Warriors vs Rockets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a high-octane showdown as the Golden State Warriors, balancing on a .500 tightrope, storm into the Toyota Center to face the Houston Rockets, who’ve been launching victories left and right this season. With the playoff atmosphere electric and the stakes sky-high, tonight’s 9 PM EST clash promises to bring some much-needed edge-of-your-seat action to a first-round series that’s been craving drama. Both teams are gunning for a better grip on the Western conference ladder, and with the betting lines buzzing and recent performances painting a picture of desperation and dominance, fans are in for a treat. As the Rockets aim to keep their engines burning hot and the Warriors look to sharpen their swords, tonight’s game is set to be a true clash of the titans. So, let’s see if the Warriors can slice through the competition or if the Rockets will continue to soar sky-high!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 13, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Toyota Center, Houston

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+195	-235	216.5	6.5/-6.5
Recent	+215	-260	217.0	7.0/-7.0
Difference	+20	-25	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

35W-30L

31.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

41W-21L

68.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/11/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	18	19	32	21	00	90	Under
12/11/24	Houston Rockets HOU	20	24	24	23	00	91	Under
12/05/24	Houston Rockets HOU	22	21	23	27	00	93	Under
12/05/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	18	31	24	26	00	99	Under
11/02/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	38	33	25	23	80	127	Over
11/02/24	Houston Rockets HOU	20	23	37	39	20	121	Over
04/04/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	32	34	34	00	133	Over
04/04/24	Houston Rockets HOU	24	26	33	27	00	110	Over
11/20/23	Houston Rockets HOU	27	26	28	35	00	116	Over
11/20/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	34	29	29	00	121	Over
10/29/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	31	24	25	00	106	Under
10/29/23	Houston Rockets HOU	24	23	28	20	00	95	Under
03/20/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	29	29	37	00	121	Over
03/20/23	Houston Rockets HOU	21	29	30	28	00	108	Over
02/24/23	Houston Rockets HOU	26	23	28	24	00	101	Push
02/24/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	40	20	30	00	116	Push
12/03/22	Houston Rockets HOU	23	29	28	21	00	101	Over
12/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	39	29	26	26	00	120	Over
11/20/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	40	21	36	30	00	127	Over
11/20/22	Houston Rockets HOU	28	37	29	26	00	120	Over
01/31/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	38	26	35	00	122	Over
01/31/22	Houston Rockets HOU	25	27	26	30	00	108	Over
01/21/22	Houston Rockets HOU	30	24	22	27	00	103	Under
01/21/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	19	33	29	00	105	Under
11/07/21	Houston Rockets HOU	32	29	22	24	00	107	Over
11/07/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	37	32	34	17	00	120	Over

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/12	vs DAL	107-111L	50	29	15	96
02/10	vs MIL	125-111W	48	27	9	93
02/08	vs CHI	132-111W	44	34	14	90
02/06	vs LAL	112-120L	40	29	12	101
02/05	vs UTA	128-131L	41	33	9	100
02/03	@ ORL	104-99W	44	25	13	78
01/31	@ PHX	105-130L	49	26	12	96
01/29	@ OKL	116-109W	42	30	15	81
01/28	@ UTA	114-103W	47	29	9	92
01/23	@ CHI	131-106W	52	37	10	102

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/12	@ PHX	119-111W	47	32	11	97
02/09	@ TOR	94-87W	58	17	15	86
02/08	vs DAL	105-116L	48	21	8	100
02/06	vs MIN	114-127L	39	26	10	84
02/04	vs BRO	97-99L	45	23	16	83
02/03	vs NYK	118-124L	50	27	15	104
02/01	@ BRO	98-110L	44	18	10	95
01/30	vs MEM	119-120L	45	22	12	97
01/28	vs ATL	100-96W	44	19	21	79
01/27	vs BOS	114-112W	39	29	7	92

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Buddy Hield SG	26.0	25.6	19.5	63%	23.4
Moses Moody SF	23.0	20.6	16.3	7%	26.1
Brandin Podziemski PG	26.0	32.1	21.5	20%	30.0
Quinten Post C	14.0	19.1	15.6	47%	17.3
Gui Santos PF	8.0	6.6	8.7	3%	18.8

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	23.0	25.5	25.1	100%	25.5
Jalen Green SG	39.0	36.6	35.6	100%	36.1
Aaron Holiday PG	19.0	9.7	8.5	7%	10.8
Alperen Sengun C	47.0	38.2	42.3	100%	42.8
Amen Thompson PF	46.0	39.4	35.6	67%	41.7

Warriors Notable Injuries

Trayce Jackson-Davis (C): Avg: 7.9pts, 5.6reb, 1.5ast, 17.7 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 2.1
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.1reb, 1.2ast, 6.0 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 1.5

Rockets Notable Injuries

Fred VanVleet (PG): Avg: 16.4pts, 3.9reb, 7.4ast, 36.1 minutes. Last game: 02/01/25. Impact: 4.6
Tari Eason (PF): Avg: 10.8pts, 6.7reb, 1.2ast, 23.1 minutes. Last game: 02/12/25. Impact: 4.9
Steven Adams (C): Avg: 3.4pts, 5.3reb, 1.0ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 02/12/25. Impact: 2.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jimmy Butler	GSW	Pts	19.5	22.3	+2.8	60%	30%	33%	33%	HOU	+2.3	#27
Alperen Sengun	HOU	Pts	19.5	21.5	+2.0	40%	30%	47%	47%	GSW	-4.7	#2
Amen Thompson	HOU	Reb	9.5	11.2	+1.7	40%	40%	47%	47%	GSW	-0.1	#14
Jalen Green	HOU	Reb	4.5	5.5	+1.0	40%	50%	47%	47%	GSW	-0.2	#10
Stephen Curry	GSW	Ast	5.5	5.6	+0.1	60%	50%	60%	60%	HOU	-1.7	#1

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#2	#15	#12	#5	-8.0%
PF	#15	#16	#18	#16	-1.3%
PG	#24	#14	#7	#17	0.4%
SF	#19	#25	#26	#22	3.4%
SG	#24	#10	#19	#25	3.8%

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#1	#7	#1	-17.5%
PF	#5	#9	#17	#9	-3.8%
PG	#18	#13	#1	#6	-3.9%
SF	#7	#17	#4	#5	-6.5%
SG	#27	#8	#6	#21	0.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.0

112.8

Rebounds per Game

44.9

46.1

Assists per Game

28.7

23.0

Steals per Game

8.4

9.7

Blocks per Game

4.9

4.6

Shots per Game

92.2

92.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.8

12.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.0

51.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.8

35.5

Turnovers per Game

12.6

13.5

Fouls per Game

20.0

19.4

Recent Trends

Amen Thompson (PG/SF) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 18.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 11.0 ast against PHX
Steven Adams (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.2% to 15.1, 24.8 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Looney (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.4% to 12.7, 18.5 min average previous 3 games.
Reed Sheppard (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.6% to 10.8, 17.0 min average previous 3 games.