Warriors vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown
Warriors
19W-20L
January 15, 2025
10:30PM EST
Odds: 215.0 o/u
Timberwolves
21W-18L
Get ready to rumble at the Target Center tonight as the NBA Playoffs heat up with the Golden State Warriors clashing with the Minnesota Timberwolves in a first-round face-off that’s anything but predictable! After a slew of lopsided games, we’re all itching for a nail-biter, and with the Warriors trying to find their groove after a recent stumble and the Timberwolves riding the high of a solid win, tonight’s showdown promises to deliver. With the clock ticking down to a 10:30 PM EST tipoff, the stakes are sky-high and the betting lines are buzzing. Will the Warriors sharpen their swords or will the Timberwolves howl their way to victory? One thing’s for sure, in this battle of wills, only one can emerge as the alpha of the arena!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 15, 2025 10:30PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
| GSW ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +180 | -220 | 215.5 | 5.5/-5.5 |
| Recent | +120 | -160 | 215.0 | 6.0/-6.0 |
| Difference | -60 | +60 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
45.5% Win Probability
54.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/21/24 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 26 | 24 | 29 | 34 | 00 | 113 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 15 | 22 | 38 | 28 | 00 | 103 | |||
| 12/08/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 28 | 32 | 16 | 00 | 106 | Over | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 21 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 12/06/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 31 | 25 | 22 | 29 | 00 | 107 | Under | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 31 | 15 | 26 | 18 | 00 | 90 | |||
| 03/24/24 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 00 | 110 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 18 | 28 | 32 | 36 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 11/14/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 22 | 32 | 22 | 28 | 00 | 104 | Under | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 30 | 29 | 24 | 18 | 00 | 101 | |||
| 11/12/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 25 | 35 | 27 | 00 | 116 | Over | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 31 | 20 | 22 | 37 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 03/26/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 00 | 99 | Under | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 26 | 18 | 23 | 00 | 96 | |||
| 02/26/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 34 | 23 | 30 | 17 | 00 | 104 | Under | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 25 | 34 | 19 | 31 | 00 | 109 | |||
| 02/01/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 34 | 37 | 22 | 17 | 40 | 114 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 30 | 20 | 28 | 90 | 119 | |||
| 11/27/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 47 | 29 | 33 | 28 | 00 | 137 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 29 | 33 | 25 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 03/01/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 29 | 31 | 27 | 00 | 114 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 34 | 34 | 28 | 33 | 00 | 129 | |||
| 01/27/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 32 | 20 | 34 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 28 | 38 | 29 | 00 | 124 | |||
| 01/16/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 22 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 00 | 99 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 26 | 35 | 28 | 00 | 119 | |||
| 11/10/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 26 | 30 | 26 | 00 | 110 | Over | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 31 | 38 | 24 | 30 | 00 | 123 |
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Warriors Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | vs TOR | 101-104L | 46 | 23 | 14 | 88 |
| 01/10 | vs IND | 96-108L | 42 | 25 | 13 | 91 |
| 01/09 | vs DET | 107-104W | 49 | 32 | 15 | 89 |
| 01/07 | @ MIA | 98-114L | 52 | 28 | 10 | 98 |
| 01/04 | @ MEM | 121-113W | 29 | 32 | 18 | 84 |
| 01/02 | @ PHI | 139-105W | 43 | 41 | 11 | 87 |
| 12/30 | @ CLE | 95-113L | 55 | 20 | 14 | 99 |
| 12/28 | @ PHX | 109-105W | 49 | 26 | 11 | 98 |
| 12/27 | vs LAC | 92-102L | 47 | 24 | 14 | 95 |
| 12/25 | @ LAL | 113-115L | 44 | 26 | 12 | 89 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13 | vs WAS | 120-106W | 53 | 20 | 18 | 83 |
| 01/11 | @ MEM | 125-127L | 41 | 37 | 18 | 83 |
| 01/09 | vs ORL | 104-89W | 50 | 21 | 8 | 85 |
| 01/07 | vs NOP | 104-97W | 53 | 26 | 16 | 89 |
| 01/06 | @ LAC | 108-106W | 55 | 24 | 14 | 92 |
| 01/04 | vs DET | 105-119L | 33 | 20 | 17 | 80 |
| 01/02 | @ BOS | 115-118L | 41 | 24 | 15 | 74 |
| 12/31 | vs OKL | 105-113L | 43 | 21 | 23 | 79 |
| 12/29 | @ SAS | 112-110W | 56 | 23 | 10 | 100 |
| 12/27 | vs HOU | 113-112W | 39 | 25 | 14 | 83 |
Starting Lineups
| Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0 | 43.5 | 43.0 | 100% | 43.4 | |
| 34.0 | 28.8 | 28.2 | 93% | 28.0 | |
| 31.0 | 28.8 | 22.6 | 80% | 25.0 | |
| 29.0 | 25.6 | 29.1 | 100% | 29.5 | |
| 33.0 | 28.3 | 29.4 | 100% | 29.8 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mike Conley
PG
|
19.0 | 18.6 | 20.3 | 83% | 21.0 |
| 47.0 | 50.1 | 43.3 | 100% | 43.7 | |
| 32.0 | 32.2 | 29.8 | 100% | 30.1 | |
| 24.0 | 23.9 | 24.2 | 100% | 24.5 | |
| 40.0 | 31.8 | 34.9 | 100% | 35.2 |
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Jonathan Kuminga (PF): Avg: 16.4pts, 4.9reb, 2.1ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 5.6
- Quinten Post (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 0.8
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Joe Ingles (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.9reb, 2.7ast, 15.2 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.5
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.9
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.4
- Tristen Newton (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.1
- Jaylen Clark (SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.2 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.0
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Julius Randle | MIN | Pts | 17.5 | 21.0 | +3.5 | 60% | 50% | 53% | 53% | GSW | -1.9 | #3 |
| Dennis Schroder | GSW | Pts | 10.5 | 13.8 | +3.3 | 80% | 80% | 67% | 67% | MIN | -1.9 | #4 |
| Andrew Wiggins | GSW | Reb | 3.5 | 5.7 | +2.2 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 33% | MIN | +0.1 | #22 |
| Draymond Green | GSW | Reb | 6.5 | 7.5 | +1.0 | 40% | 50% | 47% | 47% | MIN | -0.4 | #11 |
Warriors Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #6 | #15 | #15 | #14 | -1.6% |
| PF | #3 | #15 | #21 | #8 | -3.7% |
| PG | #2 | #10 | #15 | #2 | -9.8% |
| SF | #24 | #26 | #21 | #27 | 7.3% |
| SG | #23 | #26 | #27 | #26 | 7.2% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #10 | #11 | #17 | #13 | -1.8% |
| PF | #18 | #11 | #25 | #17 | -0.1% |
| PG | #7 | #23 | #6 | #11 | -2.1% |
| SF | #4 | #3 | #5 | #3 | -12.9% |
| SG | #4 | #22 | #5 | #8 | -5.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 11.2, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Buddy Hield (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.1% to 33.2, 22.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.0% to 10.6, 18.9 min average previous 3 games. The Warriors have a 2-game losing streak on the road.
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