Warriors vs Pelicans Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash of fortunes as the high-flying Golden State Warriors swoop into the Smoothie King Center to battle the New Orleans Pelicans tonight at 08:30 PM EST. The Warriors, riding the crest of a stellar 11W-3L record, are looking to cement their dominance in the Western Conference, while the Pelicans, with a struggling 4W-12L, are desperate to flap their wings out of the bottom ranks. With the Warriors sharpening their talons after a decisive victory against Atlanta and the Pelicans nursing their wounds from a tough loss to Cleveland, the stakes are sky-high. Vegas has the line drawn with the Warriors as the clear favorites, but as any seasoned fan knows, playoff basketball can turn the tides faster than you can say “alley-oop.” Will the Warriors continue their conquest, or will the Pelicans rise from the ashes? Tonight, it’s all about survival of the fittest, so let’s see if the Warriors can conquer the court or if the Pelicans can stage a majestic flight back into contention!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 22, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	NOP ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-490	+355	221.0	-10.0/10.0
Recent	-280	+230	222.5	-10.5/10.5
Difference	+210	-125	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

29W-18L

73.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

23W-21L

26.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
10/30/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	20	24	22	23	89	Under
10/30/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	20	31	25	104	Under
10/29/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	31	20	28	27	106	Over
10/29/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	14	33	40	37	124	Over
04/12/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	17	45	26	26	114	Over
04/12/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	22	27	34	109	Over
01/10/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	46	27	32	36	141	Over
01/10/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	33	23	22	105	Over
10/30/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	30	39	32	130	Over
10/30/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	30	21	24	102	Over
03/28/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	36	27	26	20	109	Over
03/28/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	21	39	35	120	Over
03/03/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	22	21	21	99	Under
03/03/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	21	33	28	26	108	Under
11/21/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	16	25	24	18	83	Under
11/21/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	35	30	32	31	128	Under
11/04/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	27	25	26	105	Under
11/04/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	35	27	26	114	Under
04/10/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	41	21	39	128	Over
04/10/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	22	28	31	107	Over
01/06/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	24	26	24	96	Under
01/06/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	16	31	28	26	101	Under
11/05/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	31	19	16	19	85	Under
11/05/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	38	16	34	38	126	Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/20	@ ATL	120-97W	54	36	15	101
11/18	vs LAC	99-102L	45	27	19	84
11/15	@ MEM	123-118W	56	33	19	98
11/12	@ DAL	120-117W	50	29	12	94
11/10	vs OKL	127-116W	46	35	14	89
11/08	vs CLE	117-136L	40	32	17	98
11/06	vs BOS	118-112W	53	22	11	91
10/30	@ NOP	104-89W	42	32	13	87
10/29	@ NOP	124-106W	34	34	7	97
10/27	@ LAC	104-112L	47	19	21	88

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/20	vs CLE	100-128L	40	23	11	92
11/19	vs DAL	91-132L	37	19	21	78
11/16	@ LAL	99-104L	50	24	17	83
11/15	@ DEN	101-94W	56	21	14	87
11/13	vs OKL	88-106L	58	21	23	86
11/11	@ BRO	105-107L	45	31	10	94
11/08	vs ORL	88-115L	31	18	15	84
11/06	@ CLE	122-131L	33	21	9	88
11/03	@ ATL	111-126L	43	22	18	90
11/01	@ IND	125-118W	46	28	6	101

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	46.0	50.9	41.5	100%	42.0
Draymond Green PF	30.0	35.1	29.1	100%	29.5
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	21.0	20.9	24.6	80%	24.1
Lindy Waters III SG	17.0	11.4	8.5	13%	16.1
Andrew Wiggins SF	28.0	33.0	27.1	100%	26.7

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Brandon Boston Jr. PG	19.0	27.9	15.5	27%	30.8
Jordan Hawkins SG	31.0	22.9	10.5	10%	29.9
Brandon Ingram SF	48.0	43.0	36.6	100%	37.0
Yves Missi C	26.0	22.8	20.8	67%	21.6
Trey Murphy III PF	35.0	26.9	32.2	70%	32.6

Warriors Notable Injuries

De’Anthony Melton (PG): Avg: 10.5pts, 3.5reb, 2.9ast, 25.2 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 3.1
Gui Santos (SG): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 0.5

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Jose Alvarado (PG): Avg: 7.2pts, 2.3reb, 2.5ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 11/11/24. Impact: 3.9
Daniel Theis (C): Avg: 5.5pts, 3.8reb, 1.0ast, 16.0 minutes. Last game: 11/11/24. Impact: 1.8
Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.2pts, 1.9reb, 0.5ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 2.0
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C): Avg: 1.0pts, 2.2reb, 0.0ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 1.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Stephen Curry	GSW	Pts	23.5	26.7	+3.2	60%	40%	47%	47%	NOP	-1.0	#9
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Pts	16.5	18.0	+1.5	40%	50%	47%	47%	GSW	-2.4	#1
Brandon Ingram	NOP	Reb	5.5	6.4	+0.9	40%	40%	47%	47%	GSW	+0.5	#23
Andrew Wiggins	GSW	Reb	4.5	5.1	+0.6	40%	30%	33%	33%	NOP	-0.3	#13
Draymond Green	GSW	Ast	5.5	5.9	+0.4	100%	80%	67%	67%	NOP	+0.4	#28

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#24	#15	#18	2.0%
PF	#28	#17	#10	#24	3.9%
PG	#17	#17	#11	#9	-2.8%
SF	#4	#23	#17	#8	-4.6%
SG	#1	#21	#27	#11	-3.8%

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#29	#8	#25	5.2%
PF	#8	#12	#28	#12	-0.9%
PG	#9	#18	#25	#20	3.7%
SF	#11	#19	#21	#17	2.6%
SG	#15	#13	#4	#12	-3.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.7

109.2

Rebounds per Game

47.5

43.3

Assists per Game

30.2

25.5

Steals per Game

8.7

8.2

Blocks per Game

5.6

4.5

Shots per Game

92.1

86.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.0

12.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.0

51.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.5

37.9

Turnovers per Game

13.9

12.7

Fouls per Game

19.4

16.9

Recent Trends

Jamal Cain (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.2% to 23.2, 15.8 min average previous 3 games.
Trayce Jackson-Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 69.0% to 19.8, 11.7 min average previous 3 games.
Jonathan Kuminga (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.8% to 17.5, 27.7 min average previous 3 games.
De’Anthony Melton (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.1% to 23.7, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.6% to 17.2, 13.2 min average previous 3 games.
Antonio Reeves (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 81.7% to 18.2, 10.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.9% to 30.8, 21.9 min average previous 3 games.