Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready for a high-stakes showdown as the Denver Nuggets gallop into the Target Center to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in what promises to be a nail-biter of a playoff game! With the Nuggets looking to bounce back from a heartbreaker and the Timberwolves riding the momentum of a recent victory, tonight’s clash at 08:00 PM EST is set to be a pivotal battle in the Western Conference. The stakes are sky-high, the stats are neck-and-neck, and the betting lines are buzzing. As the Nuggets aim to mine a victory and the Timberwolves look to howl their way to another win, this game is shaping up to be more than just a playoff—it’s a true test of tenacity and talent!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 12, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	DEN ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-150	204.5	2.5/-2.5
Recent	+135	-160	205.0	3.0/-3.0
Difference	+5	-10	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

22W-16L

42.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

29W-10L

57.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
05/10/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	28	37	24	117	Over
05/10/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	20	21	25	24	90	Over
05/06/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	33	21	24	106	Under
05/06/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	20	15	25	20	80	Under
05/04/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	23	17	33	33	106	Push
05/04/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	19	27	28	99	Push
04/10/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	24	28	27	107	Over
04/10/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	23	34	33	116	Over
03/29/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	29	25	24	111	Over
03/29/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	17	21	34	98	Over
03/19/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	35	17	28	115	Over
03/19/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	27	29	28	112	Over
11/01/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	21	23	28	17	89	Under
11/01/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	35	26	21	110	Under
02/07/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	19	29	27	37	112	Over
02/07/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	49	30	31	36	146	Over
02/05/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	21	22	28	27	98	Over
02/05/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	31	31	34	128	Over
01/18/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	33	35	23	118	Over
01/18/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	25	33	34	122	Over
01/02/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	23	30	32	26	111	Over
01/02/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	23	36	31	34	124	Over
04/01/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	30	28	38	136	Over
04/01/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	30	29	36	130	Over
02/01/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	23	27	37	115	Over
02/01/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	39	31	30	130	Over
12/15/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	35	33	16	124	Over
12/15/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	29	27	19	107	Over
10/30/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	23	20	26	24	93	Under
10/30/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	15	26	18	91	Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs SAS	120-121L	33	31	7	97
04/10	@ MIN	116-107W	44	31	13	83
04/09	vs UTA	111-95W	43	30	9	94
04/06	@ ATL	142-110W	47	38	15	88
04/04	vs LAC	100-102L	51	27	13	83
04/02	@ SAS	110-105W	52	28	8	98
03/31	@ CLE	130-101W	51	36	16	87
03/29	@ MIN	98-111L	46	29	12	88
03/27	@ PHX	97-104L	38	24	8	88
03/25	@ MEM	128-103W	50	38	15	90

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ ATL	109-106W	44	29	14	79
04/10	vs DEN	107-116L	35	23	9	82
04/09	@ WAS	130-121W	44	30	8	90
04/07	vs LAL	127-117W	46	29	14	97
04/05	vs PHX	87-97L	44	23	18	85
04/03	@ TOR	133-85W	50	37	9	96
04/02	@ HOU	113-106W	39	29	17	77
03/31	@ CHI	101-109L	37	28	13	81
03/29	vs DEN	111-98W	39	28	7	75
03/27	@ DET	106-91W	40	28	12	82

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
K. Caldwell-Pope SG	19.4	19.3	20.9	100%	21.3
Aaron Gordon PF	29.9	27.6	30.4	100%	30.8
Nikola Jokic C	60.6	61.7	59.9	100%	60.2
Jamal Murray PG	38.5	37.0	39.8	100%	40.2
Michael Porter Jr. SF	33.0	34.6	33.1	100%	33.5

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	32.2	29.1	27.4	100%	27.8
Anthony Edwards SG	54.5	53.2	44.9	100%	44.4
Rudy Gobert C	37.4	29.4	37.2	100%	37.5
Jaden McDaniels SF	22.5	17.8	21.5	100%	21.9
Karl-Anthony Towns PF	41.1	38.1	38.0	100%	37.0

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.2reb, 0.9ast, 10.6 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.6
Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.5 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 1.1
Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.4
Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.4

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.8reb, 0.7ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.9
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.9
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.5
Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.6
Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Anthony Edwards	MIN	Pts	27.5	31.3	+3.8	60%	50%	40%	40%	DEN	-4.6	#4
Mike Conley	MIN	Pts	10.5	13.2	+2.7	40%	60%	60%	60%	DEN	-4.6	#4
Naz Reid	MIN	Reb	3.5	4.5	+1.0	40%	30%	47%	47%	DEN	+8.8	#20
Karl-Anthony Towns	MIN	Reb	7.5	8.5	+1.0	60%	50%	60%	60%	DEN	+8.8	#20
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	MIN	Ast	1.5	2.6	+1.1	60%	70%	73%	73%	DEN	-0.8	#14
Jamal Murray	DEN	Ast	5.5	6.2	+0.7	20%	40%	47%	47%	MIN	-1.9	#3
Jaden McDaniels	MIN	3Pt	0.5	1.2	+0.7	20%	50%	40%	40%	DEN	+2.1	#16

View All Player Prop Projections

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#26	#18	#23	11.5%
PF	#15	#8	#25	#18	0.3%
PG	#7	#11	#9	#8	-21.7%
SF	#11	#20	#17	#19	37.3%
SG	#4	#7	#14	#5	-22.4%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#19	#27	#21	6.8%
PF	#13	#6	#9	#7	-14.7%
PG	#4	#2	#3	#2	-329.7%
SF	#7	#12	#13	#7	-12.8%
SG	#9	#8	#3	#6	-21.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

120.0

109.0

Rebounds per Game

33.0

44.0

Assists per Game

31.0

29.0

Steals per Game

9.0

8.0

Blocks per Game

4.0

11.0

Shots per Game

97.0

79.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.0

10.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

59.0

66.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.1

27.0

Turnovers per Game

7.0

14.0

Fouls per Game

21.0

Recent Trends

Christian Braun (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.3% to 15.7, 11.6 min average previous 3 games.
Naz Reid (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 24.3, 18.1 min average previous 3 games.