Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Denver Nuggets

Nuggets

4W-3L

Denver Nuggets

May 10, 2024

09:30PM EST

Odds: 205.5 o/u

Timberwolves

6W-0L

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves

Get ready for an electrifying face-off as the Denver Nuggets gallop into the heart of Minneapolis, ready to clash with the undefeated Minnesota Timberwolves at the Target Center tonight at 09:30 PM EST. With the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs already dishing out some lopsided games, this matchup promises to dial up the intensity. The Timberwolves are howling at the top of the Western conference, boasting a pristine record, while the Nuggets are digging in their heels, looking to claw back from a narrow recent defeat. With the stakes sky-high and the betting lines buzzing, fans are keyed up for a showdown that’s set to redefine the playoff landscape. So, as the Nuggets try to mine a victory, it’s time to see if the Timberwolves can keep their territory marked in victory—let the battle for the West begin!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 10, 2024 09:30PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

DEN ML MIN ML Over/Under Line
Open +170 -200 204.5 4.5/-4.5
Recent +160 -185 205.5 4.5/-4.5
Difference -10 +15 +1.0 –

Team Performance

den Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
AWAY
22W-16L

38.5% Win Probability

min Team Logo
LAST 10
7W-3L
HOME
29W-10L

61.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
05/06/24 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 28 33 21 24 00 106 Under
Denver Nuggets DEN 20 15 25 20 00 80
05/04/24 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 23 17 33 33 00 106 Under
Denver Nuggets DEN 25 19 27 28 00 99
04/10/24 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 28 24 28 27 00 107 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 26 23 34 33 00 116
03/29/24 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 33 29 25 24 00 111 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 26 17 21 34 00 98
03/19/24 Denver Nuggets DEN 35 35 17 28 00 115 Over
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 28 27 29 28 00 112
11/01/23 Denver Nuggets DEN 21 23 28 17 00 89 Under
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 28 35 26 21 00 110
02/07/23 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 19 29 27 37 00 112 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 49 30 31 36 00 146
02/05/23 Denver Nuggets DEN 21 22 28 27 00 98 Over
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 32 31 31 34 00 128
01/18/23 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 27 33 35 23 00 118 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 30 25 33 34 00 122
01/02/23 Denver Nuggets DEN 23 30 32 26 00 111 Over
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 23 36 31 34 00 124
04/01/22 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 40 30 28 38 00 136 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 35 30 29 36 00 130
02/01/22 Denver Nuggets DEN 28 23 27 37 00 115 Over
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 30 39 31 30 00 130
12/15/21 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 40 35 33 16 00 124 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 32 29 27 19 00 107
10/30/21 Denver Nuggets DEN 23 20 26 24 00 93 Under
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 32 15 26 18 00 91

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/12 vs SAS 120-121L 33 31 7 97
04/10 @ MIN 116-107W 44 31 13 83
04/09 vs UTA 111-95W 43 30 9 94
04/06 @ ATL 142-110W 47 38 15 88
04/04 vs LAC 100-102L 51 27 13 83
04/02 @ SAS 110-105W 52 28 8 98
03/31 @ CLE 130-101W 51 36 16 87
03/29 @ MIN 98-111L 46 29 12 88
03/27 @ PHX 97-104L 38 24 8 88
03/25 @ MEM 128-103W 50 38 15 90

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/12 @ ATL 109-106W 44 29 14 79
04/10 vs DEN 107-116L 35 23 9 82
04/09 @ WAS 130-121W 44 30 8 90
04/07 vs LAL 127-117W 46 29 14 97
04/05 vs PHX 87-97L 44 23 18 85
04/03 @ TOR 133-85W 50 37 9 96
04/02 @ HOU 113-106W 39 29 17 77
03/31 @ CHI 101-109L 37 28 13 81
03/29 vs DEN 111-98W 39 28 7 75
03/27 @ DET 106-91W 40 28 12 82

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets Proj L5 L15 S% S/DFS
K. Caldwell-Pope SG
19.1 17.2 20.9 100% 21.3
Aaron Gordon PF
30.5 32.5 30.3 100% 30.7
Nikola Jokic C
62.8 59.9 60.6 100% 60.8
Jamal Murray PG
39.7 37.0 39.9 100% 40.2
Michael Porter Jr. SF
33.2 35.9 32.9 100% 33.2
Minnesota Timberwolves Proj L5 L15 S% S/DFS
Mike Conley PG
30.3 30.4 27.3 100% 27.8
Anthony Edwards SG
50.5 54.4 45.7 100% 45.1
Rudy Gobert C
37.0 34.1 38.0 100% 38.4
Jaden McDaniels SF
21.8 22.4 21.5 100% 21.9
Karl-Anthony Towns PF
42.7 37.9 38.2 100% 37.2

Nuggets Notable Injuries

  • Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.6 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 1.1
  • Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.5
  • Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.5reb, 0.1ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.4

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

  • Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.9
  • Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.5
  • Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.5
  • Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

View All Player Prop Projections

Nuggets Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #24 #27 #20 #24 11.8%
PF #15 #6 #27 #17 -1.6%
PG #11 #14 #10 #10 -27.3%
SF #27 #27 #22 #26 45.8%
SG #5 #3 #8 #4 -20.3%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #21 #14 #28 #21 7.6%
PF #9 #4 #12 #5 -15.9%
PG #7 #4 #3 #2 -329.4%
SF #11 #12 #12 #8 -51.7%
SG #12 #5 #2 #3 -20.9%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
118.0
108.0
Rebounds per Game
38.5
39.5
Assists per Game
31.0
26.0
Steals per Game
8.0
8.5
Blocks per Game
6.0
8.0
Shots per Game
90.0
80.5
3-Pointers Made per Game
12.0
11.5
2-Pt Percentage per Game
59.7
59.6
3-Pt Percentage per Game
39.3
34.3
Turnovers per Game
10.0
11.5
Fouls per Game
21.0
21.0

Recent Trends

  • Naz Reid (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.9% to 23.9, 18.0 min average previous 3 games.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.6% to 35.1, 24.6 min average previous 3 games.
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