Warriors vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Target Center tonight as the NBA Playoffs heat up with the Golden State Warriors clashing with the Minnesota Timberwolves in a first-round face-off that’s anything but predictable! After a slew of lopsided games, we’re all itching for a nail-biter, and with the Warriors trying to find their groove after a recent stumble and the Timberwolves riding the high of a solid win, tonight’s showdown promises to deliver. With the clock ticking down to a 10:30 PM EST tipoff, the stakes are sky-high and the betting lines are buzzing. Will the Warriors sharpen their swords or will the Timberwolves howl their way to victory? One thing’s for sure, in this battle of wills, only one can emerge as the alpha of the arena!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 15, 2025 10:30PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+180	-220	215.5	5.5/-5.5
Recent	+120	-160	215.0	6.0/-6.0
Difference	-60	+60	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

32W-26L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

38W-17L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/21/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	24	29	34	00	113	Over
12/21/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	15	22	38	28	00	103	Over
12/08/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	28	32	16	00	106	Over
12/08/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	21	28	44	21	00	114	Over
12/06/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	25	22	29	00	107	Under
12/06/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	15	26	18	00	90	Under
03/24/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	27	27	29	00	110	Over
03/24/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	18	28	32	36	00	114	Over
11/14/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	22	32	22	28	00	104	Under
11/14/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	29	24	18	00	101	Under
11/12/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	25	35	27	00	116	Over
11/12/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	20	22	37	00	110	Over
03/26/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	24	24	22	00	99	Under
03/26/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	26	18	23	00	96	Under
02/26/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	23	30	17	00	104	Under
02/26/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	34	19	31	00	109	Under
02/01/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	34	37	22	17	40	114	Over
02/01/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	30	20	28	90	119	Over
11/27/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	47	29	33	28	00	137	Over
11/27/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	29	33	25	00	114	Over
03/01/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	29	31	27	00	114	Over
03/01/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	34	28	33	00	129	Over
01/27/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	32	20	34	00	115	Over
01/27/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	28	38	29	00	124	Over
01/16/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	28	31	18	00	99	Over
01/16/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	26	35	28	00	119	Over
11/10/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	26	30	26	00	110	Over
11/10/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	38	24	30	00	123	Over

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/13	vs TOR	101-104L	46	23	14	88
01/10	vs IND	96-108L	42	25	13	91
01/09	vs DET	107-104W	49	32	15	89
01/07	@ MIA	98-114L	52	28	10	98
01/04	@ MEM	121-113W	29	32	18	84
01/02	@ PHI	139-105W	43	41	11	87
12/30	@ CLE	95-113L	55	20	14	99
12/28	@ PHX	109-105W	49	26	11	98
12/27	vs LAC	92-102L	47	24	14	95
12/25	@ LAL	113-115L	44	26	12	89

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/13	vs WAS	120-106W	53	20	18	83
01/11	@ MEM	125-127L	41	37	18	83
01/09	vs ORL	104-89W	50	21	8	85
01/07	vs NOP	104-97W	53	26	16	89
01/06	@ LAC	108-106W	55	24	14	92
01/04	vs DET	105-119L	33	20	17	80
01/02	@ BOS	115-118L	41	24	15	74
12/31	vs OKL	105-113L	43	21	23	79
12/29	@ SAS	112-110W	56	23	10	100
12/27	vs HOU	113-112W	39	25	14	83

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	46.0	43.5	43.0	100%	43.4
Draymond Green PF	34.0	28.8	28.2	93%	28.0
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	31.0	28.8	22.6	80%	25.0
Dennis Schroder SG	29.0	25.6	29.1	100%	29.5
Andrew Wiggins SF	33.0	28.3	29.4	100%	29.8

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	19.0	18.6	20.3	83%	21.0
Anthony Edwards SG	47.0	50.1	43.3	100%	43.7
Rudy Gobert C	32.0	32.2	29.8	100%	30.1
Jaden McDaniels SF	24.0	23.9	24.2	100%	24.5
Julius Randle PF	40.0	31.8	34.9	100%	35.2

Warriors Notable Injuries

Jonathan Kuminga (PF): Avg: 16.4pts, 4.9reb, 2.1ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 5.6
Quinten Post (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 0.8

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Joe Ingles (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.9reb, 2.7ast, 15.2 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.5
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.9
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.4
Tristen Newton (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.1
Jaylen Clark (SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.2 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Julius Randle	MIN	Pts	17.5	21.0	+3.5	60%	50%	53%	53%	GSW	-1.9	#3
Dennis Schroder	GSW	Pts	10.5	13.8	+3.3	80%	80%	67%	67%	MIN	-1.9	#4
Andrew Wiggins	GSW	Reb	3.5	5.7	+2.2	40%	40%	33%	33%	MIN	+0.1	#22
Draymond Green	GSW	Reb	6.5	7.5	+1.0	40%	50%	47%	47%	MIN	-0.4	#11

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#15	#15	#14	-1.6%
PF	#3	#15	#21	#8	-3.7%
PG	#2	#10	#15	#2	-9.8%
SF	#24	#26	#21	#27	7.3%
SG	#23	#26	#27	#26	7.2%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#11	#17	#13	-1.8%
PF	#18	#11	#25	#17	-0.1%
PG	#7	#23	#6	#11	-2.1%
SF	#4	#3	#5	#3	-12.9%
SG	#4	#22	#5	#8	-5.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

107.0

108.0

Rebounds per Game

45.3

45.5

Assists per Game

28.0

24.5

Steals per Game

8.7

7.9

Blocks per Game

5.1

4.8

Shots per Game

91.1

85.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.6

14.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.8

51.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.2

38.1

Turnovers per Game

13.4

14.7

Fouls per Game

17.8

17.5

Recent Trends

Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 11.2, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
Buddy Hield (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.1% to 33.2, 22.7 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.0% to 10.6, 18.9 min average previous 3 games.