Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 23rd 2024
Nuggets
49W-21L
March 23, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 212.0 o/u
Trail Blazers
19W-51L
It’s about to go down, folks! The high-flying Denver Nuggets, with a record that’s hotter than a habanero at 49W-21L, are saddling up for a wild shootout at the Moda Center against the not-so-blazing Portland Trail Blazers, who are languishing in the league with a 19W-51L record. The clock’s ticking down to a 10:00PM EST tipoff, and the stakes are high. The Nuggets are just half a game shy of the top spot in the Wild West, while the Trail Blazers are a whopping 30.5 games back, trying to find their way out of the wilderness. The betting lines are drawn with the Nuggets favored by a 14-point spread and an over/under set at a whopping 212.0. Will the Nuggets keep their winning streak alive after a 113-100 victory over the Knicks, or will the Trail Blazers bounce back from a 117-125 loss to the Clippers? Buckle up, basketball fans, because tonight, we’re mining for victory in the city of roses!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 23, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Moda Center, Portland
Vegas Odds
DEN ML | POR ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -1300 | +725 | 210.5 | -14.0/14.0 |
Recent | -360 | +280 | 212.0 | -13.0/13.0 |
Difference | +940 | -445 | +1.5 | – |
Team Performance
78.3% Win Probability
21.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02/23/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 38 | 32 | 32 | 127 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 20 | 28 | 29 | 35 | 112 | ||||
02/04/24 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 37 | 26 | 21 | 19 | 103 | Over | ||
Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 35 | 26 | 26 | 112 | ||||
02/02/24 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 20 | 35 | 29 | 24 | 108 | Over | ||
Denver Nuggets DEN | 33 | 26 | 33 | 28 | 120 | ||||
01/17/23 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 31 | 36 | 22 | 24 | 113 | Over | ||
Denver Nuggets DEN | 34 | 39 | 28 | 21 | 122 | ||||
12/23/22 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 27 | 37 | 16 | 27 | 107 | Over | ||
Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 26 | 35 | 27 | 120 | ||||
12/08/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 30 | 33 | 26 | 32 | 121 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 36 | 28 | 35 | 21 | 120 | ||||
10/24/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 31 | 30 | 25 | 24 | 110 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 23 | 32 | 44 | 36 | 135 | ||||
02/27/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 33 | 21 | 38 | 124 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 27 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 92 | ||||
01/13/22 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 28 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 108 | Over | ||
Denver Nuggets DEN | 41 | 31 | 29 | 39 | 140 | ||||
11/23/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 27 | 25 | 27 | 21 | 100 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 33 | 33 | 24 | 29 | 119 | ||||
11/14/21 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 18 | 35 | 26 | 16 | 95 | Over | ||
Denver Nuggets DEN | 33 | 34 | 24 | 33 | 124 |
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/21 | @ NYK | 113-100W | 42 | 31 | 9 | 85 |
03/19 | vs MIN | 115-112W | 49 | 26 | 17 | 81 |
03/17 | vs DAL | 105-107L | 37 | 26 | 7 | 84 |
03/15 | vs SAS | 117-106W | 40 | 37 | 12 | 90 |
03/13 | vs MIA | 100-88W | 41 | 24 | 9 | 82 |
03/11 | @ TOR | 125-119W | 42 | 36 | 9 | 95 |
03/09 | @ UTA | 142-123W | 32 | 40 | 13 | 83 |
03/07 | @ BOS | 115-109W | 45 | 27 | 7 | 92 |
03/05 | @ PHX | 107-117L | 51 | 25 | 14 | 98 |
03/02 | vs LAL | 124-114W | 47 | 34 | 10 | 94 |
Trail Blazers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/22 | @ LAC | 117-125L | 41 | 29 | 10 | 96 |
03/20 | @ LAC | 103-116L | 38 | 21 | 17 | 81 |
03/18 | vs CHI | 107-110L | 43 | 21 | 13 | 88 |
03/16 | vs NOP | 107-126L | 36 | 23 | 19 | 88 |
03/14 | @ NYK | 93-105L | 45 | 19 | 17 | 84 |
03/13 | @ ATL | 106-102W | 49 | 24 | 18 | 83 |
03/11 | @ BOS | 99-118L | 38 | 23 | 11 | 85 |
03/09 | @ TOR | 128-118W | 52 | 31 | 14 | 103 |
03/08 | @ HOU | 107-123L | 49 | 22 | 17 | 91 |
03/06 | @ OKL | 120-128L | 32 | 27 | 17 | 81 |
Starting Lineups
Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23.0 | 19.3 | 19.8 | 100% | 20.1 | |
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
32.1 | 27.9 | 28.4 | 100% | 28.8 |
56.0 | 51.0 | 59.2 | 100% | 59.4 | |
Jamal Murray
PG
|
41.9 | 39.8 | 39.5 | 100% | 40.0 |
33.9 | 36.0 | 32.3 | 100% | 32.7 |
Portland Trail Blazers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25.5 | 30.8 | 18.3 | 23% | 36.0 | |
18.1 | 16.6 | 17.1 | 57% | 20.4 | |
28.6 | 31.8 | 26.3 | 47% | 29.4 | |
Kris Murray
SF
|
19.3 | 24.2 | 15.8 | 57% | 21.5 |
9.4 | 11.4 | 16.4 | 23% | 29.7 |
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.3reb, 1.0ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.7
- Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.3pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 1.3
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.3
- Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.6
Trail Blazers Notable Injuries
- Jerami Grant (SF/PF): Avg: 20.7pts, 3.6reb, 2.8ast, 33.8 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 4.9
- Ashton Hagans (PG): Avg: 4.1pts, 2.4reb, 2.7ast, 16.6 minutes. Last game: 03/14/24. Impact: 2.3
- Ibou Badji (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 2.5reb, 0.7ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.9
- Justin Minaya (SG/SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.1reb, 0.4ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Nuggets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #19 | #4 | #13 | #13 | -2.6% |
PF | #13 | #18 | #16 | #10 | -4.0% |
PG | #4 | #10 | #24 | #1 | -22.9% |
SF | #14 | #11 | #26 | #14 | -1.2% |
SG | #15 | #13 | #13 | #12 | -3.6% |
Trail Blazers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #21 | #14 | #27 | #22 | 6.4% |
PF | #22 | #4 | #9 | #23 | 4.8% |
PG | #10 | #1 | #28 | #15 | -0.6% |
SF | #15 | #14 | #2 | #8 | -7.9% |
SG | #11 | #3 | #21 | #18 | 1.0% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 30.0 pts, 14.0 reb, 11.0 ast against NYK
- Toumani Camara (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.6% to 21.4, 32.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Scoot Henderson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.4% to 33.3, 22.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Shaedon Sharpe (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 27.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Jabari Walker (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.1% to 28.2, 21.3 min average previous 3 games. The Trail Blazers have a 2-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 5-game losing streak.
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