Warriors vs Bucks Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Fiserv Forum tonight as the Golden State Warriors clash with the Milwaukee Bucks in what promises to be a pivotal first-round playoff showdown! With both teams fresh off exhilarating wins and looking to dodge the trend of playoff blowouts, this game is set to light up the scoreboard. The Warriors, balancing on a delicate seesaw of .500, are hoping to carve out a victory path in the Western conference, while the Bucks, slightly ahead but still hungry, aim to solidify their standing in the East. With the stakes sky-high and the over/under teasing a high-flying 232.5, tonight’s battle at 09:00 PM EST is not just another game—it’s a strategic chess match where every move counts. So, as the Warriors draw their bows and the Bucks lock antlers, brace yourself for a showdown where only the sharpest will claim the victory laurel!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 10, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-235	+195	231.5	-6.5/6.5
Recent	-250	+210	232.5	-6.5/6.5
Difference	-15	+15	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

34W-29L

71.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

49W-18L

28.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
03/06/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	26	23	9	00	90	Under
03/06/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	40	38	15	32	00	125	Under
01/13/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	32	25	37	00	118	Over
01/13/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	21	29	46	00	129	Over
03/11/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	23	28	34	50	116	Over
03/11/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	22	30	31	140	125	Over
12/13/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	25	25	34	00	111	Over
12/13/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	38	26	31	33	00	128	Over
03/12/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	30	26	25	00	109	Under
03/12/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	39	36	19	00	122	Under
01/13/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	21	17	34	27	00	99	Under
01/13/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	37	40	20	21	00	118	Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/08	vs CHI	132-111W	44	34	14	90
02/06	vs LAL	112-120L	40	29	12	101
02/05	vs UTA	128-131L	41	33	9	100
02/03	@ ORL	104-99W	44	25	13	78
01/31	@ PHX	105-130L	49	26	12	96
01/29	@ OKL	116-109W	42	30	15	81
01/28	@ UTA	114-103W	47	29	9	92
01/23	@ CHI	131-106W	52	37	10	102
01/22	vs SAC	117-123L	44	31	19	92
01/20	@ BOS	85-125L	38	28	12	92

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/09	@ PHI	135-127W	53	29	12	105
02/07	vs ATL	110-115L	43	28	10	96
02/05	vs CHA	112-102W	44	26	9	81
02/03	vs OKL	96-125L	37	24	14	93
02/02	@ MEM	119-132L	36	32	13	91
01/31	vs SAS	118-144L	47	24	10	100
01/28	vs POR	112-125L	36	26	11	87
01/27	vs UTA	125-110W	46	33	12	86
01/23	@ MIA	125-96W	55	32	6	98
01/19	@ PHI	123-109W	48	31	6	87

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jimmy Butler SF	38.0	27.7	32.3	100%	32.7
Stephen Curry PG	43.0	43.2	41.2	100%	41.5
Draymond Green PF	34.0	22.2	27.7	93%	27.5
Buddy Hield SG	25.0	23.9	19.2	60%	23.4
Quinten Post C	21.0	22.4	15.6	46%	18.5

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	13.0	10.3	11.3	100%	11.7
Kyle Kuzma PF	35.0	30.7	26.8	90%	28.0
Damian Lillard PG	53.0	49.4	45.8	100%	46.2
Brook Lopez C	29.0	24.4	24.3	100%	24.7
Taurean Prince SF	19.0	18.6	15.2	80%	15.7

Warriors Notable Injuries

Jackson Rowe (SF/PF): Avg: 2.7pts, 2.3reb, 1.0ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 1.3

Bucks Notable Injuries

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 31.0pts, 11.7reb, 6.3ast, 35.1 minutes. Last game: 02/02/25. Impact: 9.8
Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): Avg: 5.4pts, 3.1reb, 2.0ast, 20.5 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.9
Jericho Sims (C): Avg: 1.9pts, 3.3reb, 0.5ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 0.9
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.3ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 0.4
Tyler Smith (SF/PF): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.3reb, 0.3ast, 5.4 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.3
Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.2reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
AJ Green	MIL	Pts	6.5	11.3	+4.8	60%	40%	47%	47%	GSW	+2.5	#28
Bobby Portis	MIL	Pts	16.5	19.7	+3.2	60%	30%	27%	27%	GSW	+0.7	#21
Draymond Green	GSW	Reb	5.5	7.5	+2.0	20%	40%	47%	47%	MIL	-0.4	#13
Taurean Prince	MIL	Ast	1.5	1.8	+0.3	60%	60%	53%	53%	GSW	+0.7	#28
Brook Lopez	MIL	Ast	1.5	1.8	+0.3	60%	60%	60%	60%	GSW	-0.3	#11

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#2	#18	#11	#5	-6.7%
PF	#21	#17	#20	#18	0.9%
PG	#11	#12	#9	#13	-1.7%
SF	#20	#22	#28	#20	2.8%
SG	#28	#12	#26	#29	6.4%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#23	#1	#14	-0.4%
PF	#20	#13	#12	#13	-1.5%
PG	#23	#30	#21	#26	4.3%
SF	#5	#23	#19	#8	-5.4%
SG	#19	#30	#24	#22	2.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

111.7

115.7

Rebounds per Game

44.6

45.3

Assists per Game

28.7

27.1

Steals per Game

8.0

7.7

Blocks per Game

4.9

4.6

Shots per Game

92.0

90.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

16.2

14.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.8

54.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.3

38.3

Turnovers per Game

12.6

12.4

Fouls per Game

20.0

18.5

Recent Trends

Stephen Curry (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.7% to 18.5, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.
Draymond Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 55.3% to 33.1, 21.3 min average previous 3 games.
Buddy Hield (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 76.4% to 31.3, 17.8 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.3% to 10.3, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.
Brandin Podziemski (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 68.9% to 34.4, 20.4 min average previous 3 games.
Bobby Portis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 55.3% to 33.3, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Trent Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.9% to 29.3, 20.3 min average previous 3 games.