Warriors vs Magic Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 27th 2024
Warriors
37W-34L
March 27, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 218.5 o/u
Magic
42W-29L
Listen up, hoop heads! Our beloved 37W-34L Warriors are leaving the Bay and heading to the Sunshine State to challenge the 42W-29L Magic at the Amway Center. It’s a clash of coasts with tipoff at 7:00 PM EST, so get your game faces on! The Dubs are trailing by 7 games in the West, while the Magic are sitting pretty at the top of the East. Vegas has the over/under set at 218.5, with the Warriors at +6.5 and the Magic at -6.5. The Magic will be looking to bounce back after their recent 107-109 loss to the Kings, while the Warriors ride the momentum from their 113-92 victory over the Heat. So, folks, get ready for a night of magic tricks and warrior battles – it’s going to be a game of spellbinding dunks and fierce rebounds!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 27, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Amway Center, Orlando
Vegas Odds
| GSW ML | ORL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +200 | -240 | 217.5 | 6.5/-6.5 |
| Recent | +150 | -175 | 218.5 | 3.5/-3.5 |
| Difference | -50 | +65 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance
40.0% Win Probability
60.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/24 | Orlando Magic ORL | 28 | 27 | 26 | 34 | 115 | Over | |
|
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 30 | 25 | 32 | 34 | 121 | ||||
| 01/07/23 | Orlando Magic ORL | 28 | 34 | 30 | 23 | 115 | Under | |
|
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 30 | 23 | 19 | 101 | ||||
| 11/03/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 30 | 35 | 33 | 31 | 129 | Over | |
|
| Orlando Magic ORL | 30 | 23 | 43 | 34 | 130 | ||||
| 03/22/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 17 | 21 | 36 | 16 | 90 | Under | |
|
| Orlando Magic ORL | 25 | 21 | 19 | 29 | 94 | ||||
| 12/06/21 | Orlando Magic ORL | 26 | 18 | 35 | 16 | 95 | Over | |
|
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 31 | 34 | 33 | 28 | 126 |
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Magic Vs Over/Under
Warriors Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/26 | vs MIA | 113-92W | 43 | 31 | 10 | 85 |
| 03/24 | vs MIN | 110-114L | 41 | 23 | 12 | 85 |
| 03/22 | @ IND | 111-125L | 64 | 24 | 14 | 106 |
| 03/20 | @ MEM | 137-116W | 48 | 43 | 6 | 100 |
| 03/18 | @ NYK | 112-119L | 39 | 29 | 13 | 88 |
| 03/16 | vs LAL | 128-127W | 45 | 38 | 7 | 97 |
| 03/13 | vs DAL | 99-109L | 42 | 19 | 15 | 92 |
| 03/11 | vs SAS | 112-102W | 45 | 28 | 13 | 93 |
| 03/09 | @ SAS | 113-126L | 39 | 26 | 12 | 90 |
| 03/07 | @ CHI | 122-125L | 48 | 31 | 11 | 97 |
Magic Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/23 | @ SAC | 107-109L | 49 | 27 | 13 | 90 |
| 03/21 | @ NOP | 121-106W | 40 | 33 | 14 | 92 |
| 03/19 | @ CHA | 112-92W | 41 | 32 | 16 | 81 |
| 03/17 | @ TOR | 111-96W | 39 | 22 | 13 | 85 |
| 03/15 | vs TOR | 113-103W | 39 | 25 | 14 | 80 |
| 03/13 | @ BRO | 114-106W | 34 | 29 | 12 | 77 |
| 03/10 | @ IND | 97-111L | 46 | 18 | 12 | 88 |
| 03/08 | vs NYK | 74-98L | 37 | 12 | 13 | 80 |
| 03/06 | vs WAS | 119-109W | 42 | 21 | 15 | 84 |
| 03/05 | vs CHA | 101-89W | 41 | 23 | 17 | 74 |
Starting Lineups
| Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.7 | 37.2 | 42.9 | 100% | 43.3 | |
| 30.7 | 30.4 | 31.0 | 93% | 31.4 | |
| 32.5 | 29.6 | 32.4 | 100% | 31.3 | |
| 27.5 | 32.6 | 27.4 | 53% | 25.5 | |
| 24.7 | 27.0 | 25.7 | 93% | 26.7 |
| Orlando Magic | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.9 | 40.0 | 40.5 | 100% | 39.3 | |
| 26.0 | 23.8 | 26.2 | 90% | 25.3 | |
|
Jalen Suggs
PG
|
28.7 | 27.9 | 22.9 | 100% | 23.2 |
|
Franz Wagner
SF
|
34.3 | 29.6 | 31.8 | 100% | 31.0 |
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.0pts, 4.4reb, 2.3ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.9
- Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.4 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 1.1
- Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.4reb, 0.6ast, 8.3 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 1.2
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.5
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.0reb, 0.7ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.4
Magic Notable Injuries
- Gary Harris (SG): Avg: 7.0pts, 1.6reb, 1.5ast, 22.7 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 2.1
- Anthony Black (SG/SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 2.2reb, 1.4ast, 17.4 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 1.4
- Chuma Okeke (SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.3
- Jett Howard (SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 0.4
- Admiral Schofield (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Jonathan Kuminga | GSW | Pts | 16.5 | 18.9 | +2.4 | 40% | 70% | 73% | 73% | ORL | -4.9 | #4 |
| Andrew Wiggins | GSW | Pts | 11.5 | 13.3 | +1.8 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | ORL | -4.9 | #4 |
| Stephen Curry | GSW | Reb | 3.5 | 3.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | ORL | -0.4 | #9 |
| Franz Wagner | ORL | Ast | 3.5 | 3.8 | +0.3 | 60% | 40% | 47% | 47% | GSW | -0.1 | #15 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | Ast | 1.5 | 1.7 | +0.2 | 80% | 80% | 67% | 67% | GSW | -0.4 | #10 |
| Draymond Green | GSW | 3Pt | 0.5 | 0.9 | +0.4 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | ORL | -0.7 | #2 |
Warriors Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #21 | #12 | #10 | #19 | 1.1% |
| PF | #30 | #28 | #27 | #28 | 9.2% |
| PG | #24 | #23 | #29 | #28 | 14.6% |
| SF | #11 | #24 | #15 | #17 | 5.0% |
| SG | #3 | #8 | #29 | #10 | -4.6% |
Magic Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #1 | #1 | #16 | #1 | -29.8% |
| PF | #10 | #2 | #2 | #4 | -12.2% |
| PG | #9 | #3 | #14 | #9 | -8.3% |
| SF | #4 | #2 | #7 | #1 | -41.8% |
| SG | #13 | #9 | #5 | #7 | -6.4% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Gary Harris (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 18.6, 27.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Kevon Harris (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.3% to 10.9, 21.2 min average previous 3 games.
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