Warriors vs Lakers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 16th 2024

Alright, hoop heads, strap in. Tonight, the Golden State Warriors, who’ve been shooting more bricks than a masonry convention with their 34W-31L record, are storming the castle at Crypto.com Arena. They’re squaring off against the Los Angeles Lakers, who, despite their slightly better 36W-31L record, have been as inconsistent as a Wi-Fi signal in a cave. The Warriors are trailing like a three-legged dog in a greyhound race, sitting 7.5 games back in the Western conference, while the Lakers are hot on their tail, just a game ahead. As the clock strikes 08:30PM EST, we’re expecting an offensive explosion, with the over/under set at a whopping 233.5. The Lakers, coming off a 107-120 spanking from Sacramento, are favored by 3.5, while the Warriors, still licking their wounds from a 99-109 loss to Dallas, are the 3.5-point underdogs. Tonight, it’s not just a battle, it’s a Hollywood blockbuster – may the best coast win. So, whether you’re a Warrior on the court or a Laker in the lake, it’s sink or swim time, baby!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 16, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles

Vegas Odds

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

17W-14L

47.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

24W-10L

52.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U	ATS
02/22/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	28	28	26	28		110	Over
	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	36	31	30		128
01/27/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	35	23	27	1215	145	Over
	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	33	36	19	1214	144
03/05/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	18	36	18	33		105	Under
	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	22	23	35		113
02/23/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	33	24	31		111	Over
	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	31	28	36	29		124
02/11/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	21	30	34	24		109	Under
	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	31	26	24		103
10/18/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	22	30	19	38		109	Under
	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	34	32	32		123
04/07/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	30	22	28		112	Over
	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	38	26	37		128
03/05/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	42	27	22		116	Over
	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	30	27	35		124
02/12/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	26	36	32	21		115	Under
	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	33	30	22		117
10/19/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	21	30	38		121	Over
	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	34	25	26	29		114

Starting Lineups

Warriors Notable Injuries

• Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.1pts, 4.5reb, 2.3ast, 17.5 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.0
• Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.6pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.3
• Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.7pts, 2.7reb, 0.7ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.5
• Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.8 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6
• Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.5ast, 1.7 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.2

Lakers Notable Injuries

• Cam Reddish (SG/SF): Avg: 6.3pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 22.0 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 1.5
• Harry Giles III (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.4reb, 0.3ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6
• Jalen Hood-Schifino (PG/SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.4ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 0.3
• Maxwell Lewis (SF): Avg: 0.3pts, 0.1reb, 0.1ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Recent Trends

• Draymond Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.0% to 29.5, 22.2 min average previous 3 games.
• Chris Paul (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.0% to 31.1, 21.8 min average previous 3 games.
• Klay Thompson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.1% to 27.3, 20.5 min average previous 3 games.
• Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.
• Andrew Wiggins (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.0% to 28.0, 19.9 min average previous 3 games.
The Lakers have a 2-game winning streak at home.