Pistons vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 27th 2024

Pistons
13W-59L

March 27, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 216.5 o/u
Timberwolves
49W-22L


Hey there, hoop heads! Tonight, the Motor City’s very own Detroit Pistons, sporting a less-than-stellar 13W-59L record (yeah, we know), are revving up their engines and heading to the Land of 10,000 Lakes to square off against the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Wolves, currently howling with a 49W-22L record, are ready to defend their den at the Target Center, with tipoff scheduled for 08:00PM EST. While the Pistons are trailing by a whopping 33.0 games in the Eastern conference, the T-Wolves are nipping at the leaders’ heels, just 1.5 games behind the top dogs in the West. The bookies have the over/under at 216.5, and they’re favoring the Wolves with a -13.5 line compared to the Pistons’ 13.5. Fresh off a 114-110 victory against the Golden State Warriors, the Timberwolves are hungry for more, while the Pistons, smarting from a 99-124 loss to the Knicks, are looking to spark a comeback. So, buckle up, folks! Tonight’s game promises to be anything but mechanical; let’s just hope the Pistons can find their groove and avoid getting caught in the Timberwolves’ teeth.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 27, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
DET ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +650 | -1100 | 214.5 | 13.5/-13.5 |
Recent | +850 | -1800 | 216.5 | 15.0/-15.0 |
Difference | +200 | -700 | +2.0 | – |
Team Performance

10.5% Win Probability

89.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/17/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 39 | 31 | 28 | 26 | 124 | Over | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 40 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 117 | ||||
01/11/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 34 | 30 | 23 | 31 | 118 | Over | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 31 | 34 | 36 | 34 | 135 | ||||
12/31/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 28 | 22 | 38 | 28 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 39 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 104 | ||||
02/06/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 26 | 30 | 23 | 26 | 105 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 31 | 28 | 35 | 118 | ||||
02/03/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 31 | 34 | 38 | 25 | 128 | Over | ![]() |
|
Detroit Pistons DET | 32 | 35 | 27 | 23 | 117 |
Pistons Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Pistons Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/25 | vs NYK | 99-124L | 37 | 22 | 12 | 88 |
03/24 | @ NOP | 101-114L | 46 | 20 | 16 | 79 |
03/22 | @ BOS | 102-129L | 42 | 25 | 18 | 83 |
03/20 | @ IND | 103-122L | 46 | 23 | 15 | 90 |
03/18 | vs BOS | 94-119L | 43 | 21 | 12 | 84 |
03/17 | @ MIA | 101-104L | 44 | 24 | 12 | 83 |
03/15 | @ MIA | 95-110L | 48 | 27 | 17 | 85 |
03/13 | @ TOR | 113-104W | 58 | 27 | 21 | 88 |
03/11 | @ CHA | 114-97W | 51 | 26 | 12 | 87 |
03/09 | @ DAL | 124-142L | 56 | 27 | 19 | 101 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/24 | @ GSW | 114-110W | 44 | 30 | 15 | 84 |
03/22 | @ CLE | 104-89W | 45 | 27 | 11 | 84 |
03/19 | @ DEN | 112-115L | 37 | 25 | 7 | 88 |
03/18 | vs UTA | 114-104W | 35 | 27 | 9 | 91 |
03/16 | vs UTA | 119-100W | 44 | 31 | 8 | 93 |
03/12 | vs LAC | 118-100W | 48 | 26 | 9 | 94 |
03/10 | vs LAL | 109-120L | 38 | 27 | 11 | 97 |
03/08 | vs CLE | 104-114L | 45 | 25 | 12 | 94 |
03/07 | vs IND | 113-111W | 48 | 23 | 9 | 98 |
03/04 | @ POR | 119-114W | 40 | 28 | 11 | 80 |
Starting Lineups
Detroit Pistons | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15.7 | 10.6 | 6.8 | 10% | 14.6 | |
38.4 | 36.5 | 41.1 | 93% | 41.7 | |
36.0 | 34.5 | 34.0 | 93% | 34.4 | |
17.3 | 16.4 | 10.9 | 25% | 15.8 | |
Jaden Ivey
SG
|
27.6 | 26.4 | 27.4 | 93% | 27.6 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Conley
PG
|
27.2 | 29.3 | 26.1 | 100% | 26.5 |
51.8 | 52.0 | 45.3 | 93% | 45.8 | |
44.4 | 36.3 | 38.5 | 100% | 37.9 | |
23.7 | 24.1 | 19.7 | 100% | 19.3 | |
Naz Reid
PF
|
34.6 | 34.0 | 26.4 | 17% | 38.8 |
Pistons Notable Injuries
- Isaiah Stewart (C): Avg: 10.7pts, 6.6reb, 1.5ast, 30.9 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 3.7
- Simone Fontecchio (SF/PF): Avg: 10.6pts, 3.8reb, 1.6ast, 25.1 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 4.7
- Quentin Grimes (SG): Avg: 7.1pts, 2.0reb, 1.3ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 2.5
- Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 5.3pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.8
- Taj Gibson (C): Avg: 1.1pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 0.8
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.4reb, 0.2ast, 5.6 minutes. Last game: 03/19/24. Impact: 1.5
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.6reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.6
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Rudy Gobert | MIN | Pts | 13.5 | 16.3 | +2.8 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | DET | +0.8 | #20 |
Jalen Duren | DET | Pts | 12.5 | 14.2 | +1.7 | 40% | 40% | 53% | 53% | MIN | +1.9 | #25 |
Mike Conley | MIN | Reb | 2.5 | 2.9 | +0.4 | 20% | 50% | 60% | 60% | DET | -0.6 | #4 |
Anthony Edwards | MIN | Reb | 5.5 | 6.3 | +0.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | 60% | DET | -0.6 | #4 |
Cade Cunningham | DET | Ast | 6.5 | 6.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 80% | 73% | 73% | MIN | +0.2 | #16 |
Pistons Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #20 | #18 | #23 | #27 | 7.8% |
PF | #11 | #14 | #17 | #16 | 1.6% |
PG | #7 | #22 | #2 | #6 | -11.7% |
SF | #8 | #11 | #16 | #9 | -11.7% |
SG | #29 | #4 | #26 | #27 | 8.7% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #25 | #28 | #3 | #25 | 6.3% |
PF | #9 | #17 | #4 | #5 | -9.1% |
PG | #1 | #30 | #24 | #3 | -21.0% |
SF | #16 | #5 | #2 | #6 | -15.1% |
SG | #7 | #18 | #16 | #9 | -4.9% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Tosan Evbuomwan (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.6% to 25.0, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Chimezie Metu (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 142.0% to 25.1, 10.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Monte Morris (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 81.7% to 19.3, 10.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Jared Rhoden (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 66.8% to 18.2, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
- James Wiseman (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.6% to 31.6, 19.8 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 7-game losing streak. The Timberwolves have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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