Warriors vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown deep in the heart of Texas as the Golden State Warriors gallop into the American Airlines Center to face off against the Dallas Mavericks in a nail-biting first-round playoff clash! With both teams nearly neck-and-neck in the Western conference standings and the thrill of the playoffs re-igniting rivalries, tonight’s 10:30 PM EST game promises more twists and turns than a Texas tornado. The stakes are sky-high, the betting lines are drawn, and after a series of playoff blowouts, we’re itching for a game that keeps us on the edge of our seats. While the Warriors are riding high from a recent victory, the Mavericks are hungry to bounce back, setting the stage for a battle that could go down to the wire. So, as the Warriors aim to sharpen their swords and the Mavericks saddle up, prepare for an epic duel where only the truest of sharpshooters and quickest of gunslingers will prevail!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 12, 2025 10:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-210	+175	233.5	-5.0/5.0
Recent	-220	+180	233.0	-5.5/5.5
Difference	-10	+5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

35W-29L

68.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

37W-26L

31.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/15/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	46	35	33	29	143	Over
12/15/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	41	33	26	133	Over
11/12/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	36	26	28	117	Over
11/12/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	26	37	24	120	Over
04/05/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	22	22	30	106	Under
04/05/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	21	27	29	108	Under
03/13/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	15	28	29	99	Under
03/13/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	21	28	33	109	Under
04/02/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	27	22	25	26	100	Under
04/02/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	21	31	24	104	Under
12/30/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	29	38	31	132	Over
12/30/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	28	35	33	122	Over
03/22/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	35	31	31	127	Over
03/22/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	30	30	32	125	Over
02/04/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	35	28	27	113	Under
02/04/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	40	33	29	17	119	Under
11/29/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	30	33	26	113	Under
11/29/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	19	37	24	116	Under
03/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	27	37	22	113	Over
03/03/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	38	30	31	23	122	Over
02/27/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	24	26	33	107	Under
02/27/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	37	23	28	13	101	Under
01/25/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	31	27	14	92	Under
01/25/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	34	34	33	130	Under
01/05/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	21	18	28	15	82	Under
01/05/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	29	20	29	99	Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/10	vs MIL	125-111W	48	27	9	93
02/08	vs CHI	132-111W	44	34	14	90
02/06	vs LAL	112-120L	40	29	12	101
02/05	vs UTA	128-131L	41	33	9	100
02/03	@ ORL	104-99W	44	25	13	78
01/31	@ PHX	105-130L	49	26	12	96
01/29	@ OKL	116-109W	42	30	15	81
01/28	@ UTA	114-103W	47	29	9	92
01/23	@ CHI	131-106W	52	37	10	102
01/22	vs SAC	117-123L	44	31	19	92

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/10	@ SAC	128-129L	33	31	11	95
02/08	@ HOU	116-105W	43	22	5	83
02/06	vs BOS	127-120W	35	32	8	88
02/04	vs PHI	116-118L	44	24	12	85
02/02	vs CLE	101-144L	45	22	9	103
01/31	vs DET	102-117L	46	20	16	87
01/29	vs NOP	137-136W	51	30	18	96
01/27	@ WAS	130-108W	51	39	11	92
01/23	vs OKL	121-115W	43	25	20	74
01/22	@ MIN	114-115L	38	24	13	90

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jimmy Butler PF	38.0	33.0	32.9	100%	33.3
Stephen Curry PG	45.0	48.8	41.4	100%	41.8
Draymond Green C	32.0	27.8	27.9	93%	27.6
Buddy Hield SG	25.0	25.1	19.8	63%	23.8
Moses Moody SF	25.0	21.6	16.1	7%	26.1

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dante Exum SG	19.0	19.9	9.5	20%	19.5
Kyrie Irving PG	49.0	44.8	40.6	100%	41.0
Naji Marshall PF	23.0	28.1	22.6	37%	21.2
Klay Thompson SF	25.0	23.6	24.6	100%	25.0
PJ Washington C	41.0	44.0	33.3	100%	33.8

Warriors Notable Injuries

Jackson Rowe (SF/PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.8ast, 8.6 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 0.9

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Anthony Davis (PF/C): Avg: 25.1pts, 12.6reb, 3.4ast, 35.2 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 8.3
Daniel Gafford (C): Avg: 11.1pts, 7.0reb, 1.4ast, 23.2 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 5.5
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.7reb, 1.0ast, 6.3 minutes. Last game: 02/02/25. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
PJ Washington	DAL	Pts	15.5	18.8	+3.3	80%	60%	60%	60%	GSW	+0.7	#20
Dante Exum	DAL	Pts	7.5	8.7	+1.2	60%	30%	20%	20%	GSW	+1.8	#26
Draymond Green	GSW	Reb	6.5	7.0	+0.5	20%	20%	40%	40%	DAL	-1.0	#4
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Ast	5.5	5.8	+0.3	40%	40%	27%	27%	GSW	-0.3	#10

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#2	#14	#12	#5	-7.9%
PF	#20	#16	#17	#17	-0.3%
PG	#18	#13	#10	#17	-0.2%
SF	#20	#23	#28	#21	3.5%
SG	#26	#11	#23	#27	4.5%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#25	#17	#23	4.4%
PF	#19	#4	#26	#16	-0.4%
PG	#29	#16	#16	#29	7.8%
SF	#7	#3	#23	#9	-5.3%
SG	#15	#20	#7	#12	-1.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.2

112.9

Rebounds per Game

44.7

43.1

Assists per Game

28.7

25.2

Steals per Game

8.3

7.7

Blocks per Game

4.8

6.6

Shots per Game

92.0

87.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

16.0

13.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.1

53.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.0

36.9

Turnovers per Game

12.5

13.3

Fouls per Game

20.2

17.7

Recent Trends

Stephen Curry (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 4 consecutive games.
Draymond Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.1% to 32.4, 22.1 min average previous 3 games.
Buddy Hield (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.8% to 30.9, 23.1 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Looney (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.2% to 11.6, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
Moses Moody (PG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.5% to 29.0, 21.5 min average previous 3 games.