Warriors vs Lakers Game Breakdown

Tonight’s NBA showdown at the Crypto.com Arena is not just any playoff game; it’s a clash of Californian titans as the evenly matched Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Lakers look to set the hardwood on fire! With the first round of the playoffs leaving fans craving more competitive battles, this game promises to deliver. The Lakers glide into this game with momentum, fresh off a decisive victory, while the Warriors are hungry to bounce back from a narrow defeat. As the clock ticks down to an 11:00 PM EST tipoff, all eyes will be on these two Western conference contenders to see who can outshine the other. So, as the Lakers hope to ‘Lake’ the Warriors’ spirits and Golden State aims to find that ‘Golden’ touch, tonight’s game is sure to be a slam dunk of entertainment!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 06, 2025 11:00PM EST

Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	LAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+215	-260	222.0	6.5/-6.5
Recent	+235	-285	222.5	7.0/-7.0
Difference	+20	-25	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

33W-28L

29.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

44W-18L

70.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/25/25	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	27	32	30	29	00	118	Over
01/25/25	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	32	25	25	00	108	Over
12/25/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	23	32	29	31	00	115	Over
12/25/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	29	24	37	00	113	Over
04/09/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	38	33	35	28	00	134	Over
04/09/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	29	31	29	31	00	120	Over
03/16/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	37	35	26	00	128	Over
03/16/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	36	30	27	28	00	121	Over
02/22/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	28	28	26	28	00	110	Over
02/22/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	36	31	30	00	128	Over
01/27/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	35	23	27	1215	145	Over
01/27/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	33	36	19	1214	144	Over
03/05/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	18	36	18	33	00	105	Under
03/05/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	22	23	35	00	113	Under
02/23/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	33	24	31	00	111	Over
02/23/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	31	28	36	29	00	124	Over
02/11/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	21	30	34	24	00	109	Under
02/11/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	31	26	24	00	103	Under
10/18/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	22	30	19	38	00	109	Over
10/18/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	34	32	32	00	123	Over
04/07/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	30	22	28	00	112	Over
04/07/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	38	26	37	00	128	Over
03/05/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	42	27	22	00	116	Over
03/05/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	30	27	35	00	124	Over
02/12/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	26	36	32	21	00	115	Over
02/12/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	33	30	22	00	117	Over
10/19/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	21	30	38	00	121	Over
10/19/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	34	25	26	29	00	114	Over

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Lakers Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/05	vs UTA	128-131L	41	33	9	100
02/03	@ ORL	104-99W	44	25	13	78
01/31	@ PHX	105-130L	49	26	12	96
01/29	@ OKL	116-109W	42	30	15	81
01/28	@ UTA	114-103W	47	29	9	92
01/23	@ CHI	131-106W	52	37	10	102
01/22	vs SAC	117-123L	44	31	19	92
01/20	@ BOS	85-125L	38	28	12	92
01/18	@ WAS	122-114W	55	24	9	96
01/15	vs MIN	116-115W	45	26	12	82

Lakers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/04	vs LAC	122-97W	50	33	14	81
02/01	vs NYK	128-112W	37	26	15	81
01/30	vs WAS	134-96W	48	31	11	90
01/28	vs PHI	104-118L	39	25	22	72
01/27	vs CHA	112-107W	48	22	16	86
01/23	@ BOS	117-96W	53	27	6	89
01/21	@ WAS	111-88W	50	30	10	90
01/19	vs LAC	102-116L	33	26	15	76
01/17	@ BRO	102-101W	34	24	10	82
01/15	@ MIA	117-108W	34	33	6	90

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	45.0	35.5	40.4	100%	40.8
Buddy Hield SG	26.0	17.9	18.4	53%	22.6
Moses Moody SF	19.0	24.1	15.2	3%	26.0
Brandin Podziemski PF	34.0	30.6	21.7	23%	32.0
Quinten Post C	23.0	18.1	14.8	36%	17.5

Los Angeles Lakers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dorian Finney-Smith SG	19.0	13.6	17.8	67%	20.9
Rui Hachimura PF	30.0	27.9	24.4	100%	24.9
Jaxson Hayes C	25.0	19.8	13.4	23%	21.1
LeBron James SF	60.0	51.5	47.8	100%	48.1
Austin Reaves PG	41.0	39.4	36.3	100%	36.6

Warriors Notable Injuries

Lakers Notable Injuries

Jarred Vanderbilt OUT (PF): Avg: 5.1pts, 4.8reb, 1.2ast, 19.3 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 3.4
Maxi Kleber (PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.1reb, 1.5ast, 19.6 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 2.1
Gabe Vincent OUT (PG/SG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.3reb, 1.4ast, 19.8 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 2.5
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.2pts, 1.3reb, 0.5ast, 7.3 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
LeBron James	LAL	Pts	27.5	29.4	+1.9	40%	30%	33%	33%	GSW	-1.0	#9
Jaxson Hayes	LAL	Pts	8.5	9.8	+1.3	40%	20%	13%	13%	GSW	-4.4	#2
Brandin Podziemski	GSW	Reb	5.5	7.6	+2.1	40%	30%	27%	27%	LAL	+0.4	#18
Stephen Curry	GSW	Reb	3.5	4.6	+1.1	20%	30%	47%	47%	LAL	-0.7	#3
Draymond Green	GSW	Ast	5.5	6.5	+1.0	40%	50%	47%	47%	LAL	-0.1	#16
Rui Hachimura	LAL	Ast	1.5	1.6	+0.1	60%	40%	40%	40%	GSW	+0.4	#25

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#2	#22	#14	#9	-4.9%
PF	#16	#18	#19	#15	0.0%
PG	#11	#8	#10	#8	-3.5%
SF	#9	#4	#25	#9	-4.0%
SG	#30	#12	#26	#29	7.9%

Lakers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#18	#10	#10	-4.5%
PF	#3	#15	#16	#3	-9.7%
PG	#8	#3	#16	#7	-3.8%
SF	#8	#10	#14	#8	-4.4%
SG	#16	#7	#21	#13	-1.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

110.1

112.0

Rebounds per Game

44.6

43.3

Assists per Game

28.2

26.3

Steals per Game

8.2

7.6

Blocks per Game

5.1

5.3

Shots per Game

91.3

85.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.9

12.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.5

56.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.4

35.9

Turnovers per Game

12.6

13.1

Fouls per Game

19.3

16.9

Recent Trends

Jaxson Hayes (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.2% to 23.5, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
Quinten Post (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.0% to 21.4, 14.7 min average previous 3 games.
Gui Santos (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 53.7% to 10.7, 23.1 min average previous 3 games.