Warriors vs Rockets Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 4th 2024

thefield
Golden State Warriors

Warriors

41W-34L

Golden State Warriors

April 04, 2024

08:00PM EST

Odds: 227.5 o/u

Rockets

38W-37L

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets

As the sun sets on the West Coast, the NBA’s hottest action is just heating up in the heart of Texas. Tonight, the Golden State Warriors, with their 41-34 record, are saddling up and heading to the Lone Star State to face the Houston Rockets, who are sitting pretty with a 38-37 record. This ain’t no leisurely stroll in the park, folks. The Warriors are trailing by a mere 6 games in the Western conference, while the Rockets are hot on their heels, 7 games back. It’s a high stakes showdown, with the over/under set at a whopping 227.5. The Warriors are favored by 4, but don’t count the Rockets out just yet. They’re looking to bounce back from a 106-113 loss against the Timberwolves, while the Warriors are still riding high from their 104-100 victory over the Mavericks. So, buckle up, basketball fans. Tonight, we’re going to find out if the Warriors’ winning streak will take flight, or if the Rockets will ignite and blast their way to victory.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 04, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Toyota Center, Houston

Vegas Odds

GSW ML HOU ML Over/Under Line
Open -175 +150 228.0 -4.0/4.0
Recent -145 +125 227.5 -4.0/4.0
Difference +30 -25 -0.5

Team Performance

gsw Team Logo
LAST 10
7W-3L
AWAY
22W-15L

59.2% Win Probability

hou Team Logo
LAST 10
8W-2L
HOME
25W-12L

40.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
11/20/23 Houston Rockets HOU 27 26 28 35 116 Over
Golden State Warriors GSW 29 34 29 29 121
10/29/23 Golden State Warriors GSW 26 31 24 25 106 Under
Houston Rockets HOU 24 23 28 20 95
03/20/23 Golden State Warriors GSW 26 29 29 37 121 Over
Houston Rockets HOU 21 29 30 28 108
02/24/23 Houston Rockets HOU 26 23 28 24 101 Under
Golden State Warriors GSW 26 40 20 30 116
12/03/22 Houston Rockets HOU 23 29 28 21 101 Under
Golden State Warriors GSW 39 29 26 26 120
11/20/22 Golden State Warriors GSW 40 21 36 30 127 Over
Houston Rockets HOU 28 37 29 26 120
01/31/22 Golden State Warriors GSW 23 38 26 35 122 Over
Houston Rockets HOU 25 27 26 30 108
01/21/22 Houston Rockets HOU 30 24 22 27 103 Under
Golden State Warriors GSW 24 19 33 29 105
11/07/21 Houston Rockets HOU 32 29 22 24 107 Under
Golden State Warriors GSW 37 32 34 17 120

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/02 @ DAL 104-100W 52 29 17 90
03/31 vs SAS 117-113W 41 34 15 92
03/29 vs CHA 115-97W 50 35 12 89
03/27 vs ORL 101-93W 52 26 12 90
03/26 vs MIA 113-92W 43 31 10 85
03/24 vs MIN 110-114L 41 23 12 85
03/22 @ IND 111-125L 64 24 14 106
03/20 @ MEM 137-116W 48 43 6 100
03/18 @ NYK 112-119L 39 29 13 88
03/16 vs LAL 128-127W 45 38 7 97

Rockets Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/02 vs MIN 106-113L 37 23 14 92
03/31 @ DAL 107-125L 43 22 10 92
03/29 vs UTA 101-100W 45 19 10 91
03/27 vs OKL 132-126W 50 25 16 104
03/25 @ POR 110-92W 45 19 8 93
03/23 @ UTA 147-119W 44 31 9 97
03/21 @ CHI 127-117W 49 27 14 93
03/19 vs WAS 137-114W 47 25 7 91
03/16 @ CLE 117-103W 48 28 9 98
03/14 @ WAS 135-119W 47 24 17 87

Starting Lineups

Warriors Notable Injuries

  • Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.0pts, 4.4reb, 2.3ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.9
  • Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.3pts, 2.1reb, 1.0ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 1.0
  • Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.3reb, 0.6ast, 8.1 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.1
  • Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
  • Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.0reb, 0.7ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.4

Rockets Notable Injuries

  • Jae’Sean Tate (SF/PF): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.9reb, 1.0ast, 15.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.3
  • Boban Marjanovic (C): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 0.9
  • Nate Williams (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 5.6 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Warriors Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #20 #12 #15 #20 3.2%
PF #26 #24 #18 #25 4.9%
PG #21 #29 #7 #23 9.9%
SF #10 #4 #18 #8 -12.4%
SG #2 #1 #29 #6 -7.2%

Rockets Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #6 #14 #8 #12 -1.9%
PF #3 #21 #2 #4 -10.4%
PG #13 #18 #30 #18 4.4%
SF #23 #28 #24 #27 15.5%
SG #28 #22 #1 #19 0.0%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
114.6
119.1
Rebounds per Game
46.6
44.6
Assists per Game
30.2
25.1
Steals per Game
7.7
8.9
Blocks per Game
4.9
4.7
Shots per Game
92.5
93.2
3-Pointers Made per Game
13.4
14.1
2-Pt Percentage per Game
55.3
55.3
3-Pt Percentage per Game
37.6
36.4
Turnovers per Game
12.2
10.5
Fouls per Game
18.5
19.1

Recent Trends

  • Draymond Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.0% to 30.2, 21.0 min average previous 3 games.
  • Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 85.9% to 22.3, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 57.7% to 34.9, 22.1 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Warriors have a 4-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 5-game winning streak.
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