Warriors vs Hornets Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 29th 2024

Alright, sports junkies, gather ’round! Tonight, we’re going to witness the clash of the titans in the hive known as the Spectrum Center. The Golden State Warriors, with their 38W-34L record, are about to face the stinging 18W-54L Charlotte Hornets. The clock will start ticking at 07:00PM EST, so don’t miss it! The Warriors, trailing by 7 games in the wild, wild West, are looking to slash that gap, while the Hornets, buzzing 24 games behind in the East, are hoping to sting their way up the standings. The bookies have set the over/under at 218.5, with the Warriors favored by 12 points. Both teams are buzzing off recent victories; the Hornets swatted the Cavs 118-111, while the Warriors slashed through the Magic 101-93. So, buckle up, folks! It’s time to see if the Warriors can conquer the hive or if the Hornets will have them running for the hills!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 29, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Spectrum Center, Charlotte

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	CHA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-700	+475	218.0	-12.0/12.0
Recent	-380	+290	218.5	-12.5/12.5
Difference	+320	-185	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

20W-15L

79.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

9W-23L

20.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
02/23/24	Charlotte Hornets CHA	15	14	23	32		84	Under
02/23/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	21	30	24		97	Under
12/27/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	26	26	26	27		105	Under
12/27/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	37	28	24	21		110	Under
10/29/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	27	33	24	6	113	Over
10/29/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	34	28	18	27	13	120	Over
11/14/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	30	31	14		102	Under
11/14/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	30	27	30	19		106	Under
11/03/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	26	26	15	25		92	Under
11/03/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	21	32	27	34		114	Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Hornets Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/27	vs ORL	101-93W	52	26	12	90
03/26	vs MIA	113-92W	43	31	10	85
03/24	vs MIN	110-114L	41	23	12	85
03/22	@ IND	111-125L	64	24	14	106
03/20	@ MEM	137-116W	48	43	6	100
03/18	@ NYK	112-119L	39	29	13	88
03/16	vs LAL	128-127W	45	38	7	97
03/13	vs DAL	99-109L	42	19	15	92
03/11	vs SAS	112-102W	45	28	13	93
03/09	@ SAS	113-126L	39	26	12	90

Hornets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/27	@ CLE	118-111W	38	30	15	76
03/25	vs CLE	92-115L	33	22	11	80
03/23	vs ATL	91-132L	39	25	13	84
03/19	vs ORL	92-112L	30	19	17	79
03/16	vs PHI	98-109L	40	21	16	85
03/15	@ PHX	96-107L	48	20	4	94
03/13	vs MEM	110-98W	35	26	20	82
03/11	vs DET	97-114L	40	27	12	88
03/09	@ BRO	110-99W	45	26	16	82
03/08	vs WAS	100-114L	48	18	7	100

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	42.9	36.4	42.4	100%	42.9
Draymond Green C	32.6	27.5	30.2	100%	29.4
Jonathan Kuminga PF	31.6	29.6	32.4	100%	31.3
Klay Thompson SG	32.4	28.0	27.5	53%	25.8
Andrew Wiggins SF	28.7	30.4	26.6	100%	26.1

Charlotte Hornets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Miles Bridges PF	39.8	31.9	39.3	100%	38.5
Tre Mann SG	26.9	32.4	20.8	60%	29.1
Vasilije Micic PG	31.3	21.9	18.2	40%	27.0
Brandon Miller SF	34.3	29.1	32.7	100%	32.7
Nick Richards C	26.6	24.2	25.4	100%	24.8

Warriors Notable Injuries

Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.0pts, 4.4reb, 2.3ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.9
Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.4 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 1.1
Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.3reb, 0.6ast, 8.1 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.1
Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.5
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.0reb, 0.7ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.4

Hornets Notable Injuries

Amari Bailey (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Andrew Wiggins	GSW	Pts	13.5	15.5	+2.0	80%	70%	67%	67%	CHA	-0.9	#13
Klay Thompson	GSW	Pts	17.5	19.5	+2.0	40%	60%	47%	47%	CHA	-0.3	#14
Brandon Miller	CHA	Reb	4.5	5.0	+0.5	60%	60%	60%	60%	GSW	+0.6	#19
Vasilije Micic	CHA	Reb	2.5	2.6	+0.1	20%	40%	33%	33%	GSW	-0.5	#5

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#19	#12	#14	#23	2.5%
PF	#30	#29	#24	#28	7.9%
PG	#29	#27	#22	#30	22.7%
SF	#8	#19	#19	#16	0.1%
SG	#3	#5	#28	#8	-6.4%

Hornets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#24	#16	#22	2.4%
PF	#11	#6	#20	#10	-3.8%
PG	#27	#25	#25	#27	15.2%
SF	#13	#22	#30	#20	3.6%
SG	#14	#27	#14	#21	3.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.4

100.9

Rebounds per Game

47.4

39.0

Assists per Game

28.7

23.2

Steals per Game

6.9

7.0

Blocks per Game

5.0

3.6

Shots per Game

93.6

84.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

10.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.2

55.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.3

31.4

Turnovers per Game

12.1

13.1

Fouls per Game

18.1

15.7

Recent Trends

Leaky Black (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 23.0, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Brandon Miller (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.9% to 35.6, 25.5 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 57.5% to 18.6, 11.8 min average previous 3 games.