Warriors vs Lakers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 16th 2024

thefield
Golden State Warriors

Warriors

34W-31L

Golden State Warriors

March 16, 2024

08:30PM EST

Odds: 233.5 o/u

Lakers

36W-31L

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers

Alright, hoop heads, strap in. Tonight, the Golden State Warriors, who’ve been shooting more bricks than a masonry convention with their 34W-31L record, are storming the castle at Crypto.com Arena. They’re squaring off against the Los Angeles Lakers, who, despite their slightly better 36W-31L record, have been as inconsistent as a Wi-Fi signal in a cave. The Warriors are trailing like a three-legged dog in a greyhound race, sitting 7.5 games back in the Western conference, while the Lakers are hot on their tail, just a game ahead. As the clock strikes 08:30PM EST, we’re expecting an offensive explosion, with the over/under set at a whopping 233.5. The Lakers, coming off a 107-120 spanking from Sacramento, are favored by 3.5, while the Warriors, still licking their wounds from a 99-109 loss to Dallas, are the 3.5-point underdogs. Tonight, it’s not just a battle, it’s a Hollywood blockbuster – may the best coast win. So, whether you’re a Warrior on the court or a Laker in the lake, it’s sink or swim time, baby!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 16, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles

Vegas Odds

GSW ML LAL ML Over/Under Line
Open +130 -150 237.0 3.5/-3.5
Recent +110 -130 233.5 2.0/-2.0
Difference -20 +20 -3.5

Team Performance

gsw Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
AWAY
17W-14L

47.6% Win Probability

lal Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
HOME
24W-10L

52.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
02/22/24 Los Angeles Lakers LAL 28 28 26 28 110 Over
Golden State Warriors GSW 31 36 31 30 128
01/27/24 Los Angeles Lakers LAL 33 35 23 27 1215 145 Over
Golden State Warriors GSW 30 33 36 19 1214 144
03/05/23 Golden State Warriors GSW 18 36 18 33 105 Under
Los Angeles Lakers LAL 33 22 23 35 113
02/23/23 Golden State Warriors GSW 23 33 24 31 111 Over
Los Angeles Lakers LAL 31 28 36 29 124
02/11/23 Los Angeles Lakers LAL 21 30 34 24 109 Under
Golden State Warriors GSW 22 31 26 24 103
10/18/22 Los Angeles Lakers LAL 22 30 19 38 109 Under
Golden State Warriors GSW 25 34 32 32 123
04/07/22 Los Angeles Lakers LAL 32 30 22 28 112 Over
Golden State Warriors GSW 27 38 26 37 128
03/05/22 Golden State Warriors GSW 25 42 27 22 116 Over
Los Angeles Lakers LAL 32 30 27 35 124
02/12/22 Los Angeles Lakers LAL 26 36 32 21 115 Under
Golden State Warriors GSW 32 33 30 22 117
10/19/21 Golden State Warriors GSW 32 21 30 38 121 Over
Los Angeles Lakers LAL 34 25 26 29 114

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Lakers Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/13 vs DAL 99-109L 42 19 15 92
03/11 vs SAS 112-102W 45 28 13 93
03/09 @ SAS 113-126L 39 26 12 90
03/07 @ CHI 122-125L 48 31 11 97
03/06 @ MIL 125-90W 50 37 14 93
03/03 vs BOS 88-140L 46 24 17 92
03/01 vs TOR 120-105W 56 26 14 98
02/29 vs NYK 110-99W 53 26 11 98
02/27 vs WAS 123-112W 44 39 18 97
02/25 @ DEN 103-119L 42 27 17 81

Lakers Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/13 vs SAC 107-120L 38 25 14 79
03/10 @ MIN 120-109W 56 29 19 83
03/08 @ MIL 123-124L 38 27 5 90
03/06 @ SAC 120-130L 34 25 14 82
03/04 @ OKL 116-104W 55 29 20 80
03/02 @ DEN 114-126L 31 33 7 89
02/29 @ WAS 134-131W 45 30 11 102
02/28 vs LAC 116-112W 39 28 15 87
02/25 vs PHX 113-123L 34 28 10 90
02/23 @ SAS 123-118W 46 28 12 95

Starting Lineups

Warriors Notable Injuries

  • Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.1pts, 4.5reb, 2.3ast, 17.5 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.0
  • Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.6pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.3
  • Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.7pts, 2.7reb, 0.7ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.5
  • Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.8 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6
  • Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.5ast, 1.7 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.2

Lakers Notable Injuries

  • Cam Reddish (SG/SF): Avg: 6.3pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 22.0 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 1.5
  • Harry Giles III (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.4reb, 0.3ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6
  • Jalen Hood-Schifino (PG/SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.4ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 0.3
  • Maxwell Lewis (SF): Avg: 0.3pts, 0.1reb, 0.1ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Warriors Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #21 #23 #25 #26 9.1%
PF #27 #28 #11 #28 10.5%
PG #24 #9 #14 #18 4.2%
SF #7 #24 #11 #18 2.5%
SG #2 #8 #29 #11 -4.7%

Lakers Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #25 #21 #30 #27 12.5%
PF #23 #23 #24 #22 6.9%
PG #15 #22 #21 #24 7.7%
SF #22 #23 #30 #26 11.2%
SG #24 #9 #10 #17 0.8%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
113.8
117.8
Rebounds per Game
46.7
41.5
Assists per Game
29.6
28.2
Steals per Game
7.8
6.1
Blocks per Game
5.2
5.2
Shots per Game
93.8
87.7
3-Pointers Made per Game
13.9
12.8
2-Pt Percentage per Game
53.3
57.4
3-Pt Percentage per Game
36.1
41.3
Turnovers per Game
14.2
12.5
Fouls per Game
17.4
14.2

Recent Trends

  • Draymond Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.0% to 29.5, 22.2 min average previous 3 games.
  • Chris Paul (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.0% to 31.1, 21.8 min average previous 3 games.
  • Klay Thompson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.1% to 27.3, 20.5 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.
  • Andrew Wiggins (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.0% to 28.0, 19.9 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Lakers have a 2-game winning streak at home.

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