Warriors vs Rockets Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 4th 2024

Warriors
41W-34L

April 04, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 227.5 o/u
Rockets
38W-37L


As the sun sets on the West Coast, the NBA’s hottest action is just heating up in the heart of Texas. Tonight, the Golden State Warriors, with their 41-34 record, are saddling up and heading to the Lone Star State to face the Houston Rockets, who are sitting pretty with a 38-37 record. This ain’t no leisurely stroll in the park, folks. The Warriors are trailing by a mere 6 games in the Western conference, while the Rockets are hot on their heels, 7 games back. It’s a high stakes showdown, with the over/under set at a whopping 227.5. The Warriors are favored by 4, but don’t count the Rockets out just yet. They’re looking to bounce back from a 106-113 loss against the Timberwolves, while the Warriors are still riding high from their 104-100 victory over the Mavericks. So, buckle up, basketball fans. Tonight, we’re going to find out if the Warriors’ winning streak will take flight, or if the Rockets will ignite and blast their way to victory.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 04, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Toyota Center, Houston
Vegas Odds
GSW ML | HOU ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -175 | +150 | 228.0 | -4.0/4.0 |
Recent | -145 | +125 | 227.5 | -4.0/4.0 |
Difference | +30 | -25 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance

59.2% Win Probability

40.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/20/23 | Houston Rockets HOU | 27 | 26 | 28 | 35 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 34 | 29 | 29 | 121 | ||||
10/29/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 26 | 31 | 24 | 25 | 106 | Under | ![]() |
|
Houston Rockets HOU | 24 | 23 | 28 | 20 | 95 | ||||
03/20/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 26 | 29 | 29 | 37 | 121 | Over | ![]() |
|
Houston Rockets HOU | 21 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 108 | ||||
02/24/23 | Houston Rockets HOU | 26 | 23 | 28 | 24 | 101 | Under | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 26 | 40 | 20 | 30 | 116 | ||||
12/03/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 23 | 29 | 28 | 21 | 101 | Under | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 39 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 120 | ||||
11/20/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 40 | 21 | 36 | 30 | 127 | Over | ![]() |
|
Houston Rockets HOU | 28 | 37 | 29 | 26 | 120 | ||||
01/31/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 23 | 38 | 26 | 35 | 122 | Over | ![]() |
|
Houston Rockets HOU | 25 | 27 | 26 | 30 | 108 | ||||
01/21/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 30 | 24 | 22 | 27 | 103 | Under | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 24 | 19 | 33 | 29 | 105 | ||||
11/07/21 | Houston Rockets HOU | 32 | 29 | 22 | 24 | 107 | Under | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 37 | 32 | 34 | 17 | 120 |
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Rockets Vs Over/Under
Warriors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/02 | @ DAL | 104-100W | 52 | 29 | 17 | 90 |
03/31 | vs SAS | 117-113W | 41 | 34 | 15 | 92 |
03/29 | vs CHA | 115-97W | 50 | 35 | 12 | 89 |
03/27 | vs ORL | 101-93W | 52 | 26 | 12 | 90 |
03/26 | vs MIA | 113-92W | 43 | 31 | 10 | 85 |
03/24 | vs MIN | 110-114L | 41 | 23 | 12 | 85 |
03/22 | @ IND | 111-125L | 64 | 24 | 14 | 106 |
03/20 | @ MEM | 137-116W | 48 | 43 | 6 | 100 |
03/18 | @ NYK | 112-119L | 39 | 29 | 13 | 88 |
03/16 | vs LAL | 128-127W | 45 | 38 | 7 | 97 |
Rockets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/02 | vs MIN | 106-113L | 37 | 23 | 14 | 92 |
03/31 | @ DAL | 107-125L | 43 | 22 | 10 | 92 |
03/29 | vs UTA | 101-100W | 45 | 19 | 10 | 91 |
03/27 | vs OKL | 132-126W | 50 | 25 | 16 | 104 |
03/25 | @ POR | 110-92W | 45 | 19 | 8 | 93 |
03/23 | @ UTA | 147-119W | 44 | 31 | 9 | 97 |
03/21 | @ CHI | 127-117W | 49 | 27 | 14 | 93 |
03/19 | vs WAS | 137-114W | 47 | 25 | 7 | 91 |
03/16 | @ CLE | 117-103W | 48 | 28 | 9 | 98 |
03/14 | @ WAS | 135-119W | 47 | 24 | 17 | 87 |
Starting Lineups
Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
43.8 | 37.4 | 41.8 | 100% | 42.2 | |
34.6 | 31.2 | 30.4 | 100% | 30.8 | |
29.9 | 29.6 | 32.4 | 100% | 31.3 | |
30.1 | 25.9 | 27.1 | 53% | 25.1 | |
29.0 | 32.0 | 26.9 | 100% | 26.4 |
Houston Rockets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20.8 | 14.8 | 19.4 | 100% | 19.3 | |
Jalen Green
SG
|
44.6 | 48.1 | 39.0 | 100% | 38.4 |
31.8 | 28.1 | 28.8 | 100% | 28.6 | |
35.1 | 36.5 | 29.1 | 53% | 34.3 | |
42.1 | 36.7 | 37.5 | 93% | 38.4 |
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.0pts, 4.4reb, 2.3ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.9
- Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.3pts, 2.1reb, 1.0ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 1.0
- Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.3reb, 0.6ast, 8.1 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.1
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.0reb, 0.7ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.4
Rockets Notable Injuries
- Jae’Sean Tate (SF/PF): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.9reb, 1.0ast, 15.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.3
- Boban Marjanovic (C): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 0.9
- Nate Williams (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 5.6 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Draymond Green | GSW | Pts | 7.5 | 9.9 | +2.4 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | HOU | +2.3 | #23 |
Andrew Wiggins | GSW | Pts | 13.5 | 15.6 | +2.1 | 80% | 70% | 60% | 60% | HOU | +2.3 | #23 |
Amen Thompson | HOU | Reb | 8.5 | 9.1 | +0.6 | 80% | 70% | 47% | 47% | GSW | -2.0 | #4 |
Fred VanVleet | HOU | Reb | 3.5 | 3.9 | +0.4 | 40% | 30% | 47% | 47% | GSW | -1.0 | #1 |
Warriors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #20 | #12 | #15 | #20 | 3.2% |
PF | #26 | #24 | #18 | #25 | 4.9% |
PG | #21 | #29 | #7 | #23 | 9.9% |
SF | #10 | #4 | #18 | #8 | -12.4% |
SG | #2 | #1 | #29 | #6 | -7.2% |
Rockets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #6 | #14 | #8 | #12 | -1.9% |
PF | #3 | #21 | #2 | #4 | -10.4% |
PG | #13 | #18 | #30 | #18 | 4.4% |
SF | #23 | #28 | #24 | #27 | 15.5% |
SG | #28 | #22 | #1 | #19 | 0.0% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Draymond Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.0% to 30.2, 21.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 85.9% to 22.3, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Jabari Smith Jr. (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 57.7% to 34.9, 22.1 min average previous 3 games. The Warriors have a 4-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 5-game winning streak.
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