Nuggets vs Kings Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electric showdown at the Golden 1 Center as the Denver Nuggets gallop into Sacramento to face the Kings in a playoff clash that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! It’s game time at 11:00 PM EST, and both teams are looking to tighten the screws after a series of first-round blowouts. With the Nuggets just a dribble behind in the Western conference and the Kings not far off the pace, tonight’s battle is set with stakes as high as the over/under at 237.0. Fresh off their respective victories, each squad is bringing the heat, but only one can reign supreme. So, will the Nuggets mine for victory, or will the Kings rule their court? Let the royal rumble begin!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 16, 2024 11:00PM EST

Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento

Vegas Odds

	DEN ML	SAC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-115	-105	237.5	-1.0/1.0
Recent	+105	-125	237.0	2.0/-2.0
Difference	+220	-20	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

27W-22L

48.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

29W-23L

51.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/28/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	35	20	17	24	96	Under
02/28/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	37	35	17	117	Under
02/14/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	16	25	30	31	102	Under
02/14/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	26	21	24	98	Under
02/09/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	22	29	20	106	Over
02/09/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	35	39	29	135	Over
12/02/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	20	28	39	117	Over
12/02/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	39	24	35	123	Over
04/09/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	43	24	14	14	95	Under
04/09/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	33	24	26	109	Under
12/28/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	40	35	30	21	126	Over
12/28/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	24	38	32	33	127	Over
12/27/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	20	27	32	34	113	Under
12/27/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	24	27	23	106	Under
03/09/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	31	17	26	106	Under
03/09/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	22	26	23	100	Under
02/26/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	30	29	26	25	110	Under
02/26/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	38	21	26	30	115	Under
02/24/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	28	29	36	128	Over
02/24/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	25	33	29	23	110	Over
01/07/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	23	31	31	26	111	Under
01/07/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	31	30	25	121	Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/13	@ LAC	120-98W	46	23	21	77
12/08	vs ATL	141-111W	43	43	18	89
12/07	vs WAS	113-122L	48	34	15	94
12/05	vs CLE	114-126L	49	25	15	96
12/03	@ GSW	119-115W	38	32	15	79
12/01	vs LAC	122-126L	39	37	14	88
11/25	@ NYK	118-145L	33	23	11	92
11/23	vs LAL	127-102W	48	37	17	82
11/22	@ DAL	120-123L	42	33	13	90
11/19	vs MEM	122-110W	53	29	18	100

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/12	vs NOP	111-109W	50	24	11	92
12/08	@ UTA	141-97W	43	39	8	100
12/06	vs SAS	140-113W	44	33	11	90
12/05	vs MEM	110-115L	46	19	13	98
12/03	@ HOU	120-111W	34	33	10	91
12/01	@ SAS	125-127L	51	32	10	101
11/29	vs POR	106-115L	41	29	20	78
11/25	@ OKL	109-130L	31	24	12	87
11/24	@ BRO	103-108L	44	21	16	77
11/22	vs LAC	88-104L	48	19	15	83

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SG	24.0	23.6	21.6	67%	27.5
Aaron Gordon PF	27.0	24.9	31.9	100%	31.6
Nikola Jokic C	64.0	69.3	64.4	100%	64.7
Jamal Murray PG	35.0	35.2	36.3	100%	36.6
Michael Porter Jr. SF	35.0	36.5	32.4	100%	32.8

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	38.0	34.1	39.1	100%	39.5
De’Aaron Fox PG	47.0	42.4	45.3	100%	45.7
Malik Monk SG	36.0	33.8	28.5	20%	35.2
Keegan Murray PF	26.0	28.6	28.9	100%	29.2
Domantas Sabonis C	50.0	48.5	47.0	100%	47.3

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 0.3
Trey Alexander (PG/SG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.1reb, 0.3ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 0.4
PJ Hall (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.3 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 0.3

Kings Notable Injuries

Kevin Huerter (SG/SF): Avg: 10.4pts, 3.5reb, 2.5ast, 24.9 minutes. Last game: 12/12/24. Impact: 3.5
Jordan McLaughlin (PG): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.2reb, 1.7ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 1.1
Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
De’Aaron Fox	SAC	Pts	24.5	26.4	+1.9	0%	20%	40%	40%	DEN	-0.6	#11
Malik Monk	SAC	Pts	16.5	18.3	+1.8	60%	60%	40%	40%	DEN	-0.8	#11
Christian Braun	DEN	Reb	3.5	5.1	+1.6	60%	60%	73%	73%	SAC	-0.3	#10
Michael Porter Jr.	DEN	Reb	6.5	7.7	+1.2	60%	70%	60%	60%	SAC	-0.3	#11
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Ast	5.5	7.5	+2.0	40%	50%	47%	47%	DEN	-0.1	#9
DeMar DeRozan	SAC	Ast	3.5	4.7	+1.2	40%	50%	47%	47%	DEN	+0.9	#28

View All Player Prop Projections

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#28	#19	#21	3.6%
PF	#11	#4	#9	#10	-2.8%
PG	#11	#5	#15	#9	-3.1%
SF	#21	#21	#27	#28	7.4%
SG	#11	#8	#28	#15	-0.9%

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#25	#16	#8	-7.2%
PF	#29	#6	#15	#12	-1.3%
PG	#1	#12	#18	#4	-9.5%
SF	#4	#11	#2	#3	-13.8%
SG	#26	#10	#6	#17	0.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.8

113.1

Rebounds per Game

44.9

43.5

Assists per Game

30.6

26.0

Steals per Game

8.3

8.1

Blocks per Game

5.1

4.8

Shots per Game

89.2

88.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.9

13.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.0

54.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.5

35.4

Turnovers per Game

13.1

12.3

Fouls per Game

18.4

19.9

Recent Trends

Trey Lyles (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.4% to 14.2, 37.9 min average previous 3 games.
Julian Strawther (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 58.1% to 26.7, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.
Russell Westbrook (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.0% to 29.0, 21.1 min average previous 3 games.