Warriors vs Magic Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 27th 2024

Listen up, hoop heads! Our beloved 37W-34L Warriors are leaving the Bay and heading to the Sunshine State to challenge the 42W-29L Magic at the Amway Center. It’s a clash of coasts with tipoff at 7:00 PM EST, so get your game faces on! The Dubs are trailing by 7 games in the West, while the Magic are sitting pretty at the top of the East. Vegas has the over/under set at 218.5, with the Warriors at +6.5 and the Magic at -6.5. The Magic will be looking to bounce back after their recent 107-109 loss to the Kings, while the Warriors ride the momentum from their 113-92 victory over the Heat. So, folks, get ready for a night of magic tricks and warrior battles – it’s going to be a game of spellbinding dunks and fierce rebounds!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 27, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Amway Center, Orlando

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	ORL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+200	-240	217.5	6.5/-6.5
Recent	+150	-175	218.5	3.5/-3.5
Difference	-50	+65	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

19W-15L

40.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

24W-10L

60.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/02/24	Orlando Magic ORL	28	27	26	34	115	Over
01/02/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	25	32	34	121	Over
01/07/23	Orlando Magic ORL	28	34	30	23	115	Under
01/07/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	30	23	19	101	Under
11/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	35	33	31	129	Over
11/03/22	Orlando Magic ORL	30	23	43	34	130	Over
03/22/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	17	21	36	16	90	Under
03/22/22	Orlando Magic ORL	25	21	19	29	94	Under
12/06/21	Orlando Magic ORL	26	18	35	16	95	Over
12/06/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	34	33	28	126	Over

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Magic Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/26	vs MIA	113-92W	43	31	10	85
03/24	vs MIN	110-114L	41	23	12	85
03/22	@ IND	111-125L	64	24	14	106
03/20	@ MEM	137-116W	48	43	6	100
03/18	@ NYK	112-119L	39	29	13	88
03/16	vs LAL	128-127W	45	38	7	97
03/13	vs DAL	99-109L	42	19	15	92
03/11	vs SAS	112-102W	45	28	13	93
03/09	@ SAS	113-126L	39	26	12	90
03/07	@ CHI	122-125L	48	31	11	97

Magic Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/23	@ SAC	107-109L	49	27	13	90
03/21	@ NOP	121-106W	40	33	14	92
03/19	@ CHA	112-92W	41	32	16	81
03/17	@ TOR	111-96W	39	22	13	85
03/15	vs TOR	113-103W	39	25	14	80
03/13	@ BRO	114-106W	34	29	12	77
03/10	@ IND	97-111L	46	18	12	88
03/08	vs NYK	74-98L	37	12	13	80
03/06	vs WAS	119-109W	42	21	15	84
03/05	vs CHA	101-89W	41	23	17	74

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	38.7	37.2	42.9	100%	43.3
Draymond Green C	30.7	30.4	31.0	93%	31.4
Jonathan Kuminga PF	32.5	29.6	32.4	100%	31.3
Klay Thompson SG	27.5	32.6	27.4	53%	25.5
Andrew Wiggins SF	24.7	27.0	25.7	93%	26.7

Orlando Magic	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Paolo Banchero PF	43.9	40.0	40.5	100%	39.3
Wendell Carter Jr. C	26.0	23.8	26.2	90%	25.3
Jalen Suggs PG	28.7	27.9	22.9	100%	23.2
Franz Wagner SF	34.3	29.6	31.8	100%	31.0

Warriors Notable Injuries

Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.0pts, 4.4reb, 2.3ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.9
Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.4 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 1.1
Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.4reb, 0.6ast, 8.3 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 1.2
Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.5
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.0reb, 0.7ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.4

Magic Notable Injuries

Gary Harris (SG): Avg: 7.0pts, 1.6reb, 1.5ast, 22.7 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 2.1
Anthony Black (SG/SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 2.2reb, 1.4ast, 17.4 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 1.4
Chuma Okeke (SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.3
Jett Howard (SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 0.4
Admiral Schofield (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jonathan Kuminga	GSW	Pts	16.5	18.9	+2.4	40%	70%	73%	73%	ORL	-4.9	#4
Andrew Wiggins	GSW	Pts	11.5	13.3	+1.8	60%	60%	67%	67%	ORL	-4.9	#4
Stephen Curry	GSW	Reb	3.5	3.9	+0.4	60%	60%	53%	53%	ORL	-0.4	#9
Franz Wagner	ORL	Ast	3.5	3.8	+0.3	60%	40%	47%	47%	GSW	-0.1	#15
Wendell Carter Jr.	ORL	Ast	1.5	1.7	+0.2	80%	80%	67%	67%	GSW	-0.4	#10
Draymond Green	GSW	3Pt	0.5	0.9	+0.4	20%	40%	40%	40%	ORL	-0.7	#2

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#12	#10	#19	1.1%
PF	#30	#28	#27	#28	9.2%
PG	#24	#23	#29	#28	14.6%
SF	#11	#24	#15	#17	5.0%
SG	#3	#8	#29	#10	-4.6%

Magic Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#1	#16	#1	-29.8%
PF	#10	#2	#2	#4	-12.2%
PG	#9	#3	#14	#9	-8.3%
SF	#4	#2	#7	#1	-41.8%
SG	#13	#9	#5	#7	-6.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.9

108.1

Rebounds per Game

46.9

41.5

Assists per Game

29.6

24.1

Steals per Game

7.4

8.0

Blocks per Game

5.1

4.5

Shots per Game

94.1

81.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.9

10.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.1

59.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.5

34.7

Turnovers per Game

12.5

14.7

Fouls per Game

17.5

17.3

Recent Trends

Gary Harris (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 18.6, 27.6 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Harris (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.3% to 10.9, 21.2 min average previous 3 games.