Pistons vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

It’s time to rev up your engines and get ready for a showdown that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! Tonight, the Detroit Pistons, fresh off a nail-biting victory, are rolling into the Mile High City to battle the Denver Nuggets at the electrifying Ball Arena. With the Pistons trying to claw their way up the Eastern conference and the Nuggets looking to cement their position in the West, this 10:00 PM EST tipoff is set against a backdrop of high stakes and even higher expectations. After a series of first-round blowouts, we’re all itching for a game that keeps us on the edge of our seats, and with the over/under hinting at a high-scoring affair, tonight’s matchup might just be the thriller we’ve been waiting for. So, as the Pistons gear up to forge ahead and the Nuggets aim to strike gold, let’s see which team can hammer out a victory in this clash of iron and ore!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 28, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+185	-225	231.0	6.0/-6.0
Recent	+180	-220	232.0	5.5/-5.5
Difference	-5	+5	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

15W-41L

35.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

38W-13L

64.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/07/24	Detroit Pistons DET	29	28	28	29	114	Over
01/07/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	34	43	23	131	Over
11/20/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	27	29	25	26	107	Under
11/20/23	Detroit Pistons DET	23	32	24	24	103	Under
03/16/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	29	28	33	119	Under
03/16/23	Detroit Pistons DET	28	36	22	14	100	Under
11/22/22	Detroit Pistons DET	28	30	25	27	110	Under
11/22/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	28	24	27	108	Under
01/25/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	34	35	28	13	110	Under
01/25/22	Detroit Pistons DET	32	27	26	20	105	Under
01/23/22	Detroit Pistons DET	30	30	16	35	111	Under
01/23/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	31	32	25	117	Under

Pistons Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Pistons Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/26	vs SAC	114-113W	44	25	10	91
12/21	vs PHX	133-125W	35	31	13	89
12/19	@ UTA	119-126L	39	26	10	105
12/12	vs BOS	99-123L	43	27	8	98
12/07	vs NYK	120-111W	43	28	18	83
12/04	vs BOS	120-130L	34	27	18	84
12/03	@ MIL	107-128L	41	22	18	87
11/30	@ PHI	96-111L	42	22	16	91
11/29	vs IND	130-106W	44	35	18	83
11/25	@ TOR	102-100W	38	27	14	76

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/27	@ CLE	135-149L	38	39	13	94
12/25	vs PHX	100-110L	46	20	16	78
12/22	vs NOP	132-129W	54	34	22	97
12/19	vs POR	124-126L	40	35	11	87
12/13	@ LAC	120-98W	46	23	21	77
12/08	vs ATL	141-111W	43	43	18	89
12/07	vs WAS	113-122L	48	34	15	94
12/05	vs CLE	114-126L	49	25	15	96
12/03	@ GSW	119-115W	38	32	15	79
12/01	vs LAC	122-126L	39	37	14	88

Starting Lineups

Detroit Pistons	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Cade Cunningham PG	54.0	55.0	48.7	100%	49.0
Jalen Duren C	31.0	25.4	26.7	100%	27.0
Tim Hardaway Jr. SF	17.0	18.1	13.7	80%	15.7
Tobias Harris PF	28.0	20.8	27.2	100%	27.6
Jaden Ivey SG	34.0	27.6	31.4	100%	31.9

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SF	23.0	21.1	23.7	80%	26.6
Nikola Jokic C	62.0	53.6	64.2	100%	64.6
Jamal Murray PG	39.0	43.2	36.3	100%	36.6
Michael Porter Jr. PF	30.0	28.1	30.7	100%	31.1
Russell Westbrook SG	29.0	30.7	26.7	13%	37.9

Pistons Notable Injuries

Ronald Holland II (SF/PF): Avg: 5.4pts, 2.9reb, 0.7ast, 15.1 minutes. Last game: 12/26/24. Impact: 1.9

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Aaron Gordon (PF): Avg: 13.9pts, 6.6reb, 3.7ast, 32.1 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 4.3
Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.8
Spencer Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Cade Cunningham	DET	Pts	24.5	27.6	+3.1	80%	70%	60%	60%	DEN	+0.7	#21
Jaden Ivey	DET	Pts	16.5	18.0	+1.5	40%	50%	47%	47%	DEN	+3.6	#30
Jamal Murray	DEN	Reb	3.5	4.0	+0.5	60%	60%	67%	67%	DET	-0.7	#6
Tobias Harris	DET	Reb	5.5	5.7	+0.2	60%	40%	47%	47%	DEN	-1.2	#3

View All Player Prop Projections

Pistons Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#19	#16	#18	2.3%
PF	#9	#16	#4	#9	-5.3%
PG	#30	#6	#12	#26	5.8%
SF	#30	#23	#25	#29	11.0%
SG	#1	#2	#2	#1	-17.4%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#22	#24	#19	2.7%
PF	#15	#3	#20	#17	0.3%
PG	#21	#2	#23	#24	4.5%
SF	#20	#14	#27	#23	6.2%
SG	#30	#20	#30	#30	13.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.0

120.6

Rebounds per Game

44.3

43.9

Assists per Game

26.4

31.4

Steals per Game

7.1

8.3

Blocks per Game

5.4

4.2

Shots per Game

88.8

88.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.8

11.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.0

57.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.6

38.9

Turnovers per Game

15.0

14.4

Fouls per Game

20.5

18.5

Recent Trends

Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 27.0 pts, 14.0 reb, 13.0 ast against CLE
Jalen Duren (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.1% to 30.4, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.
Ronald Holland II (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.3% to 10.9, 18.6 min average previous 3 games.