Warriors vs Mavericks Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 5th 2024
Warriors
42W-34L
April 05, 2024
08:30PM EST
Odds: 225.5 o/u
Mavericks
46W-30L
Yo, hoop-heads! Tonight’s the night we’ve all been waiting for, as the hard-charging Golden State Warriors, who’ve been shooting and slashing their way through the season with a 42W-34L record, are saddling up to storm the American Airlines Center. They’re squaring off against the sizzling Dallas Mavericks, who’ve been busting nets and breaking hearts with a 46W-30L record. The ball drops at 08:30PM EST, so don’t be late! The Warriors are trailing the Mavs by a mere 6.0 games in the wild, wild West, and the boys from Dallas are sitting pretty at the top of the heap. The betting gurus have set the over/under at a tantalizing 225.5, with the Warriors at 5.0, and the Mavs favored at -5.0. Both teams are coming in hot, with the Mavs fresh off a 109-95 takedown of ATL and the Warriors riding high from a 133-110 smackdown of HOU. So buckle up, folks, because when these Warriors battle the Mavericks, it’s not just a game, it’s a gold rush versus a rodeo. And trust me, you don’t want to miss this showdown at the NBA corral!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 05, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas
Vegas Odds
GSW ML | DAL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +180 | -220 | 228.5 | 5.0/-5.0 |
Recent | +165 | -195 | 225.5 | 5.0/-5.0 |
Difference | -15 | +25 | -3.0 | – |
Team Performance
37.7% Win Probability
62.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/13/24 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 99 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 21 | 28 | 33 | 109 | ||||
04/02/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 100 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 28 | 21 | 31 | 24 | 104 | ||||
12/30/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 34 | 29 | 38 | 31 | 132 | Over | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 26 | 28 | 35 | 33 | 122 | ||||
03/22/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 30 | 35 | 31 | 31 | 127 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 33 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 125 | ||||
02/04/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 35 | 28 | 27 | 113 | Over | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 40 | 33 | 29 | 17 | 119 | ||||
11/29/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 24 | 30 | 33 | 26 | 113 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 36 | 19 | 37 | 24 | 116 | ||||
03/03/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 113 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 38 | 30 | 31 | 23 | 122 | ||||
02/27/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 24 | 24 | 26 | 33 | 107 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 37 | 23 | 28 | 13 | 101 | ||||
01/25/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 20 | 31 | 27 | 14 | 92 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 130 | ||||
01/05/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 21 | 18 | 28 | 15 | 82 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 21 | 29 | 20 | 29 | 99 |
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Warriors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/04 | vs HOU | 133-110W | 43 | 29 | 18 | 80 |
04/02 | @ DAL | 104-100W | 52 | 29 | 17 | 90 |
03/31 | vs SAS | 117-113W | 41 | 34 | 15 | 92 |
03/29 | vs CHA | 115-97W | 50 | 35 | 12 | 89 |
03/27 | vs ORL | 101-93W | 52 | 26 | 12 | 90 |
03/26 | vs MIA | 113-92W | 43 | 31 | 10 | 85 |
03/24 | vs MIN | 110-114L | 41 | 23 | 12 | 85 |
03/22 | @ IND | 111-125L | 64 | 24 | 14 | 106 |
03/20 | @ MEM | 137-116W | 48 | 43 | 6 | 100 |
03/18 | @ NYK | 112-119L | 39 | 29 | 13 | 88 |
Mavericks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/04 | @ ATL | 109-95W | 53 | 20 | 14 | 94 |
04/02 | vs GSW | 100-104L | 42 | 27 | 15 | 89 |
03/31 | vs HOU | 125-107W | 47 | 24 | 13 | 93 |
03/29 | vs SAC | 107-103W | 42 | 24 | 10 | 76 |
03/26 | vs SAC | 132-96W | 49 | 34 | 9 | 92 |
03/25 | vs UTA | 115-105W | 47 | 31 | 6 | 92 |
03/21 | @ UTA | 113-98W | 43 | 33 | 13 | 87 |
03/19 | vs SAS | 113-107W | 40 | 31 | 9 | 91 |
03/17 | @ DEN | 107-105W | 60 | 22 | 11 | 100 |
03/14 | vs OKL | 119-126L | 40 | 25 | 19 | 84 |
Starting Lineups
Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
40.0 | 40.5 | 41.2 | 100% | 41.6 | |
33.4 | 30.1 | 30.0 | 100% | 30.4 | |
26.9 | 29.6 | 32.4 | 100% | 31.3 | |
29.2 | 29.4 | 27.1 | 53% | 25.0 | |
28.0 | 29.6 | 26.8 | 100% | 26.3 |
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
69.6 | 62.5 | 65.9 | 100% | 66.2 |
30.7 | 22.6 | 28.5 | 70% | 32.4 | |
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
46.6 | 39.8 | 42.3 | 100% | 42.7 |
14.5 | 14.9 | 12.2 | 70% | 14.0 | |
29.0 | 32.4 | 25.4 | 80% | 25.3 |
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.1reb, 1.0ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 1.1
- Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.3reb, 0.6ast, 8.1 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.1
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.5
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.8reb, 1.1ast, 23.6 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.2
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.4
- Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.4reb, 0.5ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.9pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.4
- Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.5reb, 0.9ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.6
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Luka Doncic | DAL | Pts | 32.5 | 35.7 | +3.2 | 20% | 30% | 47% | 47% | GSW | -3.2 | #2 |
Daniel Gafford | DAL | Pts | 10.5 | 11.6 | +1.1 | 0% | 40% | 53% | 53% | GSW | +1.7 | #25 |
Kyrie Irving | DAL | Reb | 4.5 | 5.2 | +0.7 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | GSW | -1.0 | #1 |
Warriors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #25 | #8 | #13 | #19 | 2.2% |
PF | #26 | #22 | #16 | #20 | 3.6% |
PG | #21 | #29 | #9 | #24 | 12.4% |
SF | #9 | #7 | #16 | #7 | -15.0% |
SG | #2 | #1 | #29 | #5 | -6.7% |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #4 | #20 | #25 | #9 | -5.0% |
PF | #8 | #7 | #5 | #9 | -5.3% |
PG | #9 | #17 | #4 | #8 | -18.2% |
SF | #23 | #6 | #24 | #18 | 1.0% |
SG | #12 | #28 | #11 | #15 | -1.3% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Draymond Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.2% to 30.5, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 19.3, 13.8 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 6-game winning streak.
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