 | |||
| 03/19/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 35 | 17 | 28 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 00 | 112 | |||
| 11/01/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 23 | 28 | 17 | 00 | 89 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 35 | 26 | 21 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 02/07/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 19 | 29 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 112 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 49 | 30 | 31 | 36 | 00 | 146 | |||
| 02/05/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 98 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 128 | |||
| 01/18/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 33 | 35 | 23 | 00 | 118 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 30 | 25 | 33 | 34 | 00 | 122 | |||
| 01/02/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 30 | 32 | 26 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 36 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 124 | |||
| 04/01/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 30 | 28 | 38 | 00 | 136 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 30 | 29 | 36 | 00 | 130 | |||
| 02/01/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 23 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 39 | 31 | 30 | 00 | 130 | |||
| 12/15/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 35 | 33 | 16 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 29 | 27 | 19 | 00 | 107 | |||
| 10/30/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 00 | 93 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 15 | 26 | 18 | 00 | 91 |
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs SAS | 120-121L | 33 | 31 | 7 | 97 |
| 04/10 | @ MIN | 116-107W | 44 | 31 | 13 | 83 |
| 04/09 | vs UTA | 111-95W | 43 | 30 | 9 | 94 |
| 04/06 | @ ATL | 142-110W | 47 | 38 | 15 | 88 |
| 04/04 | vs LAC | 100-102L | 51 | 27 | 13 | 83 |
| 04/02 | @ SAS | 110-105W | 52 | 28 | 8 | 98 |
| 03/31 | @ CLE | 130-101W | 51 | 36 | 16 | 87 |
| 03/29 | @ MIN | 98-111L | 46 | 29 | 12 | 88 |
| 03/27 | @ PHX | 97-104L | 38 | 24 | 8 | 88 |
| 03/25 | @ MEM | 128-103W | 50 | 38 | 15 | 90 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ ATL | 109-106W | 44 | 29 | 14 | 79 |
| 04/10 | vs DEN | 107-116L | 35 | 23 | 9 | 82 |
| 04/09 | @ WAS | 130-121W | 44 | 30 | 8 | 90 |
| 04/07 | vs LAL | 127-117W | 46 | 29 | 14 | 97 |
| 04/05 | vs PHX | 87-97L | 44 | 23 | 18 | 85 |
| 04/03 | @ TOR | 133-85W | 50 | 37 | 9 | 96 |
| 04/02 | @ HOU | 113-106W | 39 | 29 | 17 | 77 |
| 03/31 | @ CHI | 101-109L | 37 | 28 | 13 | 81 |
| 03/29 | vs DEN | 111-98W | 39 | 28 | 7 | 75 |
| 03/27 | @ DET | 106-91W | 40 | 28 | 12 | 82 |
Starting Lineups
| Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.1 | 17.2 | 20.9 | 100% | 21.3 | |
|
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
30.5 | 32.5 | 30.3 | 100% | 30.7 |
| 62.8 | 59.9 | 60.6 | 100% | 60.8 | |
|
Jamal Murray
PG
|
39.7 | 37.0 | 39.9 | 100% | 40.2 |
| 33.2 | 35.9 | 32.9 | 100% | 33.2 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mike Conley
PG
|
30.3 | 30.4 | 27.3 | 100% | 27.8 |
| 50.5 | 54.4 | 45.7 | 100% | 45.1 | |
| 37.0 | 34.1 | 38.0 | 100% | 38.4 | |
| 21.8 | 22.4 | 21.5 | 100% | 21.9 | |
| 42.7 | 37.9 | 38.2 | 100% | 37.2 |
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.6 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 1.1
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.5
- Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.5reb, 0.1ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.4
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.9
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.5
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.5
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | Pts | 19.5 | 23.0 | +3.5 | 60% | 30% | 40% | 40% | DEN | +3.4 | #24 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | Pts | 8.5 | 11.3 | +2.8 | 40% | 70% | 53% | 53% | DEN | +17.3 | #27 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | DEN | Reb | 6.5 | 7.4 | +0.9 | 40% | 50% | 47% | 47% | MIN | -0.1 | #12 |
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | Reb | 12.5 | 13.0 | +0.5 | 80% | 60% | 67% | 67% | MIN | 0.0 | #14 |
Nuggets Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #24 | #27 | #20 | #24 | 11.8% |
| PF | #15 | #6 | #27 | #17 | -1.6% |
| PG | #11 | #14 | #10 | #10 | -27.3% |
| SF | #27 | #27 | #22 | #26 | 45.8% |
| SG | #5 | #3 | #8 | #4 | -20.3% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #21 | #14 | #28 | #21 | 7.6% |
| PF | #9 | #4 | #12 | #5 | -15.9% |
| PG | #7 | #4 | #3 | #2 | -329.4% |
| SF | #11 | #12 | #12 | #8 | -51.7% |
| SG | #12 | #5 | #2 | #3 | -20.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Naz Reid (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.9% to 23.9, 18.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Karl-Anthony Towns (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.6% to 35.1, 24.6 min average previous 3 games.
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