Warriors vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble in the jungle of the NBA playoffs as the Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves both standing at 14W-12L, lock horns at the Target Center tonight! With the first round serving up more blowouts than a bad hair day, tonight’s matchup promises to dial up the drama at 09:00 PM EST. Both teams are itching to claw back up the Western conference ladder, and with the betting lines buzzing and the over/under set at a sizzling 217.5, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Fresh off their respective thumpings, the Warriors and Timberwolves are hungry for redemption. So, as the Warriors aim to sharpen their swords and the Timberwolves howl for a home win, tonight’s game is all set to be a showdown of epic proportions!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 21, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+135	-160	214.5	3.5/-3.5
Recent	+140	-165	217.5	3.5/-3.5
Difference	+5	-5	+3.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

30W-23L

41.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

36W-14L

58.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/08/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	28	32	16	00	106	Over
12/08/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	21	28	44	21	00	114	Over
12/06/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	25	22	29	00	107	Under
12/06/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	15	26	18	00	90	Under
03/24/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	27	27	29	00	110	Over
03/24/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	18	28	32	36	00	114	Over
11/14/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	22	32	22	28	00	104	Under
11/14/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	29	24	18	00	101	Under
11/12/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	25	35	27	00	116	Over
11/12/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	20	22	37	00	110	Over
03/26/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	24	24	22	00	99	Under
03/26/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	26	18	23	00	96	Under
02/26/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	23	30	17	00	104	Under
02/26/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	34	19	31	00	109	Under
02/01/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	34	37	22	17	40	114	Over
02/01/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	30	20	28	90	119	Over
11/27/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	47	29	33	28	00	137	Over
11/27/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	29	33	25	00	114	Over
03/01/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	29	31	27	00	114	Over
03/01/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	34	28	33	00	129	Over
01/27/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	32	20	34	00	115	Over
01/27/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	28	38	29	00	124	Over
01/16/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	28	31	18	00	99	Over
01/16/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	26	35	28	00	119	Over
11/10/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	26	30	26	00	110	Over
11/10/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	38	24	30	00	123	Over

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/19	vs MEM	93-144L	36	20	17	90
12/15	@ DAL	133-143L	37	39	10	103
12/11	vs HOU	90-91L	39	22	15	84
12/08	@ MIN	114-106W	45	28	11	90
12/06	@ MIN	90-107L	41	21	22	82
12/05	@ HOU	99-93W	54	19	10	86
12/03	vs DEN	115-119L	48	36	14	95
11/30	vs PHX	105-113L	43	28	9	92
11/25	@ BRO	120-128L	43	32	12	93
11/23	vs SAS	94-104L	49	29	10	95

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/19	@ NYK	107-133L	37	29	13	89
12/15	vs SAS	106-92W	51	26	12	100
12/13	@ LAL	97-87W	48	18	13	87
12/08	vs GSW	106-114L	39	22	14	79
12/06	vs GSW	107-90W	48	32	17	88
12/04	vs LAC	108-80W	50	31	14	85
12/02	@ LAL	109-80W	43	31	15	81
11/29	@ LAC	93-92W	49	25	21	75
11/26	@ HOU	111-117L	52	21	17	98
11/24	vs BOS	105-107L	49	19	8	88

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	43.0	36.1	41.9	100%	42.3
Draymond Green PF	31.0	23.6	27.2	93%	27.0
Kevon Looney C	23.0	16.3	17.0	17%	19.9
Dennis Schroder SG	29.0	28.9	33.3	100%	33.7
Andrew Wiggins SF	31.0	30.7	29.5	100%	29.8

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	26.0	22.8	24.7	100%	25.1
Anthony Edwards SG	45.0	42.2	43.8	100%	44.1
Rudy Gobert C	35.0	26.2	30.7	100%	31.0
Jaden McDaniels SF	25.0	29.4	24.1	100%	24.4
Julius Randle PF	36.0	33.0	37.2	100%	36.4

Warriors Notable Injuries

Moses Moody (PG/SG): Avg: 7.9pts, 2.7reb, 0.8ast, 17.0 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 1.7
Gui Santos (SG): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.5
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.2reb, 0.9ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 0.7

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Daishen Nix (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 12/06/24. Impact: 0.6
PJ Dozier (PF): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.7reb, 0.8ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Donte DiVincenzo	MIN	Pts	7.5	10.7	+3.2	40%	50%	47%	47%	GSW	+1.0	#21
Naz Reid	MIN	Pts	10.5	13.3	+2.8	0%	20%	40%	40%	GSW	-1.4	#6
Draymond Green	GSW	Reb	5.5	6.9	+1.4	60%	70%	67%	67%	MIN	-0.3	#12
Andrew Wiggins	GSW	Reb	4.5	5.3	+0.8	20%	40%	33%	33%	MIN	-0.3	#11
Mike Conley	MIN	Ast	4.5	5.5	+1.0	40%	40%	47%	47%	GSW	-1.4	#2

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#21	#26	#19	1.9%
PF	#6	#14	#14	#7	-5.1%
PG	#3	#11	#2	#1	-13.7%
SF	#22	#29	#14	#27	6.7%
SG	#21	#29	#26	#27	8.3%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#8	#25	#16	0.4%
PF	#9	#12	#15	#8	-3.5%
PG	#10	#24	#10	#12	-0.1%
SF	#6	#3	#6	#6	-8.2%
SG	#3	#11	#5	#2	-11.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.5

110.0

Rebounds per Game

46.6

43.4

Assists per Game

29.3

25.3

Steals per Game

9.6

8.9

Blocks per Game

5.2

4.6

Shots per Game

92.3

86.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.5

15.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.7

53.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.3

37.1

Turnovers per Game

14.1

15.1

Fouls per Game

20.3

18.6

Recent Trends

Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 11.2, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Looney (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.3% to 14.9, 23.4 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.6% to 11.3, 20.9 min average previous 3 games.