Nuggets vs Pelicans Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble in the Big Easy as the high-flying Denver Nuggets swoop into the Smoothie King Center, looking to spice things up against the New Orleans Pelicans tonight at 09:00 PM EST. As we dive into the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs, the Nuggets are looking to cement their strong start, while the Pelicans are hungry to turn their fortunes around after a rough start to the season. With the stakes sky-high and the betting lines buzzing, tonight’s clash promises to be more than just another basketball game. Will the Nuggets continue their golden streak, or will the Pelicans take flight in an upset that could ruffle some feathers? Let’s see if Denver can mine a victory or if New Orleans will serve up a dish too spicy to handle!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 15, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Vegas Odds

	DEN ML	NOP ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-220	+180	221.0	-6.0/6.0
Recent	-165	+140	219.5	-4.5/4.5
Difference	+55	-40	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

24W-17L

62.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

22W-20L

37.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/12/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	25	26	29	33	00	113	Over
01/12/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	37	29	34	25	00	125	Over
11/17/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	25	33	24	00	110	Over
11/17/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	36	33	26	20	00	115	Over
11/06/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	44	21	24	00	116	Over
11/06/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	34	40	35	00	134	Over
03/30/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	21	29	32	25	00	107	Under
03/30/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	17	23	30	18	00	88	Under
01/31/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	25	24	29	00	113	Over
01/31/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	26	36	29	00	122	Over
01/24/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	35	20	16	00	99	Under
01/24/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	23	27	24	00	98	Under
12/04/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	29	21	25	00	106	Over
12/04/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	32	28	34	00	121	Over
03/06/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	19	38	37	30	60	130	Over
03/06/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	27	22	40	140	138	Over
02/04/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	24	31	31	00	113	Under
02/04/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	23	30	23	00	105	Under
01/28/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	24	36	30	00	116	Over
01/28/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	17	31	30	27	00	105	Over
12/08/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	29	16	25	150	120	Over
12/08/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	33	24	20	28	90	114	Over

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/10	@ DAL	122-120W	45	35	10	89
11/08	@ MIA	135-122W	39	37	17	81
11/06	@ OKL	124-122W	55	34	18	89
11/01	vs MIN	116-119L	46	30	13	92
10/29	vs BRO	144-139W	43	31	5	89
10/28	vs TOR	127-125W	52	29	16	96
10/26	@ LAC	104-109L	37	20	10	87
10/24	@ OKL	87-102L	57	29	15	99
04/12	vs SAS	120-121L	33	31	7	97
04/10	@ MIN	116-107W	44	31	13	83

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/13	vs OKL	88-106L	58	21	23	86
11/11	@ BRO	105-107L	45	31	10	94
11/08	vs ORL	88-115L	31	18	15	84
11/06	@ CLE	122-131L	33	21	9	88
11/03	@ ATL	111-126L	43	22	18	90
11/01	@ IND	125-118W	46	28	6	101
10/30	vs GSW	89-104L	49	24	14	90
10/29	vs GSW	106-124L	44	23	23	74
10/27	vs POR	103-125L	39	24	15	88
10/25	vs POR	105-103W	44	25	14	86

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SG	25.0	30.1	18.5	37%	27.5
Nikola Jokic C	68.0	74.7	64.0	100%	64.4
Jamal Murray PG	39.0	32.0	37.9	100%	38.2
Michael Porter Jr. SF	32.0	38.8	30.6	100%	31.0
Peyton Watson PF	26.0	19.5	13.1	10%	27.4

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Boston Jr. PG	36.0	32.4	12.2	13%	34.1
Javonte Green PF	21.0	14.2	15.8	23%	23.9
Brandon Ingram SF	47.0	37.2	35.6	100%	36.0
Yves Missi C	24.0	21.6	20.4	55%	21.1
Trey Murphy III SG	31.0	23.4	32.6	70%	33.1

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Aaron Gordon (SF): Avg: 14.2pts, 6.7reb, 3.7ast, 32.5 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 5.8
Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 7.3pts, 4.2reb, 2.1ast, 16.5 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 0.6

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Zion Williamson (C): Avg: 22.9pts, 5.9reb, 5.0ast, 31.4 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 7.3
Jose Alvarado (PG): Avg: 7.2pts, 2.3reb, 2.5ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 11/11/24. Impact: 3.9
Jordan Hawkins (PG/SF): Avg: 8.3pts, 2.4reb, 1.0ast, 18.1 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 3.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Nikola Jokic	DEN	Pts	28.5	30.0	+1.5	60%	60%	60%	60%	NOP	+1.1	#21
Brandon Ingram	NOP	Pts	23.5	24.9	+1.4	40%	40%	33%	33%	DEN	+1.1	#20
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Reb	4.5	5.4	+0.9	80%	70%	80%	80%	DEN	-0.5	#2

View All Player Prop Projections

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#22	#12	#15	1.2%
PF	#10	#7	#14	#9	-2.8%
PG	#3	#2	#9	#1	-20.1%
SF	#20	#29	#26	#25	7.7%
SG	#5	#2	#24	#10	-3.7%

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#29	#5	#19	3.5%
PF	#8	#8	#27	#11	-2.2%
PG	#8	#23	#27	#24	4.7%
SF	#3	#19	#19	#7	-5.4%
SG	#17	#14	#7	#12	-2.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.2

110.5

Rebounds per Game

45.2

43.5

Assists per Game

31.0

26.0

Steals per Game

7.9

8.4

Blocks per Game

5.8

4.7

Shots per Game

89.5

87.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.3

12.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.8

52.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.1

38.2

Turnovers per Game

12.0

12.5

Fouls per Game

17.9

17.2

Recent Trends

Nikola Jokic (C) is on an impressive streak, exceeding 12 assists in 5 consecutive games.
Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 37.0 pts, 18.0 reb, 15.0 ast against DAL
Jaylen Nowell (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 86.7% to 20.4, 11.0 min average previous 3 games.
Peyton Watson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 119.7% to 35.7, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.