Pistons vs. Heat: Underdogs Challenge the Sizzling Contenders!

Pistons
9W-52L

March 05, 2024
08:30PM EST
Odds: 217.0 o/u
Heat
34W-26L


What’s up, hoop heads? Buckle up for tonight’s NBA showdown as the Detroit Pistons (9W-52L), a team that’s about as successful as a vegan at a barbecue, rolls into the Kaseya Center to face off against the Miami Heat (34W-26L). The Pistons, languishing 31 games behind in the Eastern conference, are like that guy at the party who just can’t take a hint. On the flip side, the Heat are breathing down the neck of the conference leader, just 0.5 games back. Tipoff is at 08:30 PM EST, so don’t be late! The bookies have set the over/under at 217.0, with the Pistons line at 11.0, and the Heat line at -11.0. Coming off a sizzling 126-120 win against UTA, the Heat are hotter than a habanero, while the Pistons, fresh from a 91-113 loss against ORL, are colder than a penguin’s toenails. Stay tuned!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 05, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami
Vegas Odds
Opening Odds: Detroit Pistons +430, Miami Heat -625; Over/Under: 218.5 points
Recent Odds: Detroit Pistons +450 +20, Miami Heat -650 -25; Over/Under: 217.0 points -1.5
Team Performance

18.2% Win Probability

81.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/25/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 102 | Under | ![]() |
|
Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 32 | 25 | 20 | 103 | ||||
04/04/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 28 | 21 | 38 | 118 | Over | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 27 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 105 | ||||
03/19/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 26 | 22 | 38 | 112 | Under | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 18 | 34 | 19 | 100 | ||||
12/06/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 20 | 27 | 31 | 38 | 116 | Under | ![]() |
|
Miami Heat MIA | 25 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 96 | ||||
03/15/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 22 | 29 | 22 | 25 | 98 | Under | ![]() |
|
Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 28 | 11 | 37 | 105 | ||||
12/23/21 | Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 32 | 26 | 25 | 112 | Over | ![]() |
|
Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 26 | 33 | 27 | 115 | ||||
12/19/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 23 | 25 | 19 | 23 | 90 | Under | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 20 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 100 | ||||
11/23/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 20 | 26 | 21 | 33 | 100 | Under | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 25 | 28 | 23 | 16 | 92 |
Starting Lineups
Detroit Pistons | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
41.1 | 41.1 | 41.2 | 93% | 41.8 | |
35.7 | 35.0 | 34.4 | 93% | 34.9 | |
Jaden Ivey
SG
|
28.2 | 22.4 | 29.8 | 93% | 30.1 |
23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 93% | 23.4 | |
25.9 | 25.4 | 20.4 | 37% | 26.5 |
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
46.9 | 39.1 | 41.2 | 100% | 40.7 | |
Jimmy Butler
PF
|
45.9 | 50.2 | 38.9 | 100% | 37.6 |
25.1 | 22.5 | 23.5 | 43% | 29.3 | |
27.4 | 28.1 | 21.9 | 23% | 32.0 | |
Terry Rozier
PG
|
34.9 | 29.8 | 35.1 | 93% | 36.2 |
Pistons Notable Injuries
Heat Notable Injuries
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | Pts | 22.5 | 25.5 | +3.0 | 20% | 10% | 13% | 13% | DET | +0.2 | #17 |
Terry Rozier | MIA | Pts | 16.5 | 18.4 | +1.9 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | DET | -1.6 | #10 |
Jalen Duren | DET | Reb | 10.5 | 12.0 | +1.5 | 0% | 10% | 7% | 7% | MIA | -0.5 | #16 |
Isaiah Stewart | DET | Reb | 5.5 | 6.5 | +1.0 | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | MIA | -0.4 | #11 |
Bam Adebayo | MIA | Ast | 3.5 | 4.4 | +0.9 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | DET | +0.5 | #23 |
Pistons Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #16 | #25 | #22 | #23 | 7.9% |
PF | #26 | #20 | #23 | #27 | 9.9% |
PG | #10 | #19 | #10 | #12 | -2.7% |
SF | #14 | #4 | #20 | #6 | -7.9% |
SG | #17 | #1 | #9 | #11 | -3.0% |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #1 | #16 | #7 | #2 | -20.3% |
PF | #22 | #11 | #27 | #20 | 2.8% |
PG | #3 | #11 | #3 | #1 | -23.7% |
SF | #20 | #25 | #9 | #20 | 2.9% |
SG | #1 | #9 | #5 | #1 | -12.1% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.6% to 17.4, 26.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.0% to 17.9, 26.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 49.6% to 10.9, 21.7 min average previous 3 games. The Pistons have a 1-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 2-game losing streak. The Heat recently won a game, but have no significant streak.
Pistons vs Bulls Game Breakdown
February 11, 2025 at 9:34 am by thefield
Knicks vs Pacers Game Breakdown
February 11, 2025 at 9:34 am by thefield
Raptors vs 76ers Game Breakdown
February 11, 2025 at 9:34 am by thefield
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Kings vs Mavericks Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Pelicans vs Thunder Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Warriors vs Bucks Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Hornets vs Nets Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Celtics vs Heat Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:32 am by thefield
Spurs vs Wizards Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:31 am by thefield
Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:31 am by thefield
Hawks vs Magic Game Breakdown
February 10, 2025 at 8:31 am by thefield
76ers vs Bucks Game Breakdown
February 9, 2025 at 10:58 am by thefield
Raptors vs Rockets Game Breakdown
February 9, 2025 at 10:58 am by thefield
Hornets vs Pistons Game Breakdown
February 9, 2025 at 10:58 am by thefield
Jazz vs Clippers Game Breakdown
February 8, 2025 at 9:58 am by thefield