Nuggets vs Suns Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown in the desert tonight as the Denver Nuggets roll into Phoenix to light up the Footprint Center against the Suns in a first-round NBA Playoff clash that promises more fireworks than a Fourth of July celebration! With the clock ticking down to an 11:30 PM EST tipoff, the stakes are sky-high. The Nuggets, looking solid with a recent triumph, are aiming to mine more success, while the Suns, after a recent stumble, are burning to reignite their spark. The odds makers are nearly split with a razor-thin line, and a hefty over/under suggests scorers might be busier than a bartender during happy hour. As both teams look to outshine the other in this high-stakes duel, prepare for an evening where the Nuggets try to dig deep and the Suns aim to eclipse expectations!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 25, 2024 11:30PM EST

Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix

Vegas Odds

	DEN ML	PHX ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-130	+110	232.0	1.0/-1.0
Recent	-120	-110	232.0	-2.5/2.5
Difference	+10	-220	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

28W-23L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

31W-21L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/23/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	26	25	28	11	00	90	Under
12/23/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	28	45	17	00	117	Under
03/27/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	29	30	24	21	00	104	Under
03/27/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	23	21	24	00	97	Under
03/05/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	28	37	25	12	150	117	Under
03/05/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	18	31	21	50	107	Under
12/01/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	41	29	24	25	00	119	Under
12/01/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	30	33	28	20	00	111	Under
04/06/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	30	31	29	00	115	Over
04/06/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	27	29	33	30	00	119	Over
03/31/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	20	20	34	19	00	93	Under
03/31/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	32	28	24	16	00	100	Under
01/11/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	28	26	21	22	00	97	Under
01/11/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	36	30	26	00	126	Under
12/25/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	24	33	27	29	120	125	Over
12/25/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	23	30	32	150	128	Over
03/24/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	31	35	38	36	00	140	Over
03/24/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	37	38	24	00	130	Over
11/21/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	32	18	19	00	97	Under
11/21/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	48	25	27	26	00	126	Under
10/20/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	25	34	25	00	110	Under
10/20/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	20	38	24	16	00	98	Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Suns Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/22	vs NOP	132-129W	54	34	22	97
12/19	vs POR	124-126L	40	35	11	87
12/13	@ LAC	120-98W	46	23	21	77
12/08	vs ATL	141-111W	43	43	18	89
12/07	vs WAS	113-122L	48	34	15	94
12/05	vs CLE	114-126L	49	25	15	96
12/03	@ GSW	119-115W	38	32	15	79
12/01	vs LAC	122-126L	39	37	14	88
11/25	@ NYK	118-145L	33	23	11	92
11/23	vs LAL	127-102W	48	37	17	82

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/21	@ DET	125-133L	35	30	19	78
12/19	@ IND	111-120L	44	28	16	82
12/15	@ POR	116-109W	46	23	11	89
12/13	vs UTA	134-126W	37	36	7	89
12/08	vs ORL	110-115L	39	24	19	83
12/07	vs MIA	111-121L	41	29	14	82
12/05	vs NOP	124-126L	46	32	17	85
12/03	@ SAS	104-93W	44	26	12	78
11/30	@ GSW	113-105W	45	31	12	79
11/26	@ LAL	127-100W	46	31	9	99

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SG	22.0	25.4	22.9	73%	27.3
Aaron Gordon PF	25.0	23.6	30.8	100%	30.6
Nikola Jokic C	60.0	64.1	64.4	100%	64.8
Jamal Murray PG	38.0	41.4	36.2	100%	36.5
Michael Porter Jr. SF	30.0	29.8	31.3	100%	31.6

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bradley Beal SG	35.0	30.9	32.1	100%	32.4
Kevin Durant PF	53.0	46.4	43.2	100%	43.6
Tyus Jones PG	29.0	30.3	27.4	100%	27.8
Jusuf Nurkic C	29.0	31.2	28.5	100%	28.9
Royce O’Neale SF	26.0	25.8	23.7	37%	26.8

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 0.3
Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 0.9
Hunter Tyson (SF/PF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.8

Suns Notable Injuries

Devin Booker (PG/SG): Avg: 26.7pts, 4.2reb, 6.7ast, 36.4 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 7.1
Grayson Allen (SG): Avg: 12.5pts, 3.8reb, 2.8ast, 31.2 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 3.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Josh Okogie	PHX	Pts	3.5	4.4	+0.9	40%	70%	73%	73%	DEN	+2.9	#29
Ryan Dunn	PHX	Pts	7.5	8.4	+0.9	20%	20%	40%	40%	DEN	+1.1	#23
Bradley Beal	PHX	Reb	3.5	4.3	+0.8	80%	70%	47%	47%	DEN	+0.2	#22
Kevin Durant	PHX	Reb	6.5	7.3	+0.8	40%	40%	53%	53%	DEN	-0.3	#11
Christian Braun	DEN	Ast	1.5	1.9	+0.4	40%	60%	67%	67%	PHX	+0.2	#21

View All Player Prop Projections

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#23	#14	#8	-4.1%
PF	#21	#4	#18	#20	3.1%
PG	#18	#2	#22	#24	3.2%
SF	#23	#11	#23	#24	5.7%
SG	#29	#22	#30	#30	12.1%

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#11	#10	#7	-5.0%
PF	#28	#23	#29	#30	11.2%
PG	#5	#16	#5	#6	-6.8%
SF	#1	#9	#13	#1	-14.1%
SG	#24	#14	#21	#23	4.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

120.4

114.3

Rebounds per Game

44.1

42.6

Assists per Game

31.0

27.1

Steals per Game

8.7

7.8

Blocks per Game

4.4

Shots per Game

88.8

85.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.8

15.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.9

54.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.2

38.5

Turnovers per Game

14.3

12.8

Fouls per Game

18.8

18.5

Recent Trends

Kevin Durant (PF/C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 27.0 pts, 13.0 reb, 10.0 ast against NOP
Kevin Durant (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.6% to 37.5, 28.7 min average previous 3 games.
Mason Plumlee (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 12.4, 20.2 min average previous 3 games.