Nuggets vs Jazz Game Breakdown

Get ready for a mountainous showdown as the Denver Nuggets roll into the Delta Center to clash with the Utah Jazz in what promises to be a pivotal first round game of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. After a series of first-round blowouts, tonight’s 10:00 PM EST tipoff is set to dial up the intensity. With the Nuggets looking to cement their standing and the Jazz aiming to shake off their underdog status, the stakes are as high as the Rockies. Denver’s recent triumph over Detroit has them charged up, while Utah’s narrow miss against Philly has them hungry for redemption. As the scoreboard lights up and the odds stack at 240.5, tonight’s game is not just about advancing in the playoffs—it’s about proving who can really jazz up the court and who gets left nugget-less in the hunt for victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 30, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Delta Center, Utah

Vegas Odds

	DEN ML	UTA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-285	+235	240.0	-7.0/7.0
Recent	-210	+175	240.5	-7.0/7.0
Difference	+75	-60	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

28W-24L

67.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

23W-31L

32.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/27/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	29	37	22	122	Under
11/27/24	Utah Jazz UTA	35	18	23	27	103	Under
11/02/24	Utah Jazz UTA	26	30	19	28	103	Under
11/02/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	37	28	34	30	129	Under
04/09/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	31	22	24	111	Under
04/09/24	Utah Jazz UTA	17	36	27	15	95	Under
03/09/24	Utah Jazz UTA	22	22	44	33	121	Over
03/09/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	38	40	24	40	142	Over
01/10/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	24	29	25	33	111	Under
01/10/24	Utah Jazz UTA	35	36	28	25	124	Under
10/30/23	Utah Jazz UTA	21	24	24	33	102	Under
10/30/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	27	22	30	110	Under
04/08/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	19	36	40	19	114	Under
04/08/23	Utah Jazz UTA	32	26	31	29	118	Under
12/10/22	Utah Jazz UTA	26	26	38	20	110	Under
12/10/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	33	31	23	115	Under
10/28/22	Utah Jazz UTA	25	25	28	23	101	Under
10/28/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	28	26	28	117	Under
10/19/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	23	27	22	102	Under
10/19/22	Utah Jazz UTA	37	38	19	29	123	Under
02/02/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	31	18	25	104	Under
02/02/22	Utah Jazz UTA	28	32	22	26	108	Under
01/16/22	Utah Jazz UTA	37	31	23	34	125	Under
01/16/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	33	25	30	14	102	Under
01/05/22	Utah Jazz UTA	26	31	31	27	115	Under
01/05/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	30	22	31	109	Under
10/26/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	33	26	20	110	Under
10/26/21	Utah Jazz UTA	35	31	25	31	122	Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Jazz Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/28	@ DET	134-121W	40	29	13	82
12/27	@ CLE	135-149L	38	39	13	94
12/25	vs PHX	100-110L	46	20	16	78
12/22	vs NOP	132-129W	54	34	22	97
12/19	vs POR	124-126L	40	35	11	87
12/13	@ LAC	120-98W	46	23	21	77
12/08	vs ATL	141-111W	43	43	18	89
12/07	vs WAS	113-122L	48	34	15	94
12/05	vs CLE	114-126L	49	25	15	96
12/03	@ GSW	119-115W	38	32	15	79

Jazz Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/28	@ PHI	111-114L	48	27	21	89
12/26	vs POR	120-122L	46	26	13	86
12/21	vs BRO	105-94W	45	25	18	86
12/19	vs DET	126-119W	62	23	27	83
12/13	@ PHX	126-134L	34	30	15	77
12/08	vs SAC	97-141L	38	21	20	80
12/06	vs POR	141-99W	61	34	12	96
12/03	vs OKL	106-133L	36	21	29	70
12/01	@ LAL	104-105L	44	27	15	79
11/30	@ DAL	94-106L	53	20	15	95

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SF	22.0	23.1	24.3	83%	26.7
Nikola Jokic C	62.0	59.9	63.7	100%	64.1
Jamal Murray SG	39.0	46.6	36.9	100%	37.2
Michael Porter Jr. PF	31.0	28.1	31.1	100%	31.5
Russell Westbrook PG	32.0	33.6	26.9	17%	36.8

Utah Jazz	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Keyonte George PG	33.0	38.5	26.9	100%	27.3
Walker Kessler C	33.0	30.1	26.7	77%	29.1
Lauri Markkanen PF	39.0	38.5	33.6	100%	34.0
Collin Sexton SG	32.0	35.5	27.6	93%	28.9
Cody Williams SF	8.0	6.3	8.1	38%	10.5

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Aaron Gordon (PF): Avg: 13.9pts, 6.6reb, 3.7ast, 32.1 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 4.3
Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.2
Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.8
Spencer Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.0

Jazz Notable Injuries

John Collins (PF/C): Avg: 15.8pts, 8.4reb, 1.4ast, 28.4 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 5.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Keyonte George	UTA	Pts	16.5	16.7	+0.2	80%	60%	53%	53%	DEN	+3.5	#29
Walker Kessler	UTA	Pts	10.5	10.6	+0.1	40%	60%	47%	47%	DEN	0.0	#16
Lauri Markkanen	UTA	Reb	6.5	7.8	+1.3	40%	40%	47%	47%	DEN	-1.6	#2
Nikola Jokic	DEN	Reb	11.5	12.5	+1.0	60%	60%	67%	67%	UTA	+0.2	#16
Christian Braun	DEN	Ast	1.5	1.9	+0.4	60%	50%	60%	60%	UTA	+0.5	#23
Collin Sexton	UTA	Ast	4.5	4.7	+0.2	80%	50%	40%	40%	DEN	+1.0	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#21	#25	#19	2.7%
PF	#13	#2	#21	#16	-0.2%
PG	#26	#4	#27	#25	5.3%
SF	#16	#16	#27	#22	4.3%
SG	#29	#23	#30	#30	13.1%

Jazz Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#16	#8	#26	5.7%
PF	#12	#5	#2	#6	-6.4%
PG	#29	#2	#28	#29	10.4%
SF	#26	#2	#15	#23	5.1%
SG	#21	#6	#23	#22	4.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

120.1

111.9

Rebounds per Game

43.8

44.8

Assists per Game

31.3

24.8

Steals per Game

8.6

6.9

Blocks per Game

4.3

4.9

Shots per Game

88.0

84.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.8

14.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.6

55.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.9

38.1

Turnovers per Game

14.8

17.9

Fouls per Game

18.3

19.1

Recent Trends

Isaiah Collier (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.4% to 23.5, 17.1 min average previous 3 games.
John Collins (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.2% to 35.9, 27.3 min average previous 3 games.
Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 63.7% to 18.4, 11.3 min average previous 3 games.
Micah Potter (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.8% to 11.8, 18.7 min average previous 3 games.
Brice Sensabaugh (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.3% to 20.0, 14.0 min average previous 3 games.
Cody Williams (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.1% to 19.0, 14.2 min average previous 3 games.