Warriors vs Mavericks Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 13th 2024
Warriors
34W-30L
March 13, 2024
08:30PM EST
Odds: 233.0 o/u
Mavericks
37W-28L
Get ready to rumble, sports fans, because tonight’s NBA showdown is hotter than a Texas BBQ in July! We’ve got the Golden State Warriors, who’ve been slashing through the Western conference like a well-oiled machine, 7 games off the pace, ready to bring the heat to the Dallas Mavericks, who are sitting pretty just 2.5 games back. These Mavericks have been riding high, fresh off a 127-92 trouncing of Chicago, while the Warriors, not to be outdone, are still celebrating their 112-102 victory over the Spurs. They’re all set to lock horns tonight at 08:30PM EST in the heart of Dallas at the American Airlines Center. The stakes? Higher than a Steph Curry 3-pointer, with the over/under at a whopping 233.0. It’s a battle of the betting lines with the Warriors at 7.5 and the Mavs favored at -7.5. So, buckle up, folks, because when Warriors clash with Mavericks, it’s not just a game, it’s a gold rush in the wild, wild west!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 13, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas
Vegas Odds
GSW ML | DAL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +250 | -300 | 237.0 | 7.5/-7.5 |
Recent | +140 | -185 | 233.0 | 7.0/-7.0 |
Difference | -110 | +115 | -4.0 | – |
Team Performance
41.7% Win Probability
58.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/30/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 29 | 38 | 31 | 132 | Over | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 26 | 28 | 35 | 33 | 122 | ||||
03/22/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 30 | 35 | 31 | 31 | 127 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 33 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 125 | ||||
02/04/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 35 | 28 | 27 | 113 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 40 | 33 | 29 | 17 | 119 | ||||
11/29/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 24 | 30 | 33 | 26 | 113 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 36 | 19 | 37 | 24 | 116 | ||||
03/03/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 113 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 38 | 30 | 31 | 23 | 122 | ||||
02/27/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 24 | 24 | 26 | 33 | 107 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 37 | 23 | 28 | 13 | 101 | ||||
01/25/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 20 | 31 | 27 | 14 | 92 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 130 | ||||
01/05/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 21 | 18 | 28 | 15 | 82 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 21 | 29 | 20 | 29 | 99 |
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Warriors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/11 | vs SAS | 112-102W | 45 | 28 | 13 | 93 |
03/09 | @ SAS | 113-126L | 39 | 26 | 12 | 90 |
03/07 | @ CHI | 122-125L | 48 | 31 | 11 | 97 |
03/06 | @ MIL | 125-90W | 50 | 37 | 14 | 93 |
03/03 | vs BOS | 88-140L | 46 | 24 | 17 | 92 |
03/01 | vs TOR | 120-105W | 56 | 26 | 14 | 98 |
02/29 | vs NYK | 110-99W | 53 | 26 | 11 | 98 |
02/27 | vs WAS | 123-112W | 44 | 39 | 18 | 97 |
02/25 | @ DEN | 103-119L | 42 | 27 | 17 | 81 |
02/23 | @ CHA | 97-84W | 53 | 28 | 21 | 89 |
Mavericks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/11 | vs CHI | 127-92W | 49 | 33 | 6 | 93 |
03/09 | vs DET | 142-128W | 36 | 29 | 14 | 92 |
03/07 | @ MIA | 114-108W | 45 | 27 | 9 | 87 |
03/05 | @ IND | 120-137L | 41 | 23 | 9 | 93 |
03/03 | @ PHI | 116-120L | 45 | 20 | 17 | 86 |
03/01 | vs BOS | 110-138L | 42 | 20 | 7 | 94 |
02/28 | vs TOR | 136-125W | 50 | 32 | 14 | 99 |
02/27 | vs CLE | 119-121L | 36 | 23 | 5 | 91 |
02/25 | vs IND | 111-133L | 38 | 15 | 15 | 87 |
02/22 | @ PHX | 123-113W | 39 | 24 | 10 | 91 |
Starting Lineups
Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
31.4 | 27.2 | 30.3 | 90% | 30.9 | |
35.2 | 30.8 | 32.6 | 83% | 31.7 | |
Chris Paul
PG
|
36.5 | 30.5 | 27.7 | 33% | 34.9 |
33.9 | 25.9 | 28.0 | 70% | 27.9 | |
27.2 | 19.9 | 23.7 | 73% | 25.6 |
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
72.1 | 69.2 | 68.0 | 100% | 68.3 |
26.9 | 28.9 | 27.3 | 70% | 30.8 | |
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
44.8 | 35.3 | 42.9 | 100% | 43.4 |
12.7 | 16.1 | 14.9 | 70% | 17.7 | |
24.5 | 24.5 | 24.7 | 53% | 24.0 |
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Stephen Curry (PG): Avg: 27.1pts, 4.4reb, 5.0ast, 32.9 minutes. Last game: 03/07/24. Impact: 6.1
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.2reb, 0.3ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.5
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.5ast, 1.7 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.2
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.7
- Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.5reb, 0.6ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 0.8
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 03/11/24. Impact: 0.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Luka Doncic | DAL | Pts | 34.5 | 37.4 | +2.9 | 80% | 70% | 60% | 60% | GSW | -1.9 | #6 |
Draymond Green | GSW | Pts | 7.5 | 9.3 | +1.8 | 40% | 20% | 47% | 47% | DAL | +4.0 | #28 |
Jonathan Kuminga | GSW | Reb | 5.5 | 6.1 | +0.6 | 20% | 60% | 47% | 47% | DAL | +1.4 | #26 |
Klay Thompson | GSW | Reb | 3.5 | 4.1 | +0.6 | 0% | 20% | 33% | 33% | DAL | +1.4 | #29 |
Daniel Gafford | DAL | Ast | 0.5 | 1.3 | +0.8 | 60% | 50% | 53% | 53% | GSW | +1.3 | #29 |
Chris Paul | GSW | Ast | 8.5 | 9.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% | DAL | -0.1 | #12 |
Warriors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #27 | #29 | #28 | 11.0% |
PF | #26 | #28 | #9 | #25 | 8.1% |
PG | #23 | #11 | #14 | #18 | 3.1% |
SF | #6 | #21 | #15 | #18 | 1.7% |
SG | #6 | #7 | #24 | #9 | -5.2% |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #28 | #11 | #28 | #22 | 5.5% |
PF | #22 | #14 | #7 | #15 | -1.2% |
PG | #13 | #8 | #30 | #21 | 3.5% |
SF | #12 | #26 | #14 | #16 | 1.1% |
SG | #26 | #29 | #12 | #26 | 6.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 27.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 14.0 ast against CHI
- Dante Exum (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.8% to 18.1, 12.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 69.8% to 22.7, 13.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Draymond Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.0% to 29.5, 22.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Jonathan Kuminga (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.7% to 31.4, 24.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Chris Paul (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.3% to 28.8, 21.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Klay Thompson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.0% to 27.6, 21.1 min average previous 3 games.
Trail Blazers vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown
November 8, 2024 at 8:28 am by thefield
Wizards vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown
November 8, 2024 at 8:28 am by thefield
Rockets vs Thunder Game Breakdown
November 8, 2024 at 8:27 am by thefield
Warriors vs Cavaliers Game Breakdown
November 8, 2024 at 8:27 am by thefield
Suns vs Mavericks Game Breakdown
November 8, 2024 at 8:27 am by thefield
Nets vs Celtics Game Breakdown
November 8, 2024 at 8:27 am by thefield
Bucks vs Knicks Game Breakdown
November 8, 2024 at 8:27 am by thefield
Pelicans vs Magic Game Breakdown
November 8, 2024 at 8:27 am by thefield
Pacers vs Hornets Game Breakdown
November 8, 2024 at 8:27 am by thefield
Hawks vs Pistons Game Breakdown
November 8, 2024 at 8:27 am by thefield
Timberwolves vs Bulls Game Breakdown
November 7, 2024 at 8:17 am by thefield
Jazz vs Bucks Game Breakdown
November 7, 2024 at 8:17 am by thefield
Trail Blazers vs Spurs Game Breakdown
November 7, 2024 at 8:17 am by thefield
Heat vs Suns Game Breakdown
November 6, 2024 at 8:40 am by thefield
Thunder vs Nuggets Game Breakdown
November 6, 2024 at 8:39 am by thefield
Bulls vs Mavericks Game Breakdown
November 6, 2024 at 8:39 am by thefield