Pistons vs Pacers Game Breakdown

Get ready to rev up your engines and shift into high gear, because tonight’s NBA playoff showdown at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is not just any game—it’s a pivotal face-off in the first round where the Detroit Pistons are rolling into Indiana to clash with the Pacers! With both teams looking to bounce back from recent defeats and tighten up after a series of first-round blowouts, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The clock is ticking down to an 08:00 PM EST tipoff, where the Pistons hope to put the brakes on their skid and the Pacers aim to accelerate past their conference rivals. With the betting lines drawn and the scoreboard ready to light up, it’s clear this matchup could shift the momentum of the playoffs. So, buckle up as Detroit tries to ‘piston’ their way to victory, while Indiana looks to ‘pace’ themselves into the next round!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 29, 2025 08:00PM EST

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana

Vegas Odds

	DET ML	IND ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+180	-220	230.0	5.5/-5.5
Recent	+130	-170	229.0	6.5/-6.5
Difference	-50	+50	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

19W-43L

43.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

36W-21L

56.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/16/25	Indiana Pacers IND	29	40	23	19	111	Under
01/16/25	Detroit Pistons DET	26	30	25	19	100	Under
11/29/24	Detroit Pistons DET	33	30	29	38	130	Over
11/29/24	Indiana Pacers IND	24	29	20	33	106	Over
10/23/24	Indiana Pacers IND	25	24	33	33	115	Under
10/23/24	Detroit Pistons DET	31	27	32	19	109	Under
03/20/24	Indiana Pacers IND	29	34	35	24	122	Under
03/20/24	Detroit Pistons DET	24	28	26	25	103	Under
02/22/24	Detroit Pistons DET	25	18	45	27	115	Over
02/22/24	Indiana Pacers IND	42	30	30	27	129	Over
12/11/23	Indiana Pacers IND	33	33	32	33	131	Over
12/11/23	Detroit Pistons DET	36	25	32	30	123	Over
11/24/23	Detroit Pistons DET	26	37	33	17	113	Over
11/24/23	Indiana Pacers IND	33	28	36	39	136	Over
04/07/23	Detroit Pistons DET	35	38	23	26	122	Over
04/07/23	Indiana Pacers IND	27	30	30	28	115	Over
03/13/23	Indiana Pacers IND	20	29	19	29	97	Under
03/13/23	Detroit Pistons DET	38	29	24	26	117	Under
03/11/23	Indiana Pacers IND	35	34	21	31	121	Over
03/11/23	Detroit Pistons DET	30	27	33	25	115	Over
10/22/22	Detroit Pistons DET	35	21	23	36	115	Over
10/22/22	Indiana Pacers IND	25	27	36	36	124	Over
04/03/22	Detroit Pistons DET	38	24	36	23	121	Over
04/03/22	Indiana Pacers IND	34	32	25	26	117	Over
03/04/22	Indiana Pacers IND	32	30	26	18	106	Under
03/04/22	Detroit Pistons DET	39	26	24	22	111	Under
12/16/21	Detroit Pistons DET	29	35	27	22	113	Over
12/16/21	Indiana Pacers IND	32	38	33	19	122	Over
11/17/21	Indiana Pacers IND	21	20	32	16	89	Under
11/17/21	Detroit Pistons DET	24	25	24	24	97	Under

Pistons Vs Over/Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Pistons Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/27	vs CLE	91-110L	45	24	10	96
01/22	vs ATL	114-104W	51	27	20	84
01/20	vs HOU	107-96W	52	21	22	88
01/18	@ PHX	121-125L	43	22	9	94
01/16	@ IND	100-111L	55	22	19	91
01/13	vs NYK	124-119W	40	20	11	92
01/11	@ TOR	123-114W	46	35	15	84
01/09	@ GSW	104-107L	40	25	14	86
01/08	vs BRO	113-98W	42	30	13	86
01/06	@ POR	118-115W	45	23	14	94

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	@ SAS	110-140L	31	31	11	97
01/18	@ PHI	115-102W	50	30	17	83
01/16	vs DET	111-100W	40	28	9	89
01/14	@ CLE	117-127L	37	30	11	91
01/12	vs CLE	108-93W	50	30	10	92
01/10	@ GSW	108-96W	48	27	15	82
01/08	@ CHI	129-113W	46	37	8	100
01/06	vs BRO	113-99W	35	22	10	79
01/04	@ PHX	126-108W	47	35	6	96
01/02	vs MIA	128-115W	39	35	6	96

Starting Lineups

Detroit Pistons	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Cade Cunningham PG	53.0	45.6	49.7	100%	50.1
Jalen Duren C	38.0	38.9	29.5	100%	29.8
Tim Hardaway Jr. SG	21.0	20.0	16.9	100%	17.2
Tobias Harris PF	27.0	19.2	25.9	100%	26.3
Ausar Thompson SF	25.0	19.4	20.8	67%	24.2

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	40.0	30.9	39.2	100%	39.6
Bennedict Mathurin SF	22.0	28.9	26.7	100%	27.1
Andrew Nembhard SG	26.0	27.6	26.0	100%	26.2
Pascal Siakam PF	37.0	41.5	36.7	100%	37.1
Myles Turner C	31.0	31.5	30.4	100%	30.8

Pistons Notable Injuries

Ronald Holland II (SF/PF): Avg: 5.8pts, 2.7reb, 0.8ast, 15.2 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 1.9
Wendell Moore Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.6ast, 6.0 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 1.3

Pacers Notable Injuries

James Johnson (PF/C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.6ast, 4.0 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Isaiah Stewart	DET	Pts	4.5	7.6	+3.1	40%	50%	53%	53%	IND	-1.0	#6
Jalen Duren	DET	Pts	11.5	14.5	+3.0	100%	60%	60%	60%	IND	+2.4	#25
Malik Beasley	DET	Reb	2.5	4.0	+1.5	20%	40%	33%	33%	IND	+0.1	#16
Ausar Thompson	DET	Reb	5.5	6.5	+1.0	60%	50%	47%	47%	IND	+0.1	#16
Simone Fontecchio	DET	Ast	0.5	1.0	+0.5	60%	50%	53%	53%	IND	+0.8	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Pistons Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#1	#24	#10	-5.7%
PF	#22	#12	#6	#16	0.2%
PG	#23	#11	#13	#25	2.8%
SF	#23	#12	#23	#20	3.5%
SG	#12	#12	#3	#8	-4.4%

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#25	#14	#7	#13	-1.0%
PF	#6	#29	#7	#22	3.5%
PG	#22	#2	#20	#16	-0.4%
SF	#25	#25	#27	#27	7.5%
SG	#6	#16	#9	#6	-6.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.1

115.8

Rebounds per Game

44.0

42.7

Assists per Game

25.4

29.2

Steals per Game

8.4

8.1

Blocks per Game

4.8

5.3

Shots per Game

90.1

88.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.3

12.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.8

56.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.2

37.2

Turnovers per Game

14.5

12.0

Fouls per Game

20.9

18.8

Recent Trends

Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
Aaron Nesmith (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.3% to 13.0, 23.8 min average previous 3 games.