Warriors vs Rockets Game Breakdown

Get ready to ignite your screens tonight as the high-flying Golden State Warriors swoop into the Toyota Center, looking to steal the spotlight from the Houston Rockets in a first-round NBA Playoff clash that promises more fireworks than a Fourth of July parade! With both teams barely separated in the Western conference standings and fresh off convincing wins, this matchup at 10:30 PM EST is your ticket to fantasy sports glory. The stakes? A razor-thin betting line and a total points bonanza set at 223. Let’s see if the Rockets can launch another victory or if the Warriors will slice through their defenses in a game that’s sure to be nothing short of explosive!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 11, 2024 10:30PM EST

Location: Toyota Center, Houston

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+110	-130	221.5	2.5/-2.5
Recent	+100	-130	223.0	2.0/-2.0
Difference	-10	0	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

30W-21L

50.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

34W-16L

50.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/05/24	Houston Rockets HOU	22	21	23	27	00	93	Under
12/05/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	18	31	24	26	00	99	Under
11/02/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	38	33	25	23	80	127	Over
11/02/24	Houston Rockets HOU	20	23	37	39	20	121	Over
04/04/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	32	34	34	00	133	Over
04/04/24	Houston Rockets HOU	24	26	33	27	00	110	Over
11/20/23	Houston Rockets HOU	27	26	28	35	00	116	Over
11/20/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	34	29	29	00	121	Over
10/29/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	31	24	25	00	106	Under
10/29/23	Houston Rockets HOU	24	23	28	20	00	95	Under
03/20/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	29	29	37	00	121	Over
03/20/23	Houston Rockets HOU	21	29	30	28	00	108	Over
02/24/23	Houston Rockets HOU	26	23	28	24	00	101	Under
02/24/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	40	20	30	00	116	Under
12/03/22	Houston Rockets HOU	23	29	28	21	00	101	Under
12/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	39	29	26	26	00	120	Under
11/20/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	40	21	36	30	00	127	Over
11/20/22	Houston Rockets HOU	28	37	29	26	00	120	Over
01/31/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	38	26	35	00	122	Over
01/31/22	Houston Rockets HOU	25	27	26	30	00	108	Over
01/21/22	Houston Rockets HOU	30	24	22	27	00	103	Under
01/21/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	19	33	29	00	105	Under
11/07/21	Houston Rockets HOU	32	29	22	24	00	107	Over
11/07/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	37	32	34	17	00	120	Over

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/08	@ MIN	114-106W	45	28	11	90
12/06	@ MIN	90-107L	41	21	22	82
12/05	@ HOU	99-93W	54	19	10	86
12/03	vs DEN	115-119L	48	36	14	95
11/30	vs PHX	105-113L	43	28	9	92
11/25	@ BRO	120-128L	43	32	12	93
11/23	vs SAS	94-104L	49	29	10	95
11/22	vs NOP	112-108W	52	27	16	87
11/20	@ ATL	120-97W	54	36	15	101
11/18	vs LAC	99-102L	45	27	19	84

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/08	vs LAC	117-106W	50	23	15	82
12/05	vs GSW	93-99L	45	20	8	93
12/03	vs SAC	111-120L	53	14	15	93
12/01	@ OKL	119-116W	51	20	10	92
11/26	vs MIN	117-111W	44	31	10	99
11/23	@ POR	98-104L	43	17	9	90
11/22	@ POR	116-88W	51	27	17	93
11/20	@ IND	130-113W	47	25	13	102
11/18	vs MIL	100-101L	53	19	12	100
11/17	vs CHI	143-107W	66	34	10	105

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	47.0	43.5	42.4	100%	42.8
Draymond Green PF	33.0	27.7	28.4	100%	27.6
Kevon Looney C	24.0	22.9	16.6	10%	23.9
Brandin Podziemski SG	15.0	24.4	20.7	23%	30.4
Andrew Wiggins SF	32.0	28.5	29.4	100%	29.7

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	26.0	27.2	21.5	100%	21.8
Jalen Green SG	34.0	30.2	32.5	100%	32.9
Alperen Sengun C	47.0	45.2	43.3	100%	43.6
Jabari Smith Jr. PF	27.0	30.6	26.9	100%	27.2
Fred VanVleet PG	37.0	35.0	38.2	100%	38.5

Warriors Notable Injuries

Moses Moody (PG/SG): Avg: 7.9pts, 2.7reb, 0.8ast, 17.0 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 1.7
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.3reb, 0.9ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 12/06/24. Impact: 0.7

Rockets Notable Injuries

Jock Landale (C): Avg: 4.7pts, 3.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 11/26/24. Impact: 1.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jonathan Kuminga	GSW	Pts	16.5	20.5	+4.0	60%	30%	40%	40%	HOU	-3.8	#3
Stephen Curry	GSW	Pts	24.5	27.2	+2.7	40%	30%	40%	40%	HOU	+0.1	#15
Kevon Looney	GSW	Reb	7.5	8.8	+1.3	60%	30%	40%	40%	HOU	+0.1	#18
Andrew Wiggins	GSW	Reb	4.5	5.6	+1.1	40%	40%	33%	33%	HOU	+0.4	#23
Draymond Green	GSW	Ast	5.5	6.6	+1.1	100%	90%	87%	87%	HOU	-0.7	#2

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#17	#22	#18	1.5%
PF	#19	#10	#14	#16	0.7%
PG	#3	#14	#3	#3	-12.3%
SF	#12	#22	#15	#12	-1.6%
SG	#7	#21	#25	#15	-0.7%

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#20	#1	#11	-3.3%
PF	#3	#18	#2	#5	-9.4%
PG	#15	#23	#19	#21	3.0%
SF	#3	#20	#2	#2	-16.0%
SG	#24	#23	#1	#20	0.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.4

115.7

Rebounds per Game

47.5

46.8

Assists per Game

30.0

23.4

Steals per Game

8.5

8.6

Blocks per Game

5.4

5.1

Shots per Game

91.0

93.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.0

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.4

51.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.3

34.7

Turnovers per Game

13.7

11.5

Fouls per Game

19.8

20.7

Recent Trends

Buddy Hield (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.7% to 25.0, 18.2 min average previous 3 games.
Jonathan Kuminga (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.5% to 32.6, 22.7 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Looney (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.3% to 23.4, 17.7 min average previous 3 games.
De’Anthony Melton (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.1% to 23.7, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.1% to 20.9, 16.0 min average previous 3 games.