Warriors vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 24th 2024

Warriors
36W-33L

March 24, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 220.0 o/u
Timberwolves
48W-22L


Alright, hoops fans, buckle up! We’re about to witness a clash of titans tonight as the Golden State Warriors, with their not-so-shiny 36-33 record, are charging into the Timberwolves’ den, aka Target Center. The T-Wolves, with a solid 48-22, are prowling at the top of the food chain, just 1.5 games behind the Western conference leader. Meanwhile, the Warriors, 8.0 games adrift, are trying to claw their way up. Tip-off’s at 7:00 PM EST, so make sure your beer’s cold and your chips are crunchy. The bookies have set the over/under at 220.0, with the Warriors at 3.5 and the Timberwolves growling at -3.5. After feasting on the Cavaliers with a 104-89 win on 03/22/24, the T-Wolves are hungry for more. The Warriors, on the other hand, are licking their wounds after a 111-125 loss against the Pacers on the same date. So, folks, get ready for a game that promises to be more thrilling than a wolf chasing a warrior through the woods!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 24, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
GSW ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +140 | -165 | 219.0 | 3.5/-3.5 |
Recent | -105 | -125 | 220.0 | 2.5/-2.5 |
Difference | -245 | +40 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance

51.2% Win Probability

48.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/14/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 22 | 32 | 22 | 28 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 30 | 29 | 24 | 18 | 101 | ||||
11/12/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 25 | 35 | 27 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 31 | 20 | 22 | 37 | 110 | ||||
03/26/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 26 | 18 | 23 | 96 | ||||
02/26/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 34 | 23 | 30 | 17 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 25 | 34 | 19 | 31 | 109 | ||||
02/01/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 34 | 37 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 114 | Over | ![]() |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 30 | 20 | 28 | 9 | 119 | |||
11/27/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 47 | 29 | 33 | 28 | 137 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 29 | 33 | 25 | 114 | ||||
03/01/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 29 | 31 | 27 | 114 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 34 | 34 | 28 | 33 | 129 | ||||
01/27/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 32 | 20 | 34 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 28 | 38 | 29 | 124 | ||||
01/16/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 22 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 26 | 35 | 28 | 119 | ||||
11/10/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 26 | 30 | 26 | 110 | Over | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 31 | 38 | 24 | 30 | 123 |
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Warriors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/22 | @ IND | 111-125L | 64 | 24 | 14 | 106 |
03/20 | @ MEM | 137-116W | 48 | 43 | 6 | 100 |
03/18 | @ NYK | 112-119L | 39 | 29 | 13 | 88 |
03/16 | vs LAL | 128-127W | 45 | 38 | 7 | 97 |
03/13 | vs DAL | 99-109L | 42 | 19 | 15 | 92 |
03/11 | vs SAS | 112-102W | 45 | 28 | 13 | 93 |
03/09 | @ SAS | 113-126L | 39 | 26 | 12 | 90 |
03/07 | @ CHI | 122-125L | 48 | 31 | 11 | 97 |
03/06 | @ MIL | 125-90W | 50 | 37 | 14 | 93 |
03/03 | vs BOS | 88-140L | 46 | 24 | 17 | 92 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/22 | @ CLE | 104-89W | 45 | 27 | 11 | 84 |
03/19 | @ DEN | 112-115L | 37 | 25 | 7 | 88 |
03/18 | vs UTA | 114-104W | 35 | 27 | 9 | 91 |
03/16 | vs UTA | 119-100W | 44 | 31 | 8 | 93 |
03/12 | vs LAC | 118-100W | 48 | 26 | 9 | 94 |
03/10 | vs LAL | 109-120L | 38 | 27 | 11 | 97 |
03/08 | vs CLE | 104-114L | 45 | 25 | 12 | 94 |
03/07 | vs IND | 113-111W | 48 | 23 | 9 | 98 |
03/04 | @ POR | 119-114W | 40 | 28 | 11 | 80 |
03/03 | @ LAC | 88-89L | 54 | 24 | 15 | 80 |
Starting Lineups
Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
39.5 | 37.2 | 42.0 | 100% | 42.5 | |
32.9 | 30.7 | 29.9 | 90% | 30.5 | |
32.5 | 31.7 | 33.1 | 90% | 32.7 | |
23.5 | 21.1 | 26.0 | 57% | 25.0 | |
25.2 | 26.8 | 24.4 | 90% | 25.9 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Conley
PG
|
25.6 | 29.5 | 26.1 | 100% | 26.6 |
49.8 | 54.3 | 45.3 | 93% | 45.8 | |
43.2 | 39.6 | 38.4 | 100% | 37.7 | |
23.9 | 23.1 | 19.8 | 100% | 19.4 | |
Naz Reid
PF
|
33.1 | 34.8 | 25.7 | 13% | 38.2 |
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.0pts, 4.4reb, 2.3ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.9
- Kevon Looney (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 5.7reb, 1.9ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.3
- Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.5pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.3
- Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.4pts, 2.6reb, 0.7ast, 8.7 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.3
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.8 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.0reb, 0.7ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.4
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.4reb, 0.2ast, 5.6 minutes. Last game: 03/19/24. Impact: 1.5
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.9pts, 1.1reb, 0.6ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.7
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.6reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.6
- Daishen Nix (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.5
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.1ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.3
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Andrew Wiggins | GSW | Pts | 10.5 | 13.6 | +3.1 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | MIN | +1.7 | #22 |
Draymond Green | GSW | Pts | 7.5 | 9.4 | +1.9 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 33% | MIN | +2.4 | #27 |
Rudy Gobert | MIN | Reb | 14.5 | 15.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 60% | 53% | 53% | GSW | +0.7 | #23 |
Anthony Edwards | MIN | Reb | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | 100% | 70% | 60% | 60% | GSW | -0.5 | #6 |
Brandin Podziemski | GSW | Ast | 3.5 | 3.6 | +0.1 | 40% | 60% | 67% | 67% | MIN | +0.1 | #15 |
Warriors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #23 | #23 | #22 | #25 | 8.2% |
PF | #30 | #25 | #26 | #28 | 10.5% |
PG | #21 | #18 | #21 | #21 | 4.8% |
SF | #7 | #25 | #15 | #18 | 4.1% |
SG | #3 | #6 | #26 | #10 | -6.2% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #27 | #26 | #4 | #23 | 6.4% |
PF | #3 | #19 | #4 | #3 | -11.3% |
PG | #1 | #30 | #23 | #14 | 0.9% |
SF | #22 | #13 | #5 | #13 | -2.3% |
SG | #6 | #16 | #15 | #7 | -7.1% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Jaden McDaniels (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.7% to 34.1, 25.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Monte Morris (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.0% to 18.8, 11.8 min average previous 3 games.
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