Nuggets vs Spurs Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 15th 2024

Nuggets
46W-20L

March 15, 2024
08:30PM EST
Odds: 222.5 o/u
Spurs
14W-52L


Get ready to rumble, sports junkies! Tonight, we’re heading to the heart of Texas, where the dynamic Denver Nuggets, who’ve been crushing the court with a 46-20 record, are saddling up to face the San Antonio Spurs, who are, well, not exactly nailing it this season with a 14-52 record. It’s a Western conference showdown at Moody Coliseum, tipping off at 8:30 PM EST, and we’ve got all the spicy details. The Nuggets are sitting pretty at the top, while the Spurs are trailing behind by a whopping 25.5 games. The bookies have set the over/under at 222.5 – the Nuggets are favored by 10.5, and the Spurs are the underdogs at 10.5. The Nuggets, fresh off a victory against Miami, are hungry for more, while the Spurs are licking their wounds after a close shave with Houston. So, will the Nuggets strike gold or will the Spurs finally sharpen up? Only time will tell, folks. So, buckle up for a game that’s sure to be more exciting than a gold rush in the Wild West!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 15, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: Moody Coliseum, San Antonio
Vegas Odds
DEN ML | SAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -525 | +375 | 224.5 | -10.5/10.5 |
Recent | -585 | +410 | 222.5 | -10.5/10.5 |
Difference | -60 | +35 | -2.0 | – |
Team Performance

85.4% Win Probability

14.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/26/23 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 35 | 25 | 24 | 36 | 120 | Over | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 39 | 33 | 35 | 25 | 132 | ||||
03/10/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 38 | 29 | 26 | 27 | 120 | Over | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 26 | 42 | 30 | 30 | 128 | ||||
11/07/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 37 | 29 | 21 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 28 | 34 | 27 | 20 | 109 | ||||
11/05/22 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 27 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 101 | Over | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 40 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 126 | ||||
04/05/22 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 32 | 32 | 21 | 31 | 116 | Under | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 30 | 14 | 35 | 18 | 97 | ||||
12/11/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 44 | 31 | 24 | 127 | Over | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 29 | 27 | 18 | 38 | 112 | ||||
12/09/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 36 | 25 | 21 | 111 | Over | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 37 | 37 | 26 | 23 | 123 | ||||
10/22/21 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 22 | 28 | 20 | 26 | 96 | Under | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 102 |
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Spurs Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/13 | vs MIA | 100-88W | 41 | 24 | 9 | 82 |
03/11 | @ TOR | 125-119W | 42 | 36 | 9 | 95 |
03/09 | @ UTA | 142-123W | 32 | 40 | 13 | 83 |
03/07 | @ BOS | 115-109W | 45 | 27 | 7 | 92 |
03/05 | @ PHX | 107-117L | 51 | 25 | 14 | 98 |
03/02 | vs LAL | 124-114W | 47 | 34 | 10 | 94 |
02/29 | @ MIA | 103-100W | 41 | 22 | 15 | 86 |
02/28 | @ SAC | 117-96W | 43 | 35 | 15 | 87 |
02/25 | vs GSW | 119-103W | 45 | 29 | 10 | 90 |
02/23 | vs POR | 127-112W | 45 | 38 | 12 | 85 |
Spurs Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/12 | @ HOU | 101-103L | 42 | 30 | 13 | 84 |
03/11 | @ GSW | 102-112L | 50 | 27 | 15 | 93 |
03/09 | vs GSW | 126-115W | 49 | 34 | 12 | 86 |
03/07 | vs SAC | 129-131L | 37 | 39 | 12 | 91 |
03/05 | vs HOU | 101-114L | 50 | 24 | 18 | 87 |
03/03 | @ IND | 117-105W | 45 | 33 | 14 | 85 |
02/29 | @ OKL | 132-118W | 45 | 39 | 11 | 93 |
02/27 | vs MIN | 105-114L | 41 | 28 | 22 | 82 |
02/25 | vs UTA | 109-125L | 46 | 34 | 20 | 92 |
02/23 | vs LAL | 118-123L | 47 | 33 | 14 | 96 |
Starting Lineups
Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22.5 | 22.1 | 19.6 | 100% | 19.9 | |
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
31.8 | 24.7 | 28.0 | 100% | 28.4 |
63.7 | 59.4 | 59.0 | 100% | 59.3 | |
Jamal Murray
PG
|
45.9 | 46.4 | 39.9 | 100% | 40.4 |
35.1 | 30.2 | 30.2 | 100% | 30.6 |
San Antonio Spurs | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19.4 | 16.0 | 15.3 | 100% | 15.4 | |
Tre Jones
PG
|
26.8 | 27.2 | 28.1 | 100% | 27.3 |
28.9 | 28.8 | 27.6 | 100% | 27.2 | |
39.2 | 34.8 | 34.8 | 100% | 33.8 | |
51.3 | 50.5 | 49.3 | 100% | 47.9 |
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 5.0pts, 1.3reb, 1.0ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.8
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.3
- Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.8
- Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.4
Spurs Notable Injuries
- Cedi Osman (SF/PF): Avg: 6.8pts, 2.6reb, 1.7ast, 17.5 minutes. Last game: 03/07/24. Impact: 1.7
- Devonte’ Graham (PG/SG): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.0reb, 1.5ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.1
- Sidy Cissoko (SG/SF): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.6reb, 0.0ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Devin Vassell | SAS | Pts | 18.5 | 22.1 | +3.6 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 60% | DEN | -2.2 | #5 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | Pts | 8.5 | 10.9 | +2.4 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% | SAS | +1.5 | #24 |
Julian Champagnie | SAS | Reb | 2.5 | 3.6 | +1.1 | 20% | 50% | 53% | 53% | DEN | -0.9 | #9 |
Nikola Jokic | DEN | Reb | 12.5 | 13.1 | +0.6 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | SAS | +0.9 | #22 |
Jeremy Sochan | SAS | Ast | 2.5 | 3.6 | +1.1 | 40% | 50% | 40% | 40% | DEN | +0.4 | #23 |
Michael Porter Jr. | DEN | Ast | 1.5 | 1.7 | +0.2 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 60% | SAS | +0.4 | #22 |
Nuggets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #20 | #16 | #12 | #14 | -0.0% |
PF | #15 | #18 | #22 | #18 | -1.6% |
PG | #9 | #16 | #26 | #8 | -8.1% |
SF | #16 | #9 | #23 | #15 | -2.9% |
SG | #5 | #3 | #8 | #5 | -10.3% |
Spurs Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #28 | #22 | #25 | #28 | 13.0% |
PF | #17 | #11 | #1 | #5 | -9.8% |
PG | #28 | #17 | #17 | #29 | 14.5% |
SF | #2 | #20 | #22 | #13 | -5.2% |
SG | #24 | #23 | #21 | #23 | 4.9% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Malaki Branham (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.2% to 18.5, 27.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Julian Champagnie (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 88.3% to 28.9, 15.3 min average previous 3 games.
- David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 16.2, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Cedi Osman (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.7% to 11.9, 17.2 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak. The Spurs have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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